Who Will Win the Senate in November? A Glance at Each Battleground Race

With just over 100 days to go before election day, what’s the state of the battleground Senate races? The party which controls the White House usually loses seats in Congress in the first midterm after the presidential election. This year is unique in that Republicans could be poised to lose seats in the House while gaining seats in the Senate due to a highly favorable electoral map. There are 10 Senate Democrats up for re-election in states President Trump carried in 2016. Republicans are hoping to hold all their seats in the Senate and pick off a few Democrats for

Who Is Corey Stewart? GOP Firebrand Complicates Senate Race in Virginia

Last week, Virginia Republicans nominated Corey Stewart for U.S. Senate to take on incumbent Democrat Tim Kaine in the fall. Stewart narrowly edged out state Delegate Nick Freitas, an Army veteran, with 45 percent to Freitas’ 43 percent — a margin of 5,000 votes. Bishop E.W. Jackson, the 2013 Republican nominee for lieutenant governor, placed third with 12 percent. Stewart, the Chairman of the Prince William County Board of Supervisors in the outer suburbs of Washington, D.C., has been running for statewide office virtually nonstop since 2013. He finished third of seven candidates at a convention in 2013, and lost

Obnoxious Democrats Are Squandering Their Midterm Advantage

Is this year going to look like 2010 or 1998? It’s the end of May, and this week came with the stunning news that the generic ballot gap has narrowed to almost zero. The “generic ballot” is a type of poll which asks voters if they would be more likely to vote for the Republican candidate or Democrat candidate in their district. It generally does not name candidates specifically, but is a good measure of the mood of voters and how they feel about the parties generally. As soon as President Trump took office, Democrats opened a huge lead in

Can Republicans Pull Off a Millennial Comeback?

Before the start of this month, the prevailing narrative in the media (even among many conservative commentators) was that the millennial generation was an army of socialists-in-training. Pundits pointed to the rise of Bernie Sanders as evidence that millennials detested capitalism and would bring our economy to ruin if ever empowered. I attacked this “Communist Millennials” hypothesis here and here, arguing instead that millennials are actually radically pro-free market. And now, new polling data shows just how overblown these McCarthy-esque fears were. The Republican Party has significantly closed its “millennial gap” with Democrats — and they are currently locked in a

Mitch McConnell Is Doing One Thing Right — And It May Save His Legacy

Over the years, Beltway insiders and the media have built a myth around Mitch McConnell as a master tactician and strategist who both sides agree is a formidable force in Congress. For the most part, it’s just not true. For all his decades in the Senate and years in Senate leadership, McConnell has only one major legislative achievement: tax reform. The rest of the battles (Obamacare and Obamacare repeal, defunding Planned Parenthood, etc.) have resulted in failures where McConnell was unable to hold his caucus together or thwart the Democrats’ agenda. And he’s undeniably a card-carrying member of the swamp, notorious for

Is a “Blue Wave” Coming in 2018? Not According to These Numbers…

This article was originally posted at The Hill. Over the past several months, political pundits and media elites alike have decided we are headed toward a “blue wave” in this year’s midterm elections. This narrative is spoken as if it is an absolute certainty, reminiscent of the “Hillary Clinton is unbeatable” conventional wisdom in 2016 — and we all know how that turned out. The reality on the ground is that the fundamentals are not nearly as good for the Democrats as many in the media would have you believe. President Trump’s favorability numbers are higher than they were at any point during the

Pa. GOP Candidates Wagner, Ellsworth Tout Support for Transgender Bathroom Bill

In the race for Pennsylvania governor, two Republicans — state Senator Scott Wagner and lawyer Laura Ellsworth — have endorsed legislation that would allow boys to use girls’ locker rooms, showers, bathrooms, and other public facilities where privacy is expected. The only candidate who has publicly opposed such legislation in this race is Army veteran Paul Mango. Both Wagner and Ellsworth have been criticized for supporting this legislation. Their challenger, Mango, has attacked the legislation and has even run campaign ads against it. In a March debate, Mango criticized Wagner for supporting the legislation: “One thing I will not do

New Poll Shows Ted Cruz in Danger of Defeat — But Should Republicans Panic?

A poll was released earlier this week that provided a little bit of a shock for Republicans: according to Quinnipiac, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) holds only a 3-point lead over Democrat challenger Beto O’Rourke. The release of the poll immediately caused some panic on the Right as well as some frothing at the mouth on the Left (and among liberal Republicans who loathe Cruz for actually trying to hold them to conservative principles). O’Rourke is a darling of progressives as a young-ish, far-left, attractive face who can raise millions of dollars. They’re hoping that toppling a stalwart like Cruz will finally make

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