Maggie, CNN just released another Iowa poll this afternoon with very different results from this morning’s Monmouth survey.
Thirty-three percent of likely GOP caucus-goers in the CNN poll preferred Donald Trump while only 20 percent opted for Ted Cruz, a 13-point Trump advantage and 18-point swing from the Monmouth poll. Ben Carson was third with 16 percent and Marco Rubio fourth with 11 percent.
It should be noted that the sample size was larger for CNN (552 Republican respondents) than for Monmouth (425) and that the date range was different as well (the CNN poll was conducted over the past 9 days while the Monmouth poll covered only the previous 4 days). What this means for the polls’ respective reliability is…anyone’s guess.
The main takeaways ought to be that determining who is a likely caucus-goer is more of a polling art than a science and that the Iowa race still appears quite fluid with almost two months left until caucus time.
Paul Dupont is the managing editor for ThePulse2016.com.
4 comments
Trump plans to jump ship and give it to Hillary anyway ,that’s been his plan all along to make his buddy Bill’s wife POTUS
Not at all. You are looking at a brokered convention or a Trump run as a third party. Check the Breitbart comments sometime. THIS is the new face of the GOTea.
OutnProud you are joking right?
The GOP cultivated this crazy, fed them with hatred for Obama, gay people and the Muslim faith and now you are stuck with them. Welcome to President Clinton. And thanks so much for the help.
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