Donald Trump, on Super Tuesday, proved he has superpowers. But Superhero or Supervillain? Unless Marco Rubio rises to the occasion and endorses Ted Cruz for president, accepting a vice presidential role for himself, Donald Trump almost assuredly will be the GOP nominee. Meanwhile, the party and conservative elites are reacting in interesting ways to these interesting times. There are three fascinating dramas simultaneously emerging. First, the Story of Trump. Second, Rubio’s Choice. Third, the narratives that the party (and interlocked conservative movement) thought leaders are devising. Follow along. First, the Story of Trump. Donald Trump unequivocally demonstrated that he has
I had thought the low point for Marco Rubio was his terrible judgment last week choosing to go down in the muck and trading schoolboy insults with Donald Trump. It was bad judgment, both moral and political. Rubio forgot one of the most important lessons your mama teaches: Never mud wrestle with a pig; you both get dirty, but the pig likes it! Politically, Rubio forgot that voters who don’t mind that kind of childish insult hurling vulgarity are already in Trump’s camp, and nobody is better at it than Donald Trump. The only thing worse than exchanging personal hygiene insults is
Eleven states voted and pledged delegates last night. While the mainstream media continues to peddle the false idea that Donald Trump dominated, we’re here to give you three key takeaways from the results: 1.) #NeverTrump worked. It really did. Finally, the candidates took aim at Donald Trump, and he lost votes because of it. Trump only won 7 states last night — far fewer than the 9 or 10 he was expected to win. He repeatedly underperformed the polls, winning squeakers over Marco Rubio in Virginia and John Kasich in Vermont, losing Oklahoma (when polling had him ahead prior to Super Tuesday), and
Conservatives seem to agree on the need to stop Donald Trump’s burgeoning candidacy, but they disagree on a strategy. The first obstacle is how to somehow combine Ted Cruz’s and Marco Rubio’s 20-25 percent of the vote each into a 40-50 percent block to contend with Trump. Various conservatives have urged their allies to coalesce around Cruz, or alternatively, around Rubio. Cruz advocates, such as The Federalist‘s D.C. McAllister, contend “Rubio Needs to Move Aside for Cruz, not Vice Versa.” McAllister cites Cruz’s expertise for picking Supreme Court justices and contends that many Cruz voters would drift to Trump and not
A new raft of polling shows Donald Trump consolidating and growing his lead, which is the kind of thing that happens when you win elections. The press is full of stories of how Texas is a must-win for Ted Cruz as the latest polls show him either in a dead heat with Trump at 32 percent apiece with Marco Rubio a distant third in the TEGNA/Survey USA poll, or up 12 points over Trump with Rubio a still more distant third in the Austin American-Statesman poll. Meanwhile the latest Florida Quinnipiac poll shows Trump crushing Rubio, 44 percent to 28 percent.
In the first national poll to be released following last Saturday’s South Carolina GOP Primary, Rasmussen shows Donald Trump increasing his lead to 15 points over the rest of the field. Trump registers 36 percent support in the poll, leading Marco Rubio (21 percent) and Ted Cruz (17 percent) by double-digit margins. John Kasich came in fourth, with 12 percent. With 12 states voting next week on Super Tuesday, these numbers bode well for Trump’s chances, though tonight’s Nevada caucuses and Thursday’s CNN debate could alter the outlook between now and then. However, as Rasmussen points out, more and more
I shared some post-South Carolina Primary thoughts on Facebook Saturday night, but I wanted to expand on that here. This is a three-way race between Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio. Currently Donald Trump is in the driver’s seat. Finally after South Carolina pollsters can finally pat themselves on the back because the polling finally reflected the primary results. The RealClearPolitics average of South Carolina polls showed: Donald Trump – 31.8% Marco Rubio – 18.8% Ted Cruz – 18.5% Jeb Bush – 10.7% John Kasich – 9.0% Ben Carson – 6.8% With the South Carolina Primary results, the order
So South Carolina is where the titans clash: where Donald Trump (clearly) is going to try to knock Ted Cruz out of the race, and where Cruz urgently needs to show he can go toe-to-toe with The Donald in the South before the big SEC primary on March 1. Trump’s decision to release his nasty attack ad on Cruz the night of his New Hampshire victory shows he understands the campaign dynamic: Kasich will struggle for a 0-2-3 strategy and head for the big Southern vote with little to show for it. Rubio and Bush will be forced to attack