Populist leader Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) party is projected to win upcoming snap elections in France. President Emmanuel Macron called the elections after his globalist Renaissance party received only half the populists’ support in elections to the European Parliament.
Polling conducted by Toluna Harris Interactive for Challenges, M6, and RTL indicates that National Rally could secure 235 to 265 seats in the French legislature, a significant increase from its current 88—although still short of the 289 needed for an outright majority.
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Macron’s party may see its representation halved from 250 seats to between 125 and 155. Leftist parties might collectively hold 115 to 145 seats, running independently.
RN’s lead in the poll does not guarantee it will form a government, with the possibility of a broad coalition of establishment parties or a hung parliament still on the table.
Even if RN wins a majority, Macron will remain president for the next three years, continuing to oversee defense and foreign policy. Any RN prime minister would wield substantially less power than Macron, with the French system affording the president more executive power than other countries that retain both offices, such as Ireland.
Following Macron’s election announcement, talks of a populist coalition are in the works. RN leaders Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella met with Le Pen’s niece, Marion Maréchal, of the smaller Reconquête (Reconquest) party, to discuss a potential alliance.
The divided French left is also engaging in discussions to form a unified front.
Editor’s Notes
Behind-the-scenes political intrigue exclusively for Pulse+ subscribers.
Look, I think these are some wildly optimistic numbers but the fact they’re coming from establishment sources tells us one of two things: They’ve mustered some fake data very, very quickly to give RN a false sense of security; Macron has underestimated just how poorly his party is performing with the public
Look, I think these are some wildly optimistic numbers but the fact they’re coming from establishment sources tells us one of two things: They’ve mustered some fake data very, very quickly to give RN a false sense of security; Macron has underestimated just how poorly his party is performing with the public show more
❓WHAT HAPPENED: The Czech president has tasked billionaire former Prime Minister Andrej Babis with leading talks to form the next government following his party’s recent election victory.
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👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Czech President Petr Pavel and Andrej Babis.
📍WHEN & WHERE: The announcement was made on Monday in the Czech Republic.
🎯IMPACT: The decision sets the stage for government formation talks in the Czech Republic following the parliamentary election.
IN FULL
Czech President Petr Pavel has appointed Andrej Babis, the billionaire former prime minister whose populist ANO party emerged victorious in the recent parliamentary vote, to spearhead negotiations for a new coalition government. Pavel announced the appointment during a public address on Monday, stressing the need to safeguard core democratic values amid the process.
This step comes on the heels of ANO’s strong showing in the elections earlier this month, cementing Babis’s central role in shaping the country’s next administration. As a prominent entrepreneur and past head of government, Babis now faces the challenge of forging alliances to deliver a cohesive ruling coalition in the European Union (EU) member state.
Babis’s ascent reflects a broader surge in populist momentum across the continent, where nationalist and anti-establishment populist movements are reshaping the electoral landscape. In the European Parliament, for instance, ANO has aligned with the Patriots for Europe bloc, launched in late June 2024 by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party—which includes Austria’s Freedom Party and Spain’s VOX, and is poised to rank as the chamber’s third-largest faction if it absorbs the Identity and Democracy group.
This continental wave has seen similar breakthroughs elsewhere, such as in Portugal’s May 2025 snap elections, where the anti-immigration Chega party, under André Ventura, captured a record 22.56 percent of the vote amid public frustration over corruption and border policies, nearly matching the opposition Socialists and pressuring the center-right Democratic Alliance to run a minority government.
The populist rise has also provoked backlash from establishment powers, as evidenced by Romania’s December 2024 constitutional court decision to void its presidential runoff, after pro-Trump nationalist Călin Georgescu’s unexpected first-round triumph, citing alleged Russian-linked social media meddling. The move was decried by critics as an undemocratic ploy to thwart populist gains, echoing patterns in other EU states.
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❓WHAT HAPPENED: A man was arrested for allegedly posting a $45,000 bounty on U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi’s life via TikTok.
