We’re likely to see a good deal of Indiana polling released over the next few days in the lead up to the much-anticipated – and extremely important – primary next Tuesday. However, the first poll of Indiana Republican voters taken since Donald Trump’s rout of the Northeast this week suggests that the race in the Hoosier State could come down to the wire. According to Clout Research, Trump leads the field with 37 percent, but Ted Cruz trails by only two points at 35 percent, well within the poll’s margin of error. John Kasich is a distant third at 16
Michael Barone has a column on RealClearPolitics.com today where he points out the steep hill that Donald Trump still must climb to win the nomination outright. We both agreed about the similarities with the Northeastern states, but he pointed out something that I missed — that turn out in these heavily blue states was just around 10 percent — which Barone points out is “lower than any other state besides Louisiana”: But turnout in these primaries hovered around just 10 percent of eligible voters, lower than in any other state but Louisiana. That’s partly because registered Republicans are scarce on
“Friends, Republicans, Pulse readers, lend me your ears; “I come to bury Cruz, not to praise him.” Last night, Donald Trump won everywhere. The margins were absolutely staggering: 29 points in Connecticut. 31 points in Maryland. 35 points in Pennsylvania. 39 points in Rhode Island. 40 points in Delaware. He didn’t finish below 55 percent in a single state. These are not margins that can be explained away by geography or demographics. These margins are a symptom of a campaign that has now concluded. Delegates Trump won 109 of 118 pledged delegates available last night, not counting Pennsylvania’s 54 unpledged
Fox News reports on this breaking development: “In a pair of simultaneously released statements, the campaigns announced that Kasich would pull out of Indiana to give Cruz ‘a clear path’ ahead of that state’s winner-take-all primary May 3, while the Cruz campaign will “clear the path” for Kasich in Oregon, which votes May 17, and New Mexico, which votes June 7. ‘Having Donald Trump at the top of the ticket in November would be a sure disaster for Republicans,’ Cruz’s campaign manager, Jeff Roe, said. ‘To ensure that we nominate a Republican who can unify the Republican Party and win in
Frank Cannon is president of the American Principles Project and a respected conservative political strategist with over 30 years of experience. I think the interesting thing in politics is the degree to which Trump has kept alive the possibility to get to 1,237 delegates. I think that he has a strong chance of winning 85 or more delegates tonight in New York. And if he does that and continues to run as strong as he appears to be in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, I think the key to whether he gets to 1,237 will be how he does in Indiana.