❓WHAT HAPPENED: A poll conducted by Tulchin Research suggests Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani would lose to former state governor Andrew Cuomo in a head-to-head contest for New York City Mayor—although he could win in a multi-candidate race.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Zohran Mamdani, Andrew Cuomo, Curtis Sliwa, incumbent Mayor Eric Adams, and Jim Walden.
📍WHEN & WHERE: Polling conducted from August 7 to 14, 2025, in New York City.
💬KEY QUOTE: “That poll is right.” – Andrew Cuomo
🎯IMPACT: The poll raises questions about Mamdani’s ability to secure victory in a two-person race if voters who oppose him rally to Cuomo.
A new poll from Tulchin Research, conducted between August 7 and 14 among 1,000 likely New York City voters, finds Democrat candidate and avowed socialist Zohran Mamdani trailing former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo (D) in a direct contest, 41 percent to Cuomo’s 52 percent. However, when the contest includes Republican Curtis Sliwa and independents Mayor Eric Adams and Jim Walden, Mamdani jumps to 42 percent, with Cuomo falling to 26 percent; Sliwa earns 17 percent, Adams nine percent, and Walden three percent.
Mamdani’s prior statements have generated significant controversy. Posts by the Ugandan immigrant and Muslim extremist critical of the NYPD resurfaced amid heightened attention following a police shooting, highlighting his strong anti-police views. He has also been publicly criticized for bragging about directing taxpayer dollars to illegal immigrants, and for suggesting the abolition of prisons and private property—both of which have intensified concerns about his platform’s radicalism.
The self-described Democratic socialist’s candidacy has drawn national attention, particularly from President Donald J. Trump, who is considering intervening in the race to block Mamdani’s potential victory in November. Trump has floated the possibility of backing either Adams or Cuomo.
Addressing the Tulchin poll, Cuomo offered a succinct response: “That poll is right.”
However, as New York City prepares for its November 4 mayoral election, no major contenders have stepped aside, setting the stage for Mamdani securing the mayoralty due to the fracturing of those opposed to him.
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