A new poll has revealed that Texas State Attorney General and Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton has a slight lead over his Democrat rival, James Talarico.
| PULSE POINTS |
❓ WHAT HAPPENED: Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) is ahead of state Representative James Talarico (D) in the Texas Senate race, according to a new poll. 📺 DETAIL: According to an Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media poll published this week, Ken Paxton is polling at 47 percent. This gives him a one percent lead over Democrat candidate James Talarico, on 46 percent. The same poll also revealed that five percent of Texans are undecided and that two percent are backing a third party candidate. The poll used 1,000 likely Texas voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. The poll also revealed that support for the GOP was concentrated among white and older voters, while support for the Democrats was concentrated among non-white and younger voters. 💬 KEY QUOTE: “This polling shows Ken Paxton has consolidated Republican support, moving the race closer to even after several months of polls showing him behind. This race is close because there are significant numbers of independent voters breaking for Talarico,” commented Brandon Rottinghaus, Professor of Political Science at the University of Houston. 🎯 IMPACT: The poll shows Paxton with a slight lead over Talarico in the race for the Senate. However, due to Paxton’s lead falling within the margin of error, the race remains tight and fiercely contested. The race may be determined by Independent voters, with both Paxton and Talarico having to appeal to voters outside their traditional party base. The fact that the race is practically neck-and-neck places raises the stakes, especially since the state has been a Republican stronghold since 1994. The poll also shows how demographic changes driven by mass migration have helped the Democrats’ odds in the Lone Star State. |
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