A Word of Warning on That Fox News Virginia Poll: Don’t Be Complacent.

Days before Virginia votes, Fox News released a poll that shows Republican Glenn Youngkin ahead of incumbent Terry McAuliffe by 8 points. Let’s be clear about something: that’s bad. Here’s why. In campaign terms, you scarcely want this sudden a jump, this late in the game, with as much coverage as Fox News’ latest poll is getting. It creates complacency amongst the voting public – especially on a gloomy weekend, weather-wise – about whether or not they need to go out and actually vote. Especially when many Democrats have already filed their early ballots or mail-in votes. The unnatural spike

2020 Preview: Will One of These Long Shots Emerge as a Contender?

It’s 2019, and the new Congress has been sworn in, with Nancy Pelosi reclaiming the speakership after eight years in the minority. The 2020 Democratic presidential primaries are underway in earnest, as the first big name — Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren — has formed an exploratory committee (and did a hilariously fake Instagram live video). In the first two parts of our 2020 preview series, we looked at the front runners and the middle tier. Now we’re looking at the bottom tier: those candidates who are big enough names to warrant attention, but face the most uphill climb of all. Terry McAuliffe The former governor

Why Virginia Matters in 2017 — Even to Non-Virginians

It’s hard to underestimate the importance of the statewide elections in Virginia in 2017. Virginia is the epitome of a purple battleground state, with Democrats dominating the densely populated Washington, D.C., suburbs in Northern Virginia, and Republicans dominating pretty much everywhere else. As one of two states to have constitutionally-required statewide elections every year, it’s the place to be for political junkies. The results of the November elections will be a referendum on President Donald Trump and Republican control of Congress. Republican Bob McDonnell won the governorship in 2009 partly as a repudiation of Obama’s first year in office, in

Felons for Hillary

Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe (D) signed a sweeping executive order last Friday restoring voting rights to more than 200,000 ex-felons. The move potentially expands Virginia’s voting rolls by nearly 4 percent. That is not an insignificant figure. Virginia’s 2014 Senate race was decided by fewer than 18,000 votes or eight-tenths of one percent. The year before, the race for attorney general was decided by 165 votes out of more than 2.2 million cast, or 0.007 percent. And in 2012, Barack Obama won Virginia by fewer than 150,000 votes or 3.9 percent. There is no question that this move overwhelmingly benefits