Tuesday, September 16, 2025

Trump Calls for 30-Day Ceasefire Between Russia and Ukraine, Threatens Sanctions on Both if Not Upheld.

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What Happened: President Donald J. Trump is once again pushing for a 30-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, threatening sanctions if either country violates the suspension of hostilities. He hopes a ceasefire can pave the way for a peace deal between the warring nations.

👥 Who’s Involved: President Donald J. Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

📍 Where & When: President Trump called for a ceasefire in a post on Truth Social on Thursday, May 8, 2025.

💬 Key Quote: “If the ceasefire is not respected, the U.S. and its partners will impose further sanctions,” President Trump warned.

⚠️ Impact: With the Russian economy beginning to show signs of strain under current U.S. sanctions, and Putin even expressing a desire to re-establish access to Western markets, the 30-day ceasefire demand may be too much for him to pass up. The Russian leader has already signalled he is open to a shorter-term cessation of hostilities. However, this may be the final efforts of the Trump White House to broker an end to the conflict before washing their hands of the issue.

IN FULL:

President Donald J. Trump is calling for an unconditional 30-day ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, threating that the United States and its partners will impose crippling sanctions on whichever of the two nations either refuse the agreement or violate it. The America First leader outlined the ceasefire proposal in a post on Truth Social late Thursday, May 8, 2025.

“The U.S. calls for, ideally, a 30-day unconditional ceasefire. Hopefully, an acceptable ceasefire will be observed, and both Countries will be held accountable for respecting the sanctity of these direct negotiations,” Trump wrote, continuing: “If the ceasefire is not respected, the U.S. and its partners will impose further sanctions.”

He added: “Thousands of young soldiers are dying on a weekly basis, and everybody should want it to STOP. I do, and the United States of America does, also. As President, I will stay committed to securing Peace between Russia and Ukraine, together with the Europeans, and a Lasting Peace it will be!”

Trump emphasized that the ceasefire demand is intended to “ultimately build toward a Peace Agreement” and that it must be done “quickly.” Additionally, President Trump offered to be “available on a moment’s notice” to help broker a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine.

Earlier in the week, Trump expressed his disgust and anger with the intransigence shown by both the Russian and Ukrainian governments toward a peace deal. Meanwhile, Vice President J.D. Vance, speaking at the Munich Leaders Meeting in Washington, D.C., said that Russia is “asking for too much” in return for ending its war against neighboring Ukraine, highlighting the Trump White House’s continued frustration with reaching an elusive peace settlement.

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Germany Reverses Designation of Populist Party as ‘Right-Wing Extremist’ Following Lawsuit, Pressure from Trump.

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What Happened: Following a lawsuit and criticism from the Trump administration, Germany’s domestic spy agency has suspended its classification of the populist Alternative for Germany (AfD), which placed second in the country’s recent federal elections, as a right-wing extremist organization.

👥 Who’s Involved: AfD, AfD leader Alice Weidel, co-leader Tino Chrupalla, the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution.

📍 Where & When: The spy agency announced the move on May 8.

💬 Key Quote: “We are defending ourselves with all legal means against the upgrade by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution.” — Weidel and Chrupalla.

⚠️ Impact: The German spy agency will not surveil members of the AfD or place informants in the party as general policy until the court case is resolved.

IN FULL:

The German domestic spy agency has suspended its labelling of the populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) party as a right-wing extremist organization following pressure from the Trump administration and a new lawsuit. The Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution announced it would be suspending the classification on May 8 until a court decides on the outcome of the pending lawsuit.

The AfD is appealing the classification at the Cologne Administrative Court to reverse the spy agency’s decision. If the court does not rule in favour of the party, the spy agency will be able to surveil party members and use informants to infiltrate it at scale.

Following the announcement from the spy agency, AfD leaders Alice Weidel and Tino Chrupalla both claimed it as a victory, though the move will only become permanent after a ruling.

“We are defending ourselves with all legal means against the upgrade by the Federal Office for the Protection of the Constitution,” the pair said in a statement. Their party placed second in Germany’s recent federal elections, and it is the leading party in several areas, particularly in the former East Germany.

Along with the lawsuit, the move comes after the German spy agency was widely criticised by members of Donald J. Trump’s administration, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio. “Germany just gave its spy agency new powers to surveil the opposition. That’s not democracy—it’s tyranny in disguise,” Rubio said.

Image by Markus Spiske.

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Brexit Britain Seals Landmark Indian Trade Deal.

