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Tag: 2024 Election
October 24, 2024
William Upton
Data
Election 2024

Trump Might Have to Bail Out Ted Cruz – Should He?

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) may need some help from President Donald J. Trump in getting across the finish line in the Lone Star State. Recent polling data suggests Cruz, seeking his third term in the U.S. Senate, is running a concerning five points behind Trump in Texas. The gap suggests Cruz may be vulnerable, with his Democrat opponent, Colin Allred, running just a point behind him.

An October voter survey released by Emerson College shows Cruz leading Allred 48 percent to 47 percent. Meanwhile, Trump has a comfortable lead over Vice President Kamala Harris, with 53 percent to her 46 percent. While the five-point gap between Trump and Cruz is concerning, even more alarming is the survey suggesting independent voters are breaking for Allred 47 percent to 42 percent. Conversely, those same independents break for Trump with 49 percent to Harris’s 47 percent.

CRUZ’S JEFF ROE PROBLEM. 

Complicating matters in Texas is Cruz’s symbiotic relationship with Republican political consultant Jeff Roe. Without Roe, Cruz likely would not have won his initial Senate run in 2012, and without Cruz, Roe likely would still be a relatively unknown entity in campaign consulting outside his home state of Missouri.

While Roe‘s national profile took a severe hit during the 2024 Republican presidential primary—as the consultant spearheading Governor Ron DeSantis’s (R-FL) disastrous campaign—he retains relevance because of Cruz. However, there are some in both Trump-world and the Republican Party at large who may not mind seeing Sen. Cruz lose his seat if it means being rid of Roe once and for all. During the 2024 primary, Roe was often taunted by Trump campaign advisor Chris LaCivita on X (formerly Twitter), with the latter slamming Roe’s management of the pro-DeSantis Never Back Down SuperPAC.

After DeSantis dropped out of the race and endorsed Trump’s 2024 bid to retake the White House, LaCivita and Trump advisor Susie Wiles pushed lawmakers on Capitol Hill, including House Speaker Mike Johnson, to drop Roe as a consultant. Johnson, for his part, complied—cutting ties with Roe this past February.

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Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) may need some help from President Donald J. Trump in getting across the finish line in the Lone Star State. Recent polling data suggests Cruz, seeking his third term in the U.S. Senate, is running a concerning five points behind Trump in Texas. The gap suggests Cruz may be vulnerable, with his Democrat opponent, Colin Allred, running just a point behind him. show more
October 24, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024
NatSec

Kamala’s VP Tim Walz Brought Chinese Communists to Nebraska High School.

New allegations have surfaced alleging that Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) hosted a group of Chinese ‘educators’ while teaching in Nebraska in 1996. Some members of the Chinese delegation are now believed to have been Chinese Communist Party (CCP) officials connected to the regime’s intelligence and foreign influence operations.

The Chinese officials were brought to Walz’s classroom in Alliance, Nebraska, to “study the education system” of the United States, according to an Alliance Times-Herald report at the time. According to the U.S. intelligence community, China has routinely used seemingly innocuous cultural and educational exchange programs to engage in foreign espionage and to further its political interests.

Walz—the Democratic Party’s 2024 nominee as Kamala Harris’s running mate—faces increasing congressional scrutiny over his ties to China. Lawmakers on Capitol Hill have raised the prospect that the Minnesota Democrat could be a target of Chinese influence. In addition, some question whether his relations with individuals associated with the CCP constitute a potential national security risk.

Earlier this month, the House Oversight Committee requested that the Biden-Harris Department of Homeland Security (DHS) hand over documents pertaining to Walz and his ties to CCP officials. In a letter to Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, Oversight Chairman James Comer (R-KY) states his committee was informed by a whistleblower that communications exist between DHS personnel regarding their concerns about Walz and his ties to China.

This isn’t the first time the Alliance Times-Herald has reported on Walz’s connections to China. In a 1991 article, the Nebraska newspaper revealed that Walz lauded the ideals of international communism to students. The 2024 Democratic Party vice presidential nominee is quoted extolling the virtues of Chinese communism as a system where “everyone shares” and “everyone is the same.”

