Donald Trump is maintaining his lead over Joe Biden in all seven swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
The former president’s poll lead over his 81-year-old successor is as high as 10 points in Nevada, with similarly high nine-point leads in North Carolina and Georgia. Biden officially won Nevada and Georgia in 2020, the latter by just 11,779 votes.
Trump polls six points ahead of Biden in Arizona, five points ahead of Biden in Pennsylvania, four points ahead of Biden in Wisconsin, and three points ahead of Biden in Michigan, where the Democrat is struggling to retain the support of Muslims angry at his stance on the Israel-Hamas war. Biden officially won all of these states in 2020.
Professor John Lott, a senior adviser for research and statistics at the Justice Department’s Office of Justice Programs, estimated up to 368,000 “excess votes” were cast for Biden across Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in 2020.
Lott raised particular concern over the enormous expansion of absentee ballots in 2020, noting that “35 of the 47 countries in Europe ban absentee voting entirely” due to fraud concerns.
Emerson/The Hill poll of Trump-Biden-RFK Jr-West-Stein matchup in swing states:
• Nevada: Trump +10
• North Carolina: Trump +9
• Georgia: Trump +9
• Arizona: Trump +6
• Pennsylvania: Trump +5
• Wisconsin: Trump +4
• Michigan: Trump +3
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NEVADA
Trump 44% (+10)
Biden 34%… https://t.co/ziD9NR1Q8R pic.twitter.com/j8AS8QiUry— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 27, 2024