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👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Tyler Maxon Avalos, a 29-year-old Minnesota resident, and U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi.
📍WHEN & WHERE: Avalos was detained on October 16, following a Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) investigation into his TikTok post.
💬KEY QUOTE: “[Avalos] has a multistate conviction history including a July 2022 felony stalking conviction,” noted the FBI affidavit.
🎯IMPACT: Avalos faces federal charges and a potential prison sentence for interstate transmission of a threat to injure another person.
IN FULL
A 29-year-old Minnesota man, Tyler Maxon Avalos, has been arrested by federal agents after allegedly offering a $45,000 bounty for the killing of U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi. According to court filings, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) detained Avalos on October 16 after receiving a tip about what investigators described as an online “murder-for-hire” plot.
Authorities say Avalos posted a photo of Bondi on TikTok with a red target symbol over her forehead and the caption: “WANTED: Pam Bondi / REWARD: 45,000 DEAD OR ALIVE (PREFERABLY DEAD).”
Federal agents say Avalos used the screen name “Wacko” and linked to an “An Anarchist FAQ book” on his profile, suggesting anarchist ideological motives.
Court documents reveal Avalos has a history of violence, including convictions for felony stalking in 2022 and felony domestic battery in 2016, as well as a reduced charge of misdemeanor domestic assault that same year. He now faces a federal charge of interstate transmission of a threat to injure another person. If convicted, he could face years in federal prison.
Filings refer to Avalos’s “anarchist ties.” His attorney, Daniel Gerdts, declined to discuss the case in detail but insisted his client “is not guilty of any crime.” Pam Bondi has not issued any public comment on the matter.
The arrest comes amid a broader national focus on left-wing extremist groups and anarchist movements. Recent incidents involving Antifa-style agitation have drawn renewed attention from law enforcement. Earlier this month, a man wearing an “Antifa-style mask” was arrested for allegedly opening fire on a Trump supporter’s home after attempting to remove a pro-Trump banner. Federal prosecutors have also brought the first-ever terrorism charges against self-described Antifa members following a sniper attack on a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) facility.
Meanwhile, Rutgers professor Mark Bray, author of Antifa: The Anti-Fascist Handbook, has reportedly left the United States, fearing reprisals. Bray has denied being part of Antifa, stating, “I’m not now, nor have I ever been.”
Notably, the Trump administration directed banks and financial institutions to monitor possible funding of Antifa and other left-wing domestic terror groups in recent weeks.
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❓WHAT HAPPENED: President Donald J. Trump has hinted again at the possibility of a third presidential run, but ruled out serving as Vice President.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: President Trump, WarRoom host and former White House Chief Strategist Stephen K. Bannon, Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX), and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY).
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📍WHEN & WHERE: Trump made the remarks aboard Air Force One on Monday, en route to Japan.
💬KEY QUOTE: “Am I not ruling it out? You’ll have to tell me.” – Donald Trump
🎯IMPACT: Trump’s comments fuel speculation about his potential return to the presidential race, while squashing speculation about a bid for the vice presidency.
IN FULL
President Donald J. Trump has not ruled out the possibility of running for the presidency again, stating he has “the best numbers ever” during a conversation with reporters aboard Air Force One on Monday. The comments were made as Trump traveled to Japan, which has just sworn in a new, anti-mass migration prime minister.
When asked about WarRoom host and former White House Chief Strategist Stephen K. Bannon recent remarks suggesting Trump win a third term in 2028, Trump responded, “I would love to do it.” Pressed further on whether he was ruling out another run, Trump said, “Am I not ruling it out? You’ll have to tell me.”
Among fellow Republicans, Trump floated Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio as possible successors, saying he was “not sure anyone would run against those two.” The America First leader also criticized Democrats, claiming, “We have a great, a great group of people, which they don’t,” specifically mentioning Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX) and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), referring to them as “low IQ.”
However, while addressing a theory that he could return to the White House by running as Vice President and having the presidential candidate step aside for him after the election, Trump dismissed the idea as “too cute,” adding, “It wouldn’t be right.”