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New allegations have surfaced alleging that Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) hosted a group of Chinese 'educators' while teaching in Nebraska in 1996. Some members of the Chinese delegation are now believed to have been Chinese Communist Party (CCP) officials connected to the regime's intelligence and foreign influence operations. show more
October 24, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024
Immigration

Kamala Backs Mass Amnesty for Illegals in Rambling Interview.

Vice President Kamala Harris is backing mass amnesty for illegal immigrants instead of mass deportations, which are supported by a majority of the American people. The immigration policy revelation came during a disjointed response by the 2024 Democrat Party presidential nominee to a question posed by Telemundo.

“Right now, we’re talking about border security and there’s nobody—no Democrat—talking about a pathway to citizenship, an immigration relief,” pressed Telemundo’s Julio Vaqueiro before Harris interjected: “I am!”

Vaqueiro continued, emphasizing Democrats are not talking enough about the “benefits migrants bring to this country.” At this point, Harris engages in one of her signature rambling, nonsensical interview answers.

“Oh, but there is no question that [pause] migrants bring. America is a country that is, was built, in part, by immigrants,” the vice president says, appearing confused by her own response. When pressed further by Vaqueiro regarding concerns among immigrants about mass deportations, Harris—becoming visibly frustrated and angry—says: “I’m not talking about other… Uh, we need smart, humane immigration policy in America that includes a pathway to citizenship.”


The Biden-Harris government has overseen an unprecedented surge in illegal immigration across the U.S. southern border in its nearly four years in power. Upwards of 20 million or more foreign nationals are believed to have entered the country illegally between 2021 and 2024, resulting in violent foreign criminal gangs—like Venezula’s Tren de Aragua—establishing themselves in numerous American cities.

The unchecked flow of illegal immigrants has resulted in several high-profile incidents where U.S. citizens were murdered by migrants who had been released into the country by the Biden-Harris government pending an immigration court date.

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Vice President Kamala Harris is backing mass amnesty for illegal immigrants instead of mass deportations, which are supported by a majority of the American people. The immigration policy revelation came during a disjointed response by the 2024 Democrat Party presidential nominee to a question posed by Telemundo. show more
October 23, 2024
Election 2024
Lawfare

Biden-Harris DOJ Targets Elon Musk PAC Over Voter Sweepstakes.

The Biden-Harris Department of Justice (DOJ) has issued a warning to Elon Musk’s America PAC, cautioning that it may be violating laws prohibiting payments or incentives to influence voting. The warning was conveyed in a letter from Robert Heberle, who leads the DOJ’s election crimes branch, to America PAC’s attorney Chris Gober, and emphasized that offering anything of value to sway voting decisions contravenes federal laws.

There are no immediate legal actions indicated in the warning. However, Heberle outlines potential penalties for violating U.S. voting laws, including fines and imprisonment for up to five years. This comes as Musk, a technology industry billionaire and significant supporter of former President Donald J. Trump, has been promoting a $1 million sweepstakes targeting registered voters in swing states. The initiative, presented through the super PAC’s account on Musk’s social media platform X (formerly Twitter) and at rallies, asks registered voters to sign a petition in support of the First and Second Amendments.

Election law experts have raised concerns about the legality of the sweepstakes’ requirements. On his blog, seasoned election law expert Rick Hasen suggested that participants needing to demonstrate their voter registration could likely contravene voting regulations.

The DOJ is yet to publicly comment on the situation. Representatives from America PAC have repeatedly maintained that the $1 million sweepstakes contest is legal and in accordance with U.S. election laws.

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The Biden-Harris Department of Justice (DOJ) has issued a warning to Elon Musk’s America PAC, cautioning that it may be violating laws prohibiting payments or incentives to influence voting. The warning was conveyed in a letter from Robert Heberle, who leads the DOJ's election crimes branch, to America PAC’s attorney Chris Gober, and emphasized that offering anything of value to sway voting decisions contravenes federal laws. show more
October 23, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024

Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s Democrat Opponent Doesn’t Even Live in the District.

The Democratic Party candidate challenging Representative Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) doesn’t actually live in the congressional district she is seeking to represent. Whitney Fox, the Democratic nominee for Florida’s 13th Congressional District, actually lives about one mile outside the district’s eastern border, according to property records.

