Iowa Caucus


Four Post-Iowa N.H. Polls Out

by Maggie Gallagher

Four new polls taken since Donald Trump’s Iowa loss have now come out. They don’t really show Trump taking much of hit yet in New Hampshire, if you do poll-to-poll comparisons. ARG, for example, had Trump at 34 percent just before Iowa and 36 percent after. The CNN/WMUR poll has Trump as 29 percent now, just […]


On Monday night, Iowa was surprised to find that Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders were locked in a literal 50-50 battle for Democratic voters.  Now, the Associated Press marks the official results as Clinton – 49.9 percent, and Sanders – 49.6 percent (with Martin O’Malley taking 0.6 percent before dropping out of the race altogether). […]


Hey, uh, mainstream media folks? You forgot to mention something in your coverage Monday night. Ted Cruz is the first Hispanic-American to ever win the Iowa Caucus. And not only that, he is the first Hispanic-American to win any presidential primary – for any party – ever. And it was the religious right that pushed […]


Now that Iowa caucus-goers have spoken, lost in the discussion of Donald Trump’s underperformance, Ted Cruz’s ground game and Marco Rubio’s surge is an acknowledgement of one issue that separated the top Iowa finishers from (as Trump would say) the “losers.” That issue is Common Core. Cruz and Rubio have long been on record as […]


I didn’t realize that Trump is an expert on Iowa election law. Probably because he’s not. He does not have any idea what he is talking about. We can argue the ethics of what Senator Cruz’s campaign did with the distasteful mailer in Iowa and with the late email to grassroots activists, but neither are […]


This morning, Donald Trump appeared to melt down on Twitter. After a gracious concession speech in Iowa, he is now accusing Ted Cruz of “fraud,” saying he “stole” the Iowa caucus: Based on the fraud committed by Senator Ted Cruz during the Iowa Caucus, either a new election should take place or Cruz results nullified. — Donald […]


It was a great speech, and vintage Rubio rising: aspirational, eloquent, moving. Ted Cruz may be a better debater, but Marco Rubio is the best communicator in the race. But afterwards, I had this nagging feeling there was something missing from Rubio’s speech, something that bothered me. This morning, I read the transcripts. Here is […]


The two other biggest losers as a result of Ted Cruz’s Iowa victory: 1. Terry Branstad And His Crony Capitalist Buddies Branstad launched an “anyone but Cruz” movement in Iowa, proving it’s Cruz, not Donald Trump, who really scares the GOP’s crony capitalists. Gov. Branstad’s lobbyist son Eric leads a group of donors pouring a […]


Donald Trump took a 13-hour break from Twitter after Monday’s Iowa caucus results where he finished second to Senator Ted Cruz. But now he’s back and . . . oh boy: My experience in Iowa was a great one. I started out with all of the experts saying I couldn’t do well there and ended […]


The results of the 2016 Iowa Caucus are in, and Senator Ted Cruz (R-Texas) won with 28 percent of the vote. Donald Trump finished in a disappointing second place with 24 percent, while Senator Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) surged to a close third place with 23 percent. Terry Schilling, Executive Director at American Principles Project and […]


Ted Cruz ran a great campaign in Iowa, and Marco Rubio (bless him) surged to almost relegate Donald Trump to third place. Those of us who care about, as Ted Cruz put it in his victory speech, “life, marriage and religious liberty” have a lot to be thankful for this morning: 1. Trump is a […]


Wow, what an incredible night! Now that the votes have been tallied in Iowa, it’s time to take a look at tonight’s winners and losers. Winner: Ted Cruz This one ought to be obvious. Despite running slightly behind Donald Trump in most polls heading into Caucus night, Ted Cruz delivered a decisive victory, likely due […]


Updating my earlier post, I would like to point out an article in today’s Washington Examiner explaining the most recent Iowa polling from Opinion Savvy and Emerson College and handicapping the reality of the Marco Rubio surge: Opinion Savvy, pulling from a list of registered voters, asked voters if they would caucus. If voters answered maybe or […]


Cruz’s Secret Weapon in Iowa?

by Terry Schilling

I found an interesting piece in The New York Times that details the differences between Ted Cruz’s ground game in Iowa and Donald Trump’s. Here are the two ways the approaches are different, and why they matter: 1. Cruz is targeting consistent GOP voters, while Trump is targeting non-traditional GOP caucus goers. The Cruz campaign has a […]


I’ve been reading all manner of predictions that focus almost entirely on the horse race that is Donald Trump v. Ted Cruz. At this point, 27 hours from the Caucus start, it appears that either can win. Expectations are that they will finish one and two in a close race. And while the order of […]


Wow. It’s already here. The Iowa Caucus is tomorrow. Here’s a candidate-by-candidate review of what could happen, what should happen, and what will happen after the votes are tallied: Donald Trump Best-case scenario: A strong 1st place finish (35 percent+) Worst-case scenario: Losing to Ted Cruz and finishing second. Trump currently leads the polls in […]


There have been a lot of theories and ideas thrown out lately about what will happen in the early primary and caucus states. I’ve read a lot of them and have decided to condense them all and give the top four most likely scenarios for our readers that don’t have as much time to watch […]


After last night’s debate, I think that there is a strong possibility that a Marco Rubio surge to a close 3rd — or even 2nd — place in Iowa is possible, and that will change the outlook in New Hampshire and South Carolina greatly. I was at a happy hour with the gang from RealClearPolitics […]


Maggie, on the heels of your posting the Trump Twitter-rage against Iowa pastor Bob Vander Plaats, then his pointed rebuttal, I thought to add a bit of information Mr. Trump probably hadn’t considered when he let his hubris out of its cage only days before the Iowa Caucus. There’s an old adage in politics that […]


The mainstream media, as exemplified by the The Washington Post, is reporting that “Trump says he won’t participate in GOP debate on Fox News.” The charismatic Donald Trump has a lot of rationalizations for this flinch. “Why should the networks continue to get rich on the debates?” Trump told reporters at a news conference in […]