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❓WHAT HAPPENED: A woman and her four-day-old newborn died after the woman was allegedly strangled, and their home was set on fire in Buffalo, New York.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Kathleen Carrig, her infant son Noah, and her boyfriend, Kidane Haile, who has been charged with second-degree murder.
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📍WHEN & WHERE: The killings occurred on October 18, 2025, at an apartment on Norwood Avenue in Buffalo, New York.
💬KEY QUOTE: “My thoughts remain with the family of these victims as we continue to seek answers and justice.” – District Attorney Mike Keane
🎯IMPACT: Haile faces up to 25 years to life in prison if convicted, with additional charges anticipated in the coming weeks.
IN FULL
A 29-year-old woman and her four-day-old newborn have been killed in Buffalo, New York. Authorities allege that the woman’s boyfriend, 30-year-old Kidane Haile, strangled her before setting their apartment ablaze with the infant, Noah, inside.
On October 23, the Erie County District Attorney’s Office announced Haile’s indictment and arraignment for second-degree murder in the death of Kathleen Carrig. Prosecutors indicated that further charges are forthcoming as the investigation continues, particularly concerning the newborn’s death.
The killings took place on October 18 at an apartment on Norwood Avenue. Firefighters found Carrig and her child dead at the scene. Haile, treated for smoke inhalation, was later arrested after investigators determined the fire was suspicious. The Erie County Medical Examiner ruled Carrig’s death as asphyxia due to strangulation.
At a press conference, District Attorney Mike Keane accused Haile of deliberately killing Carrig before starting the fire, stating, “The people intend to seek charges in respect to an additional victim in this case and intend to file a superseding indictment in the very near future.”
Haile, a financial aid advisor at the University of Buffalo, is detained without bail at the Erie County Holding Center. He has pleaded not guilty to the charges.
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❓WHAT HAPPENED: D.C. police are investigating a series of shootings across seven locations that left 11 people injured within a nine-hour span.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Victims included men, women, juveniles, and a five-year-old boy. Suspects were described in multiple incidents, with two arrested and three weapons recovered in one case.
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📍WHEN & WHERE: The shootings occurred on Friday, October 24, 2025, and early Saturday, October 25, 2025, in various locations across Washington, D.C., including Howard Place NW, Yuma Street SE, and Savannah Terrace SE.
💬KEY QUOTE: “Police urge anyone with information on these cases to call (202) 727-9099 or text 50411.”
🎯IMPACT: The shootings have prompted heightened police investigations, including the involvement of homicide detectives in one severe case.
IN FULL
Between Friday and early Saturday, Washington, D.C., was struck by a wave of shootings across seven locations, injuring 11 people. The violent spree unfolded over nine hours, affecting victims from juveniles to adults, including a five-year-old boy who suffered a gunshot to the face.
The Metropolitan Police Department reported the incidents began around 5:37 PM on Friday when officers arrived at a hospital where two juvenile females, one shot, were being treated. At 5:49 PM, a teenage male was found shot in the 200 block of 50th Street SE. At 7:30 PM, a man was discovered shot in the 3100 block of 16th Street NW. Soon after, at 8:18 PM, a five-year-old boy was shot on Savannah Terrace SE.
At 8:23 PM, police responded to the 600 block of Howard Place NW, finding five victims—three men, one woman, and a male teen—injured. Two suspects were arrested at the scene, and three weapons were seized. At 9:54 PM, two men were found shot on Benning Road NE. The final incident occurred at 1:56 AM on Saturday, when a man with life-threatening injuries was found in an apartment building on Hiatt Place NW, prompting a homicide investigation.
The shootings highlight persistent concerns about crime in Washington, D.C. In August, President Donald J. Trump declared a crime emergency in the American capital, federalizing local law enforcement and surging federal agents and National Guard troops into the city in a successful crime crackdown. However, this has since ended, with some federal presence remaining but the MPD largely back under the control of Democrat mayor Muriel Bowser.