Since Fox is not an actual resident of the 13th Congressional District, the Florida Democratic Party candidate will not be able to vote for herself in November’s election. While Members of the House of Representatives may run in and represent congressional districts in which they do not reside, they must be residents of the state in which the district is located.

Florida’s 13th Congressional District stretches along the state’s Gulf coast from Tarpon Springs in the north to St. Pete Beach in the south. The district’s western border is the Gulf of Mexico, while its eastern line follows mostly Interstate 275 and U.S. Route 19, bisecting the southern portion of Pinellas County. This bisection pushes Fox’s residence outside the district.

According to Pinellas County, Florida property records, Fox and her husband reside in a home built on two lots at 121 24th Street S in Saint Petersburg. Consequently, the address is approximately a mile outside the 13th Congressional District’s lines and is actually located in the 14th Congressional District, which includes most of Saint Petersburg and Tampa.

In Congress, Rep. Luna has been a staunch ally of President Donald J. Trump and an outspoken critic of Democratic Party smears against the America First leader. Last year, the Florida Republican was instrumental in pushing for the censure of Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA) over his role in the Russia collusion hoax.

The National Pulse reported in September that Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s 2022 primary opponent, William Braddock, was charged by federal prosecutors for discussing hiring a hit squad to murder her.

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The Democratic Party candidate challenging Representative Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) doesn't actually live in the congressional district she is seeking to represent. Whitney Fox, the Democratic nominee for Florida's 13th Congressional District, actually lives about one mile outside the district's eastern border, according to property records. show more
October 23, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024
Media

The Atlantic Claims Trump Mistreated A Slain Soldier. Her Family Disagrees – Strongly.

Jeffrey Goldberg, the Editor-in-Chief of The Atlantic magazine, is pushing an unfounded smear campaign against President Donald J. Trump just weeks before the November presidential election. In a story regarding Trump’s relationship with the military, Goldberg—reliant on his signature use of hearsay quotes from anonymous sources—attempts to claim Trump denigrated murdered U.S. soldier Vanessa Guillén. However, Goldberg’s smear is receiving pushback from the Guillén family, namely Venessa’s sister Mayra Guillén.

“Wow. I don’t appreciate how you are exploiting my sister’s death for politics—hurtful [and] disrespectful to the important changes she made for service members,” Mayra Guillén wrote in a post on X (formerly Twitter), responding to The Atlantic and Goldberg. She added: “President Donald Trump did nothing but show respect to my family [and] Vanessa. In fact, I voted for President Trump today.”

‘ANONYMOUS SOURCES.’ 

Relying on anonymous sources and allegedly contemporaneous notes of a December 4, 2020, Oval Office meeting with national security and defense officials, Goldberg claims Trump balked at having to pay $60,000 for Vanessa Guillén’s funeral. According to Goldberg’s unnamed sources, Trump referred to the deceased soldier as “a f**king Mexican.” Notably, two officials present at the December meeting—former White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows and Kash Patel, Chief of Staff to the Secretary of Defense—are both on the record saying the former Republican president never said what Goldberg alleges.

In an even stranger twist, Goldberg goes on to insinuate—again without actual evidence—that a Trump campaign spokesman authored a statement from the Guillén family dismissing the allegations in his report. The Atlantic Editor-in-Chief goes out of his way to mention that he repeatedly asked the spokesman if they wrote the statement and that the individual repeatedly denied the accusation.

‘SUCKERS & LOSERS’ HOAX.

This isn’t the first time that Goldberg has attempted to smear Trump by publishing the gossip of anonymous Washington, D.C. insiders. Goldberg claimed in 2020 that Trump had, while in France for the 100th anniversary of the end of the First World War two years previously, called the country’s war dead “suckers” and “losers.”

The hoax was initially relayed to Goldberg through unnamed officials he alleges were familiar with the matter. However, 25 people, including 14 who had been part of Trump’s entourage in France, subsequently denied the remarks were ever made. John Bolton, who was present at the conversation where the “losers” comment was supposedly uttered, is among those who have confirmed the story is “simply false,” despite his hostile relationship with the former president.

