A new poll has given Republican candidate Mike Rogers a slight lead over his far-left Democrat rival, Abdul El-Sayed, in Michigan’s closely contested United States Senate race, signaling a toss-up.
| PULSE POINTS |
❓ WHAT HAPPENED: Republican Mike Rogers is leading far-left Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate race, according to a new poll. 📺 DETAIL: Conducted for Detroit News and WDIV-TV, the poll showed Rogers ahead on 45.8 percent of support, with El-Sayed closely behind on 44.4 percent. The same poll revealed that nine percent of voters are undecided. The poll surveyed 600 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus four points. Support for Rogers is primarily concentrated among conservatives and voters over 40, with strong support among independents, leading his Democrat rival by roughly 14 points. By contrast, support for El-Sayed is strongest among younger voters, college graduates, and black voters. However, despite Rogers having a slight lead overall, El-Sayed voters are most committed to turning out in November. Specifically, El-Sayed polled at 46.7 percent among voters most likely to turnout on polling day, while Rogers secured 44.4 percent among the same group. The poll noted a ten-point enthusiasm gap between committed Republicans and committed Democrats. 🎯 IMPACT: The strong showing among independents for Rogers appears to affirm suspicions that El-Sayed’s far-left positions could alienate swing voters. The data also suggests that the outcome will be heavily determined by voter enthusiasm. 📺 FLASHBACK: Back in August, it was reported that El-Sayed was open to considering reparations for black Americans. This echoed other polarizing social positions taken by El-Sayed, such as calling for the cancellation of Thanksgiving and July 4 celebrations. El-Sayed has also voiced support for abolishing the Second Amendment, the right to bear arms. |
Join Pulse+ to comment below, and receive exclusive e-mail analyses.
show less