Democrat dominance in New Hampshire‘s presidential elections may be coming to an end. A new poll shows Joe Biden, the 81-year-old Democrat incumbent, narrowly trailing former President Donald J. Trump in the Granite State. The survey, conducted on behalf of the New Hampshire Journal, has former President Trump with 36.6 percent support, Biden at 36.5 percent support, and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. at 14.6 percent support. However, 12.4 percent of the respondents chose “None of these,” indicating a significant undecided vote remains in the state.
Former President Trump‘s lead over Biden in New Hampshire is likely the reason for the Democrat incumbent’s second trip to the state in several months. On Tuesday, Biden will make a campaign stop in New Hampshire, where he is expected to peddle his government’s spin on a weak economy and promise economic relief for middle-class families.
“This helps to put President Biden’s visit this week into greater context, as that sound you hear is the 2024 battleground map expanding for Donald Trump, seemingly putting New Hampshire in play this fall,” said Republican strategist Jim Merrill, who worked on the Mitt Romney and Marco Rubio presidential campaigns in the state. Compared to 2020, Biden is lagging in support among independent swing voters in the state.
The fact that Biden is having to spend time in the state so early in the 2024 presidential cycle is a point of concern for Democrats as they’ve won the state in the past five presidential contests. However, Trump nearly won New Hampshire in 2016 — losing the state to Hillary Clinton by just 0.3 percent.