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What Happened: Britain and India have reached a free trade agreement to reduce tariffs on various products, including Scotch whisky.

👥 Who’s Involved: British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, the British and Indian governments.

📍 Where & When: Announcement made in London, negotiations started over three years ago.

💬 Key Quote: “This is the biggest trade deal that we, the UK, have done since we left the EU, and it’s the most ambitious trade deal that India has ever done,” said Prime Minister Starmer.

⚠️ Impact: The agreement is expected to boost bilateral trade by £25.5 billion (~$34.1 billion) annually and significantly increase Scotch whisky exports to India.

IN FULL:

Britain and India have announced a significant free trade agreement to slash tariffs on a range of products, including Scotch whisky. This long-awaited deal comes after more than three years of negotiations.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer hailed the agreement as a “landmark” event, describing it as “fantastic news for British business, British workers and British shoppers.” His Indian counterpart, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, echoed this sentiment, calling the deal “ambitious and mutually beneficial.”

“This is the biggest trade deal that we, the UK, have done since we left the EU, and it’s the most ambitious trade deal that India has ever done,” Prime Minister Starmer said.

The British government detailed that the agreement would cut Indian import taxes on goods such as whisky, cosmetics, medical supplies, and automotive parts. Notably, tariffs on whisky and gin will be reduced from 150 percent to 75 percent, eventually dropping to 40 percent over the next decade. Automotive tariffs will see a significant decrease from over 100 percent to 10 percent under a quota system.

India’s Trade Ministry emphasized that 99 percent of Indian exports would be exempt from import duties under this new agreement. Trade Minister Piyush Goyal stated, “This brings us closer to our goal of becoming a global economic powerhouse,” highlighting the deal’s potential to enhance India’s role in global value chains.

The agreement, which covers both goods and services, is projected to increase bilateral trade by the equivalent of $34.1 billion annually. Mark Kent, CEO of the Scotch Whisky Association, described the deal as “transformational,” noting its potential to boost Scotch whisky exports to India by $1.3 billion over the next five years.

Formal talks for this free trade agreement began in 2022, following Brexit. Prior to Brexit, Britain was unable to strike any bilateral trade deals, as the European Union (EU) controls its member states’ trade policy.

Image by Simon Dawson / No 10 Downing Street.

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U.S.-UK Set to Sign Bilateral Trade Deal.

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What Happened: The United States and the United Kingdom are poised to sign a bilateral trade agreement this week.

👥 Who’s Involved: President Donald J. Trump, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, the United States, the United Kingdom, India, and China.

📍 Where & When: In Washington, D.C., with the likely signing occurring the week of May 5, 2025.

💬 Key Quote: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testified before Congress on Tuesday that the trade deal could be announced “perhaps as early as this week.”

⚠️ Impact: The trade deal will increase pressure on the European Union (EU) to come to the table, while further restricting China’s access to global markets.

IN FULL:

The United States and the United Kingdom are set to sign a bilateral trade deal this week, marking significant progress in President Donald J. Trump‘s efforts to renegotiate global trade and its impact on American workers. It is believed the deal is one of 17 being prioritized out of over 100 negotiations and will increase pressure on the European Union (EU) to reach an agreement as well.

Among the concessions being made by the British are reductions in their digital services tax aimed at multinational technology companies based in the United States. The Labour government, under Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, is also believed to be poised to cut its tariffs on American automobiles and steel imports and reduce trade duties on American agricultural goods.

Conversely, the United States—it is believed—has agreed to reduce its 25 percent tariff on British autos and steel, though the exact scale of the reduction is not yet public. However, the British government also says it will not adopt U.S. food production standards, meaning some U.S. agricultural exports, including hormone-treated beef and chicken, will still not be accepted in the British market.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent testified before Congress on Tuesday that the trade deal could be announced “perhaps as early as this week.” However, it is important to note that agreements over the pharmaceutical trade remain a contentious sticking point and could delay a final deal. Despite the pharmaceutical hang-up, the Labour government remains under intense pressure from its domestic auto industry to reach an accord with President Trump. British auto makers have warned that the impact of the Trump tariffs on their sales has been “severe, significant, and immediate.”

Earlier on Tuesday, the United Kingdom and India announced they had reached a free trade deal, giving credence to the speculation that a coalition of nations is forming with the aim of boxing in China regarding its access to the global economy and markets.

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Trump Tariffs Lead to Factory Closures, Protests in China.

