French banking group Crédit Agricole has produced an analysis of the 2024 US presidential election indicating they believe Democrat lawfare against former President Donald Trump is unlikely to damage his presidential bid. Crédit Agricole analysts led by Valentin Marinov said they believe President Joe Biden and Donald Trump will reach their respective party conventions late this summer without issue.
Marinov listed several legal challenges against Trump, including allegations of federal election interference, but concluded that these matters are unlikely to impact his campaign significantly. He added that even a prison sentence would not prevent Trump from running in the election, according to Crédit Agricole’s legal analysis. Additionally, the banking group does not believe Democrats will replace Biden as their nominee despite mounting health concerns.
In addition to their political analysis, Crédit Agricole laid a timeline of key dates for their clients in the lead-up to the U.S. presidential election. The Republican convention is set to take place from July 15-18 in Milwaukee, while the Democratic convention will be held from August 19-22 in Chicago. Marinov’s analysis indicates that betting markets narrowly favor Trump based on his polling in swing states.
Meanwhile, Dr. Gad Saad, a marketing professor at Concordia University in Montreal, raised concerns about Democrats’ attempts to abuse the election system. He cites sham impeachments, the suppression of relevant evidence, attempts to alter the structure of the Supreme Court, fraudulent voter practices, and unlawful attempts to remove Trump from the ballot box as mechanisms being used to undermine the electoral process.