❓WHAT HAPPENED: Interstellar object 3I/ATLAS is set to reach its perihelion, the closest point to the Sun on its trajectory, on October 29.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Harvard astronomer Avi Loeb, NASA scientist Tom Statler, and the broader scientific community.
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📍WHEN & WHERE: October 29, 2025; the object is currently on the opposite side of the Sun relative to Earth.
💬KEY QUOTE: “If you want to take a vacation, take it before [October 29], because who knows what will happen?” – Avi Loeb
🎯IMPACT: Loeb’s theory of extraterrestrial origin has sparked debate, but most scientists believe 3I/ATLAS is a natural comet.
IN FULL
The mysterious interstellar object 3I/ATLAS is expected to reach the nearest point to the Sun on October 29, following its unusual trajectory through the solar system. Currently, the object is opposite the Earth on the other side of the Sun. While most scientists have concluded that 3I/ATLAS is a comet comprising carbon dioxide ice, Harvard astronomer Avi Loeb continues to suggest that the object could be an extraterrestrial “mothership” sent by an intelligent civilization.
As evidence of his claim—which some critics suggest is more of a publicity stunt than a serious proposal—Loeb notes the interstellar object’s unusual trajectory given its size, and claims the object’s path, taking it close to Mars, Venus, and Jupiter, may be more than “extremely rare coincidences.”
Late Thursday, Loeb wrote in a post on Medium, “If you want to take a vacation, take it before [October 29], because who knows what will happen?” He elaborated on the potential for the object to use the Sun’s gravitational pull to accelerate or slow down, referencing the Oberth effect, a principle in physics that allows a spacecraft to generate more energy when its engine is fired at higher speeds.
“If 3I/ATLAS is a massive mothership, it will likely continue along its original gravitational path and ultimately exit the Solar system,” Loeb posits. He speculates: “In that case, the Oberth maneuver might apply to the mini-probes it releases at perihelion towards Solar system planets.”
NASA’s lead scientist for solar system small bodies, Tom Statler, has dismissed Loeb’s theory, stating, “It looks like a comet. It does comet things. It very, very strongly resembles, in just about every way, the comets that we know.” However, Statler did acknowledge that the object has “some interesting properties that are a little bit different from our solar system comets.”
Loeb has admitted that the likelihood of 3I/ATLAS being technological in origin is slim, but emphasized the importance of evidence-based science. “As of now, 3I/ATLAS appears most likely to be a natural comet,” he wrote in a blog post. “But the remote possibility of an Oberth maneuver must be considered seriously as a black swan event with a small probability, because of its huge implications for humanity.”
❓WHAT HAPPENED: Democrats in Virginia and Colorado are exploring redistricting measures ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, following similar moves by Republicans in states like Texas and North Carolina.
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👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Virginia Democrats, Colorado Democrats, Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin (R), Colorado Attorney General Phil Weiser (D), and various state party chairmen.
📍WHEN & WHERE: Recent developments in Virginia and Colorado as part of a broader national redistricting debate ahead of the 2026 midterms.
💬KEY QUOTE: “This is a shameless, reprehensible political power grab by Democrat lawmakers desperate for anything to distract from the disastrous Democrat Shutdown and Jay Jones’ demented comments and criminal investigation.” – Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin.
🎯IMPACT: Intensifying redistricting battles could reshape the balance of power in the House of Representatives, with both parties eyeing potential gains.
IN FULL
Democrats in Virginia and Colorado are weighing congressional redistricting plans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, mirroring recent moves by Republicans in states such as Texas, North Carolina, Missouri, and Indiana. In Virginia, Democrat lawmakers are reportedly exploring ways to create two or three additional districts favorable to their party. In Colorado, Democrats are considering a constitutional amendment to allow mid-decade redistricting, a move that would require approval from 55 percent of voters.
Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin (R) sharply criticized the proposal, saying, “This is a shameless, reprehensible political power grab by Democrat lawmakers desperate for anything to distract from the disastrous Democrat Shutdown and Jay Jones’ demented comments and criminal investigation.”