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What Happened: Protests erupted in China after factory closures linked to President Donald J. Trump’s 145 percent tariff on Chinese goods.

👥 Who’s Involved: Chinese factory and construction workers, President Trump, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and China’s Commerce Ministry.

📍 Where & When: Protests took place in Suining, Sichuan province, Hunan province, and Inner Mongolia, with workers complaining they have not been paid since the beginning of the year.

💬 Key Quote: President Trump has stated he will “lower” the tariff on China “at some point,” but for now the trade duties will remain in effect.

⚠️ Impact: The tariff has put approximately 16 million Chinese jobs at risk, leading to significant unrest among Chinese workers.

IN FULL:

Protests have erupted across China following the shutdown of several factories, a consequence of President Donald J. Trump’s 145 percent tariff on Chinese goods. The unrest has seen workers in various regions of China, including Suining in Sichuan province, Hunan province, and Inner Mongolia, take to the streets demanding unpaid wages and benefits.

The turmoil began when factory workers at an electronics plant in Suining protested over not receiving their pay. Similarly, hundreds of employees at Guangxin Sports Goods in Hunan province went on strike after the factory closed without settling wages or Social Security benefits. In Inner Mongolia, construction workers resorted to threatening suicide over unpaid dues, highlighting the severe financial strain faced by many.

The Chinese manufacturing sector is feeling the pinch as the government grapples with President Trump’s tariffs, which are intended to rebalance global trade in favor of American workers who have been undercut by China’s comparatively low pay and underhanded tactics such as currency manipulation. The manufacturing purchasing managers’ index reveals that new export orders in China have plummeted to their lowest since the COVID-19 pandemic, with manufacturing job numbers similarly declining to levels not seen since February 2024.

China’s National Bureau of Statistics attributes the downturn to “sharp changes in the external environment.” An estimated 16 million jobs across various Chinese industries are now at risk due to the tariffs.

In response, China has made moves to alleviate the economic strain by exempting approximately $40 billion worth of U.S. imports from its own 125 percent retaliatory tariffs. Despite ongoing behind-the-scenes discussions, formal trade negotiations between the U.S. and China have yet to materialize. President Trump, speaking on NBC’s Meet the Press, has expressed a willingness to “lower” the tariffs eventually, noting that China is eager to continue business.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has remarked that the trade war is “not sustainable on the Chinese side,” suggesting that the Chinese economy is already experiencing significant slowdowns. Meanwhile, companies are investing substantially in making products in America, so they will not be subject to import duties.

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Romania

Prime Minister Set to Resign Following Conservative Victory.

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What Happened: The Prime Minister of Romania, Marcel Ciolacu, announced his resignation following the first-round victory of conservative nationalist George Simion in the presidential election.

👥 Who’s Involved: Marcel Ciolacu, George Simion, Nicusor Dan, Calin Georgescu.

📍 Where & When: Romania, resignation announced on Monday after Sunday’s election results.

💬 Key Quote: “Despite the obstacles, despite the manipulation, despite a press paid to demean us day after day, Romanians have stood up,” Simion stated.

⚠️ Impact: Romanian government bonds fell, and the political landscape could shift, affecting relationships with the EU and NATO.

IN FULL:

Following the first-round victory of George Simion, leader of the populist Alliance for the Union of Romanians, in Romania’s presidential election, Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu has resigned. The announcement came in response to the electoral upset. The government will now be led by an interim premier as coalition parties deliberate on Ciolacu’s successor.

Simion, who identifies with a political philosophy akin to President Donald J. Trump’s, secured over 40 percent of the votes, outperforming expectations and increasing his chances of winning the presidency. “Despite the obstacles, despite the manipulation, despite a press paid to demean us day after day, Romanians have stood up,” Simion said following the win.

Simion will face Bucharest’s centrist mayor, Nicusor Dan, in a runoff scheduled for May 18. Simion’s first-round success has dramatically shifted betting market odds in his favor, with his probability of winning the second round now at 69 percent.

This election marks Romania’s second attempt to elect a president after last year’s election was annulled due to alleged Russian interference through TikTok. The unexpected victory of Calin Georgescu, a pro-Trump nationalist and NATO skeptic barred from the current race, previously plunged Romania into a political crisis, leading to widespread protests.

Despite his criticisms of the European Union (EU) and NATO, Simion has reassured that Romania will not exit either organization, emphasizing the importance of both for national security. “Eighty percent of the Romanians want NATO and want the European Union. This is not something we can negotiate,” Simion stated.

