❓WHAT HAPPENED: A new poll shows former Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) leading Michael Whatley, chairman of the Republican National Committee (RNC), in the 2026 North Carolina U.S. Senate race.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley.
📍WHEN & WHERE: Poll conducted Monday and Tuesday, results released Thursday, with North Carolina voters.
💬KEY QUOTE: “North Carolina’s race for Senate has only just begun, but the Whatley campaign appears to have a lot of legwork in front of them if they want to be competitive.” – Donald Bryson, Carolina Journal publisher.
🎯IMPACT: The poll highlights Cooper’s name recognition advantage and sets the stage for an expensive, competitive race.
The latest poll from Carolina Journal and Harper Polling shows former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper leading Republican National Committee (RNC) chairman Michael Whatley 47.3 percent to 39.1 percent in the 2026 U.S. Senate race in North Carolina. The poll surveyed 600 likely voters earlier this week, with a margin of error of +/- 3.98 percent and a 95 percent confidence level.
Cooper, who has won six statewide elections, enjoys significant name recognition, with only four percent of respondents saying they had “never heard of” him. In contrast, 51.3 percent of respondents said they had “never heard of” Whatley. Cooper’s favorability ratings were 47.3 percent favorable and 39.8 percent unfavorable, while Whatley registered 14.9 percent favorable and 11.3 percent unfavorable.
“North Carolina’s race for Senate has only just begun, but the Whatley campaign appears to have a lot of legwork in front of them if they want to be competitive,” said Donald Bryson, publisher of Carolina Journal and CEO of the John Locke Foundation. He added, “Cooper certainly has an advantage in this race, having held statewide office for 24 consecutive years.”
The race is expected to be one of the most expensive in the nation, with costs projected between $500 million and $750 million. Historically, North Carolina has leaned Republican in Senate races, with the GOP winning five consecutive contests over the past 15 years and seven of eight this century. However, Cooper’s track record of statewide victories make the race competitive.
Image via NC Dept of Public Safety.
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