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Jeffrey Goldberg, the Editor-in-Chief of The Atlantic magazine, is pushing an unfounded smear campaign against President Donald J. Trump just weeks before the November presidential election. In a story regarding Trump's relationship with the military, Goldberg—reliant on his signature use of hearsay quotes from anonymous sources—attempts to claim Trump denigrated murdered U.S. soldier Vanessa Guillén. However, Goldberg's smear is receiving pushback from the Guillén family, namely Venessa's sister Mayra Guillén. show more
October 23, 2024
Election 2024

‘GPS Spoofing’ Plagues GOP Canvassing App – What Does it Mean?

A video allegedly showing an America PAC vote canvasser in Nevada using GPS spoofing technology to simulate door-to-door voter outreach without actually visiting the locations is raising concerns President Donald J. Trump’s get-out-the-vote operation may be compromised. First obtained by the Guardian newspaper, the footage appears to be an instructional video outlining how users can download an application to falsely position themselves at targeted addresses, complete with fabricated survey responses.

America PAC—backed by a $75 million contribution from tech billionaire Elon Musk—has largely spearheaded voter outreach efforts for Trump’s presidential campaign in several critical swing states. If the use of GPS spoofing applications is widespread among canvassers, it could seriously undermine efforts to mobilize Trump’s voter base in critical battleground states like Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

Despite the release of the video, the full extent of the spoofing practice remains uncertain, largely due to the difficulty of detecting such activities without corroborative data from alternative tracking systems. However, the Guardian notes it casts doubt on the authenticity of voter interactions reported by America PAC’s field operations.

In response to these developments, America PAC, alongside its vendors Blitz, Patriot Grassroots, Echo Canyon, and the Synapse Group, issued a statement asserting their use of advanced auditing tools designed to identify fraudulent activities and ensure accountability within their operations. Additionally, Blitz—which oversees canvassing efforts in Arizona and Nevada—employs the Quickbooks Workforce app that includes tracking features—although these can be circumvented by disabling location services.

America PAC is not alone in facing such challenges; GPS spoofing has been a longstanding issue in political canvassing that is costly to monitor effectively.

Image by Bret Hartman / TED.

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A video allegedly showing an America PAC vote canvasser in Nevada using GPS spoofing technology to simulate door-to-door voter outreach without actually visiting the locations is raising concerns President Donald J. Trump's get-out-the-vote operation may be compromised. First obtained by the Guardian newspaper, the footage appears to be an instructional video outlining how users can download an application to falsely position themselves at targeted addresses, complete with fabricated survey responses. show more
October 22, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024

Kamala Campaign Smashes the Panic Button in Michigan.

Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign is fretting over whether the Democratic Vice President will be able to hold the so-called “blue wall” states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The three Rust Belt states typically trend together in terms of which candidate wins their electoral votes—though there are some signs that may change this election cycle. According to a senior Harris campaign official, Michigan has especially become a concern.

“There has been a thought that maybe Michigan or Wisconsin will fall off,” a Harris campaign official tells NBC News. The individual, along with other Harris campaign sources, stresses that Michigan is the bigger concern at the moment.

Should Harris lose either Michigan or Wisconsin, her path to the White House becomes far more difficult. The Democratic Vice President would need to make up for the loss with a win in North Carolina or a combination of several other swing states to reach 270 electoral votes. However, the Harris campaign is also feeling less confident regarding North Carolina, with at least one campaign official acknowledging the state appears to be slipping away.

A combination of factors is complicating the Democratic Party’s efforts to win Michigan. Arab-American voters are showing signs of turning against Harris over U.S. support for Israel’s war against Hamas and Hezbollah. Meanwhile, several recent endorsements of  President Donald J. Trump by Arab-American and Muslim leaders in Michigan are likely to push the community toward the Republican nominee.

Additionally, Trump has seen a surge in support from rank-and-file union members, with polling conducted by the Teamsters suggesting their members are breaking for the former president by a nearly two-to-one margin over Harris. A decisive break for Trump among working-class voters could potentially push the entire “blue wall” into the Republican column on election night.

