Joe Biden has narrowed former President Donald Trump’s lead in six of seven critical swing states, according to a new poll from Bloomberg News/Morning Consult. The Democrat incumbent now narrowly leads Trump in Wisconsin by one point and has pulled even in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Last month, former President Trump led Biden by between four and six points in all three states.
While the poll offers a degree of hope for Biden’s re-election campaign, it remains to be seen if the tightening in the presidential race is a sustained trend or if the poll is just an outlier. The Biden campaign’s improved position — in part — has been fueled by increased voter confidence in the state of the U.S. economy, according to the data. All three northern swing states have also seen a significant increase in campaign spending by the Biden campaign.
Meanwhile, former President Trump continues to lead the Democrat incumbent in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina, although Biden has closed the gap in each state. When third-party candidates are included, Trump leads Biden across the seven swing states 43 percent to 38 percent. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. comes in at 9 percent, while Cornel West and Jill Stein each poll at just 1 percent.
The data also suggests concerns that Nikki Haley voters would sit out the 2024 race are unfounded. A majority of Haley supporters said they would back Trump in a head-to-head contest with Biden. Additionally, voters still indicate they trust former President Donald Trump to better handle issues like jobs, the economy, and inflation over Biden. While the economy remains the top issue for voters, its share declined from 39 percent to 34 percent. Immigration doubled as a top issue to 17 percent of those polled.