As Romania navigates this political transformation, the focus remains on whether Simion can maintain his momentum and secure victory in the upcoming runoff. The outcome could further align Romania with other conservative-populist European countries, such as Hungary and Slovakia.

Image by Jorge Franganillo.

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State Govt Bans Populist Politicians From Overseas Trips.

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What Happened: Members of the populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) party have been banned from taking part in overseas business trips by a state government after being declared a right-wing extremist organization.

👥 Who’s Involved: State of Hesse, Alternative for Germany (AfD) members.

📍 Where & When: Hesse’s Europe Minister, Manfred Pentz, announced the exclusion on May 4.

💬 Key Quote:  “My business trips abroad are aimed at promoting this location. I can’t achieve that if I travel with representatives of a secure right-wing extremist party.” — Minister Manfred Pentz.

⚠️ Impact: The move is part of the broader fallout from Germany’s domestic spy agency declaring the AfD an extremist group, despite the fact that it recently placed second in the country’s federal elections.

IN FULL:

A state government in Germany has banned members of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) from taking part in foreign business trips. The move comes after Germany’s domestic spy agency declared the AfD a right-wing extremist organisation last week.

The German state of Hesse announced it would not include AfD members in foreign business trips due to the labelling of the party as extremists. The state’s Europe Minister, Manfred Pentz, announced the exclusion of the AfD members on May 4. Pentz stated, “After the classification of the AfD, I decided not to invite representatives of this party to my foreign business trips for the time being.”

The minister argued that having the AfD on trips dealing with countries like Israel would harm Germany’s reputation, despite the AfD having many pro-Israel members. “My business trips abroad are aimed at promoting [Hesse]. I can’t achieve that if I travel with representatives of a secure right-wing extremist party,” he insisted.

Germany’s actions to declare the AfD an extremist group mean that the domestic spy agency would be able to surveil party members. The move could also lead to the AfD being banned in the future.

Members of the Trump administration have outright condemned the moves against the AfD. Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated, “Germany just gave its spy agency new powers to surveil the opposition. That’s not democracy—it’s tyranny in disguise.”

Image by Olaf Kosinsky.

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australia ballot box

Here’s What Happened in Australia’s Election.

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❓What Happened: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese secured a second term in Australia’s national election, defeating the conservative opposition.

👥 Who’s Involved: Anthony Albanese, Prime Minister of Australia, and Peter Dutton, leader of the conservative opposition.

💬 Key Quote: “The Australian people have voted for Australian values. For fairness, aspiration and opportunity for all.” – Prime Minister Anthony Albanese.

⚠️ Impact: The election outcome signifies continued leadership under leftist Albanese, with the center-right Liberal Party led by Peter Dutton preparing to rebuild after the defeat.

IN FULL:

Leftist Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has been elected for a second term in office following Australia’s recent national election. Albanese emerged victorious, defeating the center-right opposition headed by Peter Dutton. In his victory speech, Albanese emphasized leftist, multiculturalist doctrine.

“We do not need to beg or borrow or copy from anywhere else. We do not seek our inspiration overseas. We find it right here in our values and in our people,” he said, in what many have interpreted as a veiled jab at the United States.

Peter Dutton, leader of the Liberal Party, acknowledged the party’s failure to achieve desired results. Dutton took responsibility for the campaign’s shortcomings and recognized the hard work of his party members throughout the past three years. He also expressed regret for those candidates who lost their seats and ambitions in the election. Despite the setback, Dutton assured supporters that the party remains strong and committed to rebuilding.

Core themes during the campaign included the cost of living, foreign policy, housing, and energy. Australia’s politics have drifted leftward for decades, and the nation was one of the most oppressive and antediluvian during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Labor Party increased its representation in the House of Representatives, though final vote tallies will take weeks to ascertain due to the nation’s slow-paced system. Voting is compulsory in Australia, with a turnout of around 98.2 percent. All Australian citizens aged 18 and over are legally required to enrol and vote in federal, state, and local elections. Failure to vote without a valid and sufficient reason can result in a fine.

There are no voter identification requirements.

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Canadian Prime Minister Carney Set for White House Meeting with Trump.

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What Happened: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced he will travel to the White House in Washington, D.C. next Tuesday for a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump amidst ongoing trade tensions. The former central banker for both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England stressed that he intends to fight for the best possible trade deal for Canada.

👥 Who’s Involved: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and U.S. President Donald Trump.

