It is possible that Wisconsin may be Donald Trump’s Waterloo. After all, he did lose Waterloo, Wisconsin. While Senator Cruz enjoyed a five-point lead in the polls ahead of the voting, he over-performed and won by 13 points, taking 48 percent of the vote. Donald Trump finished second with 35 percent. Turnout broke a record set in 1980, when a guy named Ronald Reagan (perhaps you’ve heard of him) was running. Tuesday night’s win was significant for Senator Ted Cruz, not only for the size of the win, but what it means for the chances of a contested convention in Cleveland.
Ted Cruz won by double-digits in the Badger State, outperforming any poll taken, and blasting through the RealClearPolitics average which pegged him at just over 4 points ahead of Donald Trump. Cruz proved wrong the pundits who predicted the Rust Belt would be Trump territory, aided by some unforced (but remarkably typical) errors by Trump, who responded to Scott Walker’s endorsement of Cruz by lambasting the popular governor for not raising taxes, insulted Heidi Cruz, and wandered around the abortion issue for a while seemingly uncertain of what he believes. New York, Trump’s home state, still looks safe for him. But
The last two polls show dramatically different outcomes in Wisconsin’s winner-take-all primary tonight. Emerson shows Ted Cruz at 40 percent, up by 5 over Trump, while ARG says Trump is up by 10 points over Cruz, 42 percent to 32 percent. If Trump wins Wisconsin, he is likely to win the nomination. If Cruz takes all the delegates, Trump’s path to a majority becomes much harder to see. I don’t recall ever seeing such wildly different polls in the same time period. It’s up to the voters now. Maggie Gallagher is a senior fellow at the American Principles Project and can
The latest poll shows Ted Cruz is up by 6 points in Wisconsin, a winner-take-all primary on Tuesday. And Donald Trump’s terribly bad week — attacking Heidi Cruz, wriggling around on abortion, attacking Scott Walker for balancing the budget without raising taxes, and assorted policy missteps — appears to be hurting him in a national poll. For the first time in a month, Trump dipped below 40 percent of GOP voters, down to 38 percent in the latest Investor’s Business Daily poll, just 7 points ahead of Cruz. But there was some good news for Trump in the northeast. He is close
The new Marquette poll of Wisconsin voters shows a startling reversal compared to the last poll we just wrote about. Ted Cruz is now up ten points over Donald Trump, 40 percent to 30 percent, with Cruz’s attacks against John Kasich apparently shrinking the Ohio governor’s support back down to 21 percent. The anti-Trump vote in Wisconsin is approaching Utah levels. This is good news for Cruz, and for the country. Maggie Gallagher is a senior fellow at the American Principles Project and can be followed on Twitter @MaggieGallaghe.
I hope this is an outlier, because Hillary Clinton is an incredibly weak candidate, but the latest Wisconsin poll shows Bernie Sanders beating Hillary, 49 percent to 45 percent. The outsider candidates (Ted Cruz, Donald Trump, and Sanders) continue to roll. Maggie Gallagher is a senior fellow at the American Principles Project and can be followed on Twitter @MaggieGallaghe.
All the fighting about wives between Ted Cruz and Donald Trump appears to be hurting both, while John Kasich is swooping in to claim the moderate/liberal lane in a divided GOP. A new Wisconsin poll has Trump slumping to 31 percent, just two points ahead of a surging Kasich, who is in turn two points ahead of Cruz. That’s a drop of 3 points for Trump and of 9 points for Cruz. You cannot out-Trump the Trump. Headlines detailing the spat over wives, whomever started it first, are turning off voters who want a president who will make their lives better,
Many have been speculating whether Scott Walker would make an endorsement prior to Wisconsin’s primary on April 5th. Would he jump on the Donald Trump train? Would he go with the establishment’s reluctant favorite, John Kasich? Nope. Scott Walker is going with Ted Cruz. And as a thrice elected governor in Wisconsin, Walker certainly carries a lot of weight with GOP voters. From The Hill: Walker’s endorsement has the potential to shift the dynamic in the state, which has 42 delegates up for grabs. But Matt Mackowiak, a Republican strategist, told The Hill that the true effect will depend on how