A newly released MRP poll predicts that Nigel Farage’s Reform Party could secure up to 18 seats in the upcoming UK general election on July 4.
Polling data suggests that the Labour Party, led by Sir Keir Starmer, is poised to achieve the largest majority in decades, potentially surpassing the 419-seat majority won by former Prime Minister Tony Blair in 1997.
Labour, which has dominated the polls throughout the election campaign, could capture as many as 450 seats in the House of Commons, marking the largest majority since 1931.
The current Conservative government may face significant losses, potentially retaining only 60 MPs, thereby allowing the Liberal Democrats to become the official opposition with an estimated 71 seats.
Several top Tory MPs, including Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, are likely to lose their seats to Labour candidates on July 4.
Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now conducted the survey, with Martin Baxter, founder of Electoral Calculus, labeling the projected result a “disaster” for the Tories.
Nigel Farage and Reform have seen increasing popularity among young voters in the UK, according to a YouGov poll that found the party more favoured among 18 to 24-year-olds than the Tories.
Farage himself has been engaged in a feud with former Tory Prime Minister Boris Johnson after Johnson accused Farage of being a “Putin-apologist” due to his remarks on the Ukraine conflict.
In Dover earlier this week, Farage emphasized Johnson’s previous statements blaming the European Union for the Ukraine-Russia crisis in 2016.