📍 Where & When: Meeting at the White House, Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, May 6.

💬 Key Quote: “We are meeting as heads of our government. I am not pretending those discussions will be easy,” Carney said, adding: “Our old relationship, based on steadily increasing integration, is over. The questions now are how our nations will cooperate in the future and where we in Canada will move on.”

⚠️ Impact: The meeting signifies a pivotal diplomatic engagement amidst altered Canada-U.S. relations, with potential implications for trade between the two nations and Canadian sovereignty.

IN FULL:

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney is set to visit the White House on Tuesday to meet with U.S. President Donald J. Trump. This meeting comes amidst heightened tensions over trade and national sovereignty. Carney’s Liberal Party narrowly won enough parliamentary seats to form a minority government, as no other party or coalition can control a majority. Despite the close contest, Carney has attempted to frame his victory as a rebuke of President Trump’s tariff policies and push to absorb America’s northern neighbor.

“We are meeting as heads of our government. I am not pretending those discussions will be easy,” Carney stated at a press conference on Friday. He added: “Our old relationship, based on steadily increasing integration, is over. The questions now are how our nations will cooperate in the future and where we in Canada will move on.”

The Liberal Party leader and former central banker, who replaced former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau following his resignation from office in March, said that while he has already had constructive conversations with President Trump, “My government will fight to get the best deal for Canada.”

Currently, the United States tariffs Canadian imports at 25 percent, except for energy and potash exports, which are only subject to a 10 percent rate. The U.S. tariffs and President Trump’s repeated assertion that he would like to see Canada become America’s 51st state have become serious points of contention for Carney.

Image via Bank of England.

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Trump Poised to Strike Another Minerals Deal Amid African Peace Push.

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What Happened: The U.S. is encouraging Congo and Rwanda to sign a peace agreement at the White House within roughly two months, which will include bilateral mineral deals attracting Western investment.

👥 Who’s Involved: The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Rwanda, U.S. government, M23 rebel group, U.S. Africa advisor Massad Boulos, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Western companies.

📍 Where & When: White House signing proposed in about two months; drafts expected Friday; mid-May meeting in Washington; ongoing conflict in eastern Congo.

💬 Key Quote: “When we sign the peace agreement … the minerals deal with the DRC will be signed on that day, and then a similar package, but of a different size, will be signed on that day with Rwanda.” — Massad Boulos, U.S. senior advisor for Africa.

⚠️ Impact: The accord may facilitate Western investments in Congolese and Rwandan mines, contingent upon security measures being addressed, supporting regional stability, and reducing Chinese influence.

IN FULL:

The Trump administration is actively working to facilitate a peace agreement between the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda, aiming for a formal signing at the White House within two months. The accord is expected to be accompanied by bilateral mineral agreements, bringing substantial investments from Western firms to the mineral-abundant region. Massad Boulos, President Donald J. Trump’s senior advisor for Africa, confirmed this development during an engagement in Doha, Qatar.

“When we sign the peace agreement … the minerals deal with the DRC (Democratic Republic of Congo) will be signed on that day, and then a similar package, but of a different size, will be signed on that day with Rwanda,” Boulos said.

Presently, the North Kivu province in the Democratic Republic of Congo experiences significant unrest, due to activities from the M23 rebels, widely believed to be backed by Rwanda—although Rwanda officially denies involvement. Both nations are anticipated to present drafts of the proposed peace accord shortly, as a prelude to a meeting in Washington scheduled for mid-May, where U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will meet with their foreign ministers.

The deal also seeks large-scale investments in the mining sector, particularly in Congo, which possesses extensive resources but has substantial infrastructure needs. Rwanda is recognized for its mid- to downstream mining capabilities. Strategically, greater Western involvement in the region would likely diminish longstanding Chinese influence.

The investment agreements will be conditional on both countries addressing specific security concerns. These include the withdrawal of Rwandan troops from Congolese territory and the cessation of support for the M23 group. Additionally, the Democratic Republic of Congo must address Rwanda’s apprehensions concerning militias like the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR).

Ahead of the intended White House ceremony, a committee comprised of representatives from the U.S., Qatar, France, and Togo (representing the African Union) will monitor each country’s adherence to the preliminary terms.

The accords come just days after President Trump confirmed a mineral deal with Ukraine covering several key resources, such as rare earth minerals. The agreement is part of the larger peace process to end Ukraine’s ongoing conflict with Russia.

Image by MONUSCO Photos/Clara Padovan.

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