Colorado Attorney General Phil Weiser (D) defended the idea of changing the law to match actions in Republican-led states, saying, “If you see states breaking the norm doing mid-decade redistricting, give a mechanism so that we can match it.”
Currently, Democrats hold five of Virginia’s eleven congressional seats and four of Colorado’s eight. Both states have several competitive districts that could shift under new maps.
The push in Virginia and Colorado comes amid a nationwide redistricting battle. In Texas, Governor Greg Abbott (R) signed a redistricting bill in August that could eliminate five Democratic-leaning seats, strengthening the GOP’s hold on the state’s delegation. The plan was endorsed by President Donald J. Trump and quickly approved by the Republican-controlled legislature.
Democrats in California have also sought to redraw their state’s congressional boundaries through a proposed ballot measure backed by Governor Gavin Newsom (D). The plan could potentially yield up to five new Democratic seats by allowing the legislature to take temporary control of the redistricting process from the state’s independent commission.
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❓WHAT HAPPENED:New York Attorney General Letitia James (D) announced a new online tool for reporting supposed misconduct by federal immigration agents.
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👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Letitia James, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), Border Patrol, and members of the public.
📍WHEN & WHERE: The announcement was made Wednesday, following a recent ICE raid on Canal Street in Manhattan.
💬KEY QUOTE: “If you witnessed and documented ICE activity yesterday, I urge you to share that footage with my office.” – Letitia James
🎯IMPACT: The tool allows the public to submit evidence of supposed federal misconduct, potentially leading to legal reviews or public reports.
IN FULL
New York Attorney General Letitia James has introduced a new online reporting portal designed to collect evidence of supposed misconduct by federal immigration agents operating in the state. The “Federal Action Reporting Form” allows residents to upload videos, photos, and detailed accounts of immigration enforcement activity, including links from social media platforms such as YouTube, Instagram, and Facebook.
“Every New Yorker has the right to live without fear or intimidation,” James said in a statement. “If you witnessed and documented ICE activity yesterday, I urge you to share that footage with my office. We are committed to reviewing these reports and assessing any violations of law.” The initiative follows a U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) raid on Manhattan’s Canal Street that outraged liberals.
Notably, the launch comes as James faces mounting personal legal troubles. In October 2025, she was indicted by a federal grand jury in Virginia on charges of bank fraud and making false statements to a financial institution. Prosecutors allege that she misrepresented a 2020 Norfolk property as a second home to obtain favorable mortgage terms, while treating it as a rental. The Justice Department estimates she gained roughly $19,000 over the life of the loan.
James has pleaded not guilty, and her attorneys have argued the case is politically motivated, despite her own history of pursuing dubious civil and criminal actions against President Donald J. Trump and his business empire.
❓WHAT HAPPENED: Security officers opened fire at a U-Haul truck that accelerated toward them outside a U.S. Coast Guard base in Alameda, California, during an anti-ICE protest.
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👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Coast Guard security officers, a U-Haul driver, and protesters near the base.
📍WHEN & WHERE: Thursday night at the entrance to Coast Guard Island in Alameda, California.
💬KEY QUOTE: “He just hit the gas and sped towards them. And that’s when they opened fire. About 20 to 30 rounds.” – Eyewitness Rick Villaroman
🎯IMPACT: No injuries to Coast Guard personnel were reported; the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) is leading an investigation into the incident.
IN FULL
Security officers opened fire on a U-Haul truck that accelerated toward them outside the U.S. Coast Guard base in Alameda, California, during an anti-ICE protest, in a dramatic incident caught on video. The events unfolded near the end of a day-long demonstration against federal immigration enforcement operations staged at the base.
The truck reversed quickly toward officers guarding the bridge to Coast Guard Island, despite instructions to stop, resulting in a volley of gunfire. The truck then began accelerating forward. Photographer Rick Villaroman, who was at the scene, said, “He just hit the gas and sped towards them. And that’s when they opened fire. About 20 to 30 rounds.”
