A new poll from the Arab American Institute reveals that former President Donald J. Trump holds a substantial lead over the Democrat incumbent Joe Biden among Arab Americans in crucial battleground states. The survey, published on Thursday, indicates that 32 percent of Arab Americans in Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Virginia would choose Trump, compared to 18 percent for the 81-year-old Biden, reflecting a 14-point advantage for the Republican presidential nominee.
Among the respondents, 25 percent indicated they were “not sure” about their vote, surpassing the number of Biden supporters. Notably, 59 percent of Arab Americans said they had voted for Biden in the 2020 election, signaling a significant shift in voter sentiment.
In state-specific results, Trump leads substantially in Florida, with 44 percent support against Biden’s 8 percent. In Michigan, Trump garners 28 percent compared to Biden’s 15 percent. Pennsylvania shows a 44 to 29 percent lead in favor of Trump. In Virginia, the race is tight, with both candidates at 22 percent, while “not sure” accounts for 23 percent of the responses.
The poll highlights that 79 percent of Arab Americans who identify as Republicans support Trump, while just 46 percent of Arab American Democrats back Biden. Among independents, 27 percent support Trump, 13 percent favor Biden, and 33 percent remain uncertain.
The survey reveals that Biden‘s support is notably weak among young and foreign-born Arab Americans, with just 8 percent of individuals aged 18 to 34 and 10 percent of foreign-born Arab Americans expressing support for Biden. The primary concern for Arab Americans is the ongoing conflict in Gaza, with 60 percent identifying it as their top issue. Only 5 percent of respondents approve of Biden’s handling of the situation.
BREAKING- AAI 2024 election poll of #ArabAmericans in key states: Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, + Virginia.
KEY FINDINGS:
– Support for Biden at 18%
– 88% disapprove of Biden's handling of Gaza
– 80% view Gaza as important in determining their vote–>https://t.co/1IIdSHOMnF pic.twitter.com/Sqtsvs39fZ
— Arab American Institute (@AAIUSA) May 30, 2024