Florida’s Duval County has voted to the left of Georgia in most recent presidential races, making it a fairly consistent measure of a candidate’s position in the state just to its north. As of this afternoon, Republicans lead the vote total in Duval with 41.4 percent to the Democrats’ 38.4. Meanwhile, independent voters are coming in at 17.5 percent as of 2:00 PM on Election Day.
🚨 PRESIDENTIAL BELLWETHER ALERT: Duval County, Florida has voted to the left of Georgia in every recent U.S. presidential election.
Duval County TOTAL votes:
🔴 REP: 41.4% (+3.1)
🔵 DEM: 38.4%
🟡 NPA: 17.5%Trump LOST Duval in 2020…. something to watch here.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 5, 2024
While not a perfect predictor, the mid-day results from Duval County suggest President Donald J. Trump is in a good position not only in Florida County, which includes Jacksonville, but also in the State of Georgia. It should be noted that in 2020, Trump lost Duval County to his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden.
The tight race in Duval mirrors a similar result—albeit with a microscopic sample size—in New Hampshire‘s Dixville Notch. Both Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are deadlocked in the six-person New Hampshire village, which votes at 12:00 AM on Election Day—a 60-year American tradition. The residents of Dixville Notch voted five to zero for Joe Biden in 2020 and broke for Hillary Clinton in 2016.