Joe Biden has gained a lead over former President Donald Trump in three key battleground states, according to recent polls conducted five months ahead of the presidential election. Biden now shows signs of edging ahead in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, according to surveys by Florida Atlantic University (FAU) and Mainstreet Research. Biden’s poll bumps come on the heels of Trump’s conviction on felony charges in a politically motivated sham trial in Manhattan.
The polls, which were carried out between May 30 and May 31, show Biden leading Trump in Wisconsin with 38 percent of the potential vote to Trump’s 31 percent. Similarly, in Michigan, Biden garners the support of 41 percent of voters, while Trump is at 39 percent. In Pennsylvania, Biden also leads 41 percent compared to Trump’s 39 percent. Biden narrowly won these states in the 2020 election, with margins under three percent in Michigan and Pennsylvania and less than one percent in Wisconsin.
Earlier polls, including those accounting for third-party candidates, suggested Trump maintained an advantage in several of the most critical battleground states.
Political analyst Todd Landman, a professor at Nottingham University in the U.K., cautioned against drawing firm conclusions from the current data, asserting that the race remains volatile. He highlighted the potential impact of ongoing legal proceedings against Hunter Biden and the anticipated sentencing in Trump’s hush money case, both of which could influence voter preferences.
Although Trump’s conviction in the “hush money” case brought by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg resulted in a surge of donations to the Trump campaign and various Republican Party committees, Biden’s recent poll bumps in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin suggest that the “convicted felon” narrative is hurting Trump with independent and undecided voters.