❓WHAT HAPPENED: The Canadian military has reportedly determined it would last as little as two days if the United States launched an invasion of the country.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Canadian military officials, President Donald J. Trump, and the Canadian armed forces.
📍WHEN & WHERE: The alleged plan was published in Canadian media on January 20.
💬KEY QUOTE: “After his 2024 election and in the early months of his new term, Trump repeatedly referred to the United States’ northern neighbor as the 51st state and said a merger would benefit Canada.” – Canadian military report.
🎯IMPACT: The report shows Canada has little defense against a U.S. invasion, but hopes to engage in guerrilla-style warfare if it is conquered.
Canada’s military has developed a theoretical response model in the unlikely event of a U.S. invasion. Realizing that the country would last a mere two days against American military might, it hopes to adapt to Taliban-like tactics. Two unnamed senior government officials told Canadian media that the framework focuses on tactics similar to those of insurgencies. The officials conceded that U.S. forces could swiftly overcome Canadian positions on land and at sea, and that any resistance would likely shift to ambushes and “hit-and-run tactics.”
“After his 2024 election and in the early months of his new term, Trump repeatedly referred to the United States’ northern neighbor as the 51st state and said a merger would benefit Canada,” the reports said.
Canadian officials emphasized that the insurgency model is “a conceptual and theoretical framework, not a military plan, which is an actionable and step-by-step directive for executing operations.” They also said that clear signs, such as a halt to bilateral cooperation in NORAD, the North American Aerospace Defense Command, would likely precede any U.S. military preparations. Canada would likely seek support from allies like Britain and France in such a scenario, though both are geographically distant.
The military planning comes amid broader tensions between Ottawa and Washington. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney recently pledged support for Greenland, stating that he would put “boots on the ice.” His remarks came in the wake of a new strategic partnership between Canada and China on energy and trade in which Carney agreed to allow the Chinese Communist Party to flood the Canadian market with cheap electric vehicles.
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