A self-described “independent polling and research” firm has admitted to fabricating polls throughout the 2026 election season, claiming it was part of a “social experiment” on the spread of unverified polling data.
| PULSE POINTS |
❓ WHAT HAPPENED: A polling company that gave failed far-left gubernatorial primary candidate Francesca Hong (D-WI) a double-digit lead has admitted to faking its polls. 📺 DETAIL: On Monday, Median Strategies, a self-described “independent polling and research” firm, announced that all its polls were fake and told press outlets to disregard its previously released work. Median Strategies claimed that the fake polls were part of a “social experiment” to examine how unverified polling data spreads. The firm released polls on the Wisconsin Democrat gubernatorial primary and the Los Angeles mayoral race. One of the fake polls suggested that Hong, the far-left candidate backed by the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), a far-left political organization operating within the broader Democratic Party, had a 23-point lead over her main rival, Milwaukee County Executive David Cowley, who ultimately won the primary. In another fake poll, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass had a 12-point lead over leftist challenger Nithya Raman. The fake poll was shared by Bass in a now-deleted post on X (formerly Twitter). The firm claimed that its experiment was not funded by any candidate, campaign, or organization. It also claimed that its experiment had no financial incentives or ties to betting markets. The Los Angeles Times uncovered the deception after questioning the firm about its polling methodology. The firm’s website has since been scrubbed. 💬 KEY QUOTE: “All previously published polling releases have been withdrawn and should not be cited or treated as genuine polling data. Median Strategies was created as a short-term social experiment examining how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification.” – Median Strategies statement. 🎯 IMPACT: This provides context for Hong’s surprise defeat in Wisconsin. Hong was widely seen as the clear frontrunner, having been given a 95.5 percent chance of victory by Kalshi and a substantial lead by several reputable and established pollsters. The extent to which the fake polls meaningfully influenced voter behavior is unknown, although given the fact that one was shared by a candidate, the revelations are likely to further undermine public faith in the reliability of polling ahead of the midterm elections in November. |
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