political polling


The mainstream media set low expectations going into President Donald Trump’s first address to Congress on Tuesday evening. Since his inauguration, they have been in a sort of war with Trump, especially since the debut of his latest executive order on immigration. Ironically, however, these low expectations may have worked to Trump’s advantage, as polling […]


A new Rasmussen poll suggests that Frank Cannon is right: Donald Trump is winning his war with the media and the Democrats. The attempt to “de-normalize” the Trump administration is failing. Just 29 percent of likely U.S. voters think it’s better for the country if the Democrats oppose President Trump in every way possible. Sixty-three percent […]


President Donald Trump is beating the media, and it’s about damn time. For years, there’s been a real detriment to conservatives that’s never been confronted by any Republican leader, at least not to this extent. That’s including former President George W. Bush. And the great thing is, Trump is winning on it. In yesterday’s episode […]


Every year, the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) concludes with a straw poll. In past years, during President George W. Bush’s second term and President Barack Obama’s two terms, the highlight of the poll was determining who the conference’s attendees thought the best Republican candidate would be to run for president. Past winners include: 2005: […]


Donald Trump’s personal approval ratings are all over the place, ranging from plus two points (Rasmussen) to down 12 points (Pew, Gallup) in Februrary polls. Maybe the polling chaos is due to different polling models, or maybe it’s because people aren’t telling pollsters the truth, but it could also be because personal approval varies a […]


Everyone got it wrong… well, almost everyone. Frank Cannon, president of American Principles Project, and a respected conservative political strategist with more than 30 years of experience, got it right consistently throughout the 2016 election cycle: Taking Trump Seriously (03-13-15) Jeb Bush Is Not A Convincing Frontrunner (04-16-15) Ted Cruz Will Be A Serious Contender (04-24-15) […]


Congratulations, President-elect Trump. Congratulations to the historic, never-before-seen governing majority he assembled. It’s time to hope I was wrong and work for President Trump’s success — for America’s success. Here are my first six takeaways from last night’s historic victory: 1.) The RNC’s “Autopsy” from 2012 got it exactly wrong in arguing the key to […]


Last Friday, The Pulse 2016’s Frank Cannon and Jon Schweppe laid out the most likely path to 270 electoral votes for Donald Trump, arguing that if he were to win all the closest toss-up states at that time, he would need only one more state to go his way in order to overtake Hillary Clinton. […]


When poker players are drawing to a straight or a flush, they will often talk about having a certain number of “outs” — i.e. how many cards are left in the deck that can make their hand, allowing them to win the pot. Donald Trump doesn’t have a winning hand yet, but he has a […]


North Carolina offers a great glimpse into trends in the battleground states this election. A WRAL poll by SurveyUSA taken after the FBI scandal broke shows Donald Trump has suddenly jumped to a six-point lead. Almost a third of North Carolina voters chose “trustworthiness” as their most important quality in picking a president, and they […]


The new Elon University poll may have bad news for Hillary Clinton: With just a week to go, she and Donald Trump are in a virtual dead heat, 42 percent to 41 percent, with 9 percent of North Carolina voters still undecided. But when pressed, the undecideds favor Trump 27 percent to 18 percent. Meanwhile despite […]


Given the seemingly endless barrage of negative media coverage which has been aimed at North Carolina’s House Bill 2, including moves by corporations, sports entities, and celebrities to punish the state, it’s no surprise that the name “HB 2” has been tainted in the eyes of many voters. Just the latest evidence of this came […]


Politico and the Harvard School of Public Health teamed up last month to conduct a poll of voters on issues related to healthcare. Among the topics included in the survey was the Hyde Amendment and whether the federal government should allow taxpayer money to go toward funding abortion. Here was the full wording of the […]


In my post yesterday, I speculated that news of skyrocketing insurance premiums under Obamacare might spur a further surge in the polls for Donald Trump. The newest polling numbers being released now seem to confirm this. On RealClearPolitics, the six national polls which were taken either during or after October 25th (the day after the […]


“It’s over. Trump can’t win.” That’s the narrative the Clinton campaign and the mainstream media have relentlessly promoted over the past several days. The problem with that narrative is that it is a bald-faced lie. This election is nowhere near over. Not even close! Let’s take a look at the electoral map. Remember, to become the […]


Amidst all the controversy over whether recent polling of the presidential race has been under-representing Republican voters or over-representing other groups (such as black voters), a more important story is being lost in the noise. There has been a significant amount of national polling released in the past week – enough to give us a […]


Score another point for sanity. A survey taken of voters in Arizona earlier this month shows that many Americans still have not bought into the idea that biology is completely irrelevant when it comes to bathrooms, locker rooms, showers, and other such public facilities. According to the poll, just over half of respondents — 50.6 […]


The media has grown obsessed with driving the narrative that Hillary Clinton has this election in the bag. Supposedly, according to our elite overlords, this election is so over. You might as well stay home! But when you analyze the data, placed in context, especially on a state-by-state basis, this narrative reveals itself to be […]


Maggie noted last week that North Carolina Gov. Pat McCrory appeared to be on the comeback trail, against all odds and despite the powerful corporate/entertainment interests working against him. Now, two new polls released today confirm the race has indeed tightened. Public Policy Polling shows Democrat Roy Cooper leading McCrory by just two points, 46 percent […]


Check out this poll released today by Bloomberg. When Republican voters were asked whether Donald Trump or Paul Ryan better matches their own view of what the GOP should stand for, they responded as follows:   Republican leaders should take this result very seriously as they start to think about what the post-2016 GOP will […]