Analysis - Page 415

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Europe is Experiencing a MASSIVE New Migrant Crisis Which No One Seems to be Acknowledging.

In 2022 around 330,000 people crossed into Europe illegally, according to Frontex, the European Union’s border agency – the largest number since the Migrant Crisis of 2015-16 and a 64 percent increase on 2021. The figures do not include the 13 million refugees who fled Ukraine and entered the EU due to the conflict with Russia, ten million of whom have subsequently returned home. This is the second year running with a steep increase in the number of migrants crossing into Europe, after a significant lull during the first year of the coronavirus pandemic, with most of them now entering

NELLES: Another Biden-Era Recession Looms in 2023. The Question Is: ‘How Long, and How Painful?’

Low unemployment, moderating inflation, a teetering housing market, and unprecedented household debt all combine to drive economists to tarot cards, animal sacrifice, and Ouija boards to make their next predictions. Deconstructing and reconstructing the issues help gain an understanding of where the economy will go in 2023. Unemployment. Per the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate fell to 3.5 percent in December 2022 – almost full employment.  The layoffs are starting, however, driven by tech companies. Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, Salesforce, and Vimeo have announced a combined layoff of nearly 50,000 employees. Strong unemployment numbers drove television pundits to

Paul Zings Bush: Defund Common Core

Rand Paul just did something extraordinary.  He set the benchmark for opposition to Common Core among GOP candidates: defund Common Core and dismantle the Department of Education. In an exclusive interview with Breitbart News from Florida, Rand Paul jabbed Jeb Bush on the Common Core while sending a message to donors: don’t saddle us with another Romney—meaning a candidate donors love but grassroots voters aren’t excited by. Paul calls it Jeb Bush’s “electability problem”: What you need, I think, is someone who has the ability to excite the Republican base and expand the party. . .  .When you refer to

The Great Party Switch

The center-left American Prospect publishes an analysis and review of a new Yale University book “Latino America” by two scholars (Baretto and Segura) documenting ‘the great party switch.’  They are referring to the fact that, back when I was a girl, Republicans could win the White House as often as Democrats, but were shut out of Congressional majorities. Now Republicans control both houses of Congress, but have a harder time assembling a national majority. Ronald Reagan and Newt Gingrich, these authors argue, changed American politics by cementing the GOP as the party of white evangelicals.  But in so doing, they did

Who are the Most Valuable Voters of 2016?

Last week, National Journal published a piece by Ronald Brownstein entitled “The Most Valuable Voters of 2016.” The subtitle sums it up well: “The election may come down to turning out minority voters and wooing seniors in the battleground states.” It is an analysis of changing demographics in the swing states for the presidential race. It first looks at the declining white vote share across the five states in the Sun Belt: Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Colorado, and Nevada. “In all five states the model projects that by 2016 the white voter share will drop at least 3 percentage points

Just 17 Percent of Americans Favor Common Core

A new Farleigh Dickinson poll shows that more Americans disapprove of the Common Core than approve, 40 percent to 17 percent (with the rest uncertain). Just 9 percent of Republicans approve of the Common Core. An issue that was nonexistent in 2012 is emerging as a major campaign issue in 2016. Maggie Gallagher is the editor of

Why the Fed is Under New Scrutiny

The Hill reports: The Federal Reserve is pushing back against mounting criticism of the central bank, as those pushing for reforms ratchet up their attacks. . . The uptick in outreach from the independent agency signals an effort to quell calls for significant changes at the Fed and assuage concerns that it has become too opaque and too cozy with Wall Street. Even some independent observers are puzzled by the highly visible push back from the Fed: “It almost seems like they’re running scared,” said Vern McKinley, an attorney who advises governments on central banking policies. “It’s beneath them to be doing

Earth to WSJ: Common Core a Big Problem for Bush

Over at The Wall Street Journal‘s Washington Wire, Janet Hook writes a naive column suggesting the NBC/Marist poll of Republican primary voters in Iowa, New Hampshire and New Jersey is not so bad for Jeb Bush. Of course, he may survive it, but 36 percent of Iowa primary voters say support for Common Core is unacceptable to them, as do a whopping 46 percent of primary voters in New Hampshire and South Carolina.  And that is before the campaign has even really begun. Of course, it is early, and we don’t yet know how poll results will translate into voters’

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