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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Kamala Harris's presidential campaign is fretting over whether the Democratic Vice President will be able to hold the so-called "blue wall" states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The three Rust Belt states typically trend together in terms of which candidate wins their electoral votes—though there are some signs that may change this election cycle. According to a senior Harris campaign official, Michigan has especially become a concern. show more
October 22, 2024
Data
Election 2024

Just 28% of Men in Georgia Support Kamala Harris.

Vice President Kamala Harris‘s 2024 presidential campaign continues to struggle to win over male voters. A new survey in Georgia shows the Democratic candidate with just 28 percent support among men in the Peach State. Conducted by the University of Georgia’s Survey Research Center on behalf of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, the poll finds former President Donald J. Trump capturing 59 percent of male voters.

The survey suggests a substantial gender gap affects Harris’ campaign prospects in the crucial southern swing state, which offers 16 electoral votes. Harris’s approval rating among men stands at just 29 percent, with 59 percent disapproving of her performance. Meanwhile, Trump’s near two-to-one margin among male voters is a significant factor in his overall 47 percent to 43 percent lead over Harris in Georgia, according to the poll.

The gender gap does show a different picture among women, where Harris leads with 55 percent support compared to Trump’s 37 percent. However, this advantage is not sufficient to close the overall gap. In terms of age demographics, Trump leads across most groups except for the 30 to 44-year-olds, where Harris has a 10-point lead. Trump holds sway among 18 to 29-year-olds by eight points, 45 to 64-year-olds by 10 points, and seniors by two points.

Racial demographics also play a role in the current standings. Trump has substantial support from white voters, with 66 percent backing him against Harris’ 28 percent. Conversely, Harris garners 74 percent support from black voters, though 18 percent remain undecided, which is an increase from previous surveys.

Internal Democratic support poses a concern for Harris, with 11 percent of Democrats undecided despite her receiving 88 percent backing from the party. Meanwhile, 95 percent of Republicans support Trump. The survey further notes the competitive race for the vice presidency in Georgia, with Republican J.D. Vance holding a slight edge over Democrat Tim Walz in approval ratings.

Overall, 41 percent of respondents believe Trump will likely win in November, while 39 percent think Harris will emerge victorious.

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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Vice President Kamala Harris's 2024 presidential campaign continues to struggle to win over male voters. A new survey in Georgia shows the Democratic candidate with just 28 percent support among men in the Peach State. Conducted by the University of Georgia's Survey Research Center on behalf of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, the poll finds former President Donald J. Trump capturing 59 percent of male voters. show more
October 22, 2024
Election 2024
Election Integrity

Voting Chaos as Election Websites Crash.

Several county election websites in Florida experienced outages this week as early in-person voting commenced across the state. These disruptions impacted sites containing essential state election information, including voting locations and times.

According to state election officials, an investigation is ongoing to determine the cause. Initial suggestions point to heavy web traffic as a potential factor. The websites appeared to have been restored to working order by Tuesday.

VR Systems, a Tallahassee-based tech company providing hosting services for these election sites, acknowledged some sites began experiencing crashes last week. However, the company insists there is currently “no indication of malicious activity,” ruling out cyberattacks for the time being.

This incident echoes a similar situation from August, when county election websites faced outages, igniting fears of possible cyberattacks. Although the Florida Secretary of State, Cord Byrd, initially did not dismiss the possibility of hacking, VR Systems later accepted responsibility for the glitches.

Some counties, like Hillsborough, Pasco, and Pinellas, offered backup versions of their websites, ensuring the availability of vital information for voters. Joe Scott, the election supervisor for Broward County, expressed concerns that the issues could be linked to those from the summer. However, VR Systems claims that significant changes were implemented, and outside experts were consulted to prevent recurrence.

Despite the website disruptions, in-person voting in Florida continued unaffected. Wesley Wilcox, the elections supervisor in Marion County, reported a strong early voter turnout. “All my early voting sites opened at 8 AM, and there were people in line at every one of them,” he said.

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Several county election websites in Florida experienced outages this week as early in-person voting commenced across the state. These disruptions impacted sites containing essential state election information, including voting locations and times. show more