PredictIt Plays of the Week: Cruz 2020 and the Alabama Senate Race

It’s been a couple weeks since I last wrote a PredictIt column, but I assure you I haven’t gone anywhere. If you’re wondering about my last LOCK, check out my column from two weeks ago: the Kelly/Priebus contract still has not been adjudicated by PredictIt, and the contract is still open for trading. I stand by my prediction that PredictIt will rule in favor of the Kelly contract holders, although it remains to be seen when exactly that will happen. This week I have two new LOCKS for you. LOCK: Ted Cruz Won’t Run for President in 2020 Market: Will Ted

PredictIt Plays of the Week: Trump’s Cabinet Shakeup Provides Big Opportunity

Sometimes, you don’t even need to be a politics whiz in order to win at PredictIt. You just have to read the rules. This week, I have a rules interpretation that could nearly double the smart reader’s investment. LOCK: Secretary John Kelly First to “Leave” Trump’s Cabinet Market: Will John F. Kelly (DHS) Be The First Person on Trump’s Cabinet List to Leave? Expiration Date: Soon The market for who will be first to leave President Trump’s cabinet is still open, despite Reince Priebus leaving last week and Secretary of Homeland Security John F. Kelly taking over as Chief of

PredictIt Plays of the Week: Healthcare Is Back, and the GOP House Will Be Too

A couple weeks ago, when The National Pulse began this PredictIt-centric column, I promised that the healthcare bill had no chance of passing the Senate by July 31: This contract specifically states that the Better Care Reconciliation Act — i.e. the Obamacare repeal and replace bill — has to pass the Senate by July 31 for it to resolve to YES. Everything I’ve read and heard from Capitol Hill indicates that the 50 votes needed to pass this through the Senate simply aren’t there. With NO shares at 89 cents currently, we’re looking at a 12.3 percent gain in just

PredictIt Plays of the Week: Trump’s Here to Stay, and So Is the GOP Senate

Last week, The National Pulse started a new feature where I take a look at the betting markets over at PredictIt and examine the best opportunities for investment each week. If you’re not sure what PredictIt is, be sure to check out this primer about PredictIt and betting markets in general. I made two predictions in the first edition of this column: LOCK: Obamacare Repeal-and-Replace Ain’t Gonna Happen This Month VALUE PLAY: Could Justice Thomas Be The Next To Retire? I think it’s safe to call the LOCK. The price for NO shares on the Better Care Reconciliation Act passing

PredictIt Plays of the Week: No Obamacare Repeal, Thomas Next Justice Out?

Have you heard of PredictIt? PredictIt is a prediction market that attempts to “guess” the outcome to a number of political questions. For example, during the 2016 election, PredictIt had a market for “Will Donald Trump win the presidency?”. On PredictIt, you have the opportunity to buy YES shares and NO shares on any of these questions for anywhere between $0.01 and $0.99/share. When the question resolves to a YES, the YES shares will close at $1 and the NO shares will close at $0, and vice versa. This creates a market. When an event is perceived to be more