Witnesses said the vehicle struck two bystanders before the masked driver stopped briefly, appeared to check his phone, and then drove off. According to Villaroman, the driver abandoned the truck nearby after it had been parked outside the base for most of the day. The Coast Guard said the vehicle’s actions posed a direct threat to security personnel. Notably, U-Haul trucks have been used in multiple terror attacks and attempted terror attacks in the U.S. and Canada in recent years. Most notably, an Islamic State jihadist admitted to the U.S. from Uzbekistan on a Diversity Immigrant Visa, used a U-Haul to murder eight people on a crowded bike path in Lower Manhattan in 2017.
The confrontation in Alameda follows a series of violent incidents targeting immigration enforcement personnel across the country. Federal officials have warned of a sharp rise in attacks against Immigration and U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents and facilities. In one of the most serious recent cases, federal prosecutors charged a group of self-described Antifa members with terrorism after a sniper attack on an ICE facility in Alvarado, Texas. Investigators allege the suspects coordinated the ambush using encrypted apps and targeted agents with gunfire and explosives.
In Chicago, local police have faced criticism for reportedly ordering officers to “stand down” rather than assist ICE agents surrounded by protesters, prompting outrage from the city’s police union. Meanwhile, federal data show a massive increase in assaults on ICE officers compared with last year, according to a July statement from DHS.
#BREAKING: Video from KPIX photojournalist Rick Villaroman shows a U-Haul driver backing up toward a line of officers outside US Coast Guard base Alameda before officers opened fire. This was hours after almost all protesters dispersed. Awaiting an update from police @KPIXtvpic.twitter.com/UPrc3CDT3l
❓WHAT HAPPENED: The provincial government of Ontario, Canada, has decided to pause its anti-tariff ad campaign targeting the U.S. following criticism from President Donald J. Trump.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: Ontario Premier Doug Ford, President Trump, and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney.
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📍WHEN & WHERE: The announcement was made on Friday, with the pause taking effect on Monday. The ad aired in the U.S. during World Series games.
💬KEY QUOTE: “Based on their egregious behavior, ALL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WITH CANADA ARE HEREBY TERMINATED.” – Donald Trump
🎯IMPACT: Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada are now stalled, with Ontario’s ad campaign drawing criticism for its use of selectively edited remarks by the late President Ronald Reagan to undermine President Trump’s tariff policies.
IN FULL
Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s second attempt at meddling in U.S.-Canadian talks lasted less than 24 hours. After launching a media campaign attacking U.S. President Donald J. Trump‘s tariff polices, featuring an ad using out-of-context audio from a speech delivered by the late President Ronald Reagan, Ford agreed to pull the television spot on Friday afternoon.
The misleading media campaign drew swift criticism from President Trump overnight, with the America First leader announcing he was breaking offtrade talks with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney as a result. Notably, the Ronald Reagan Foundation, which controls the rights to the audio, condemned the ad, threatening legal action against the Ontario government for its use without permission.
Late Friday, Ford announced that the campaign will be paused on Monday to allow trade negotiations to resume. However, he also confirmed that the ad would continue to air over the weekend during the first two World Series games. Trump, in a post on Truth Social, called the ad “FAKE” and accused Ontario of interfering with U.S. policy decisions. He stated, “Based on their egregious behavior, ALL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WITH CANADA ARE HEREBY TERMINATED.”
The ad in question used Reagan’s voice to argue against tariffs, with lines such as “High tariffs inevitably lead to retaliation by foreign countries and the triggering of fierce trade wars.” However, Reagan did deploy tariffs at times to protect American workers and advance American trade interests, for instance by imposing a 100 percent tariff on Japanese electronics.
White House spokesman Kush Desai condemned Ontario’s campaign, calling it misleading and a distraction from serious trade discussions. “Ontario’s taxpayer-funded ad campaign on American TV networks—that misleadingly edited President Reagan’s 1987 radio address about trade—is the latest example of how Canadian officials would rather play games than engage with the administration,” Desai said in a statement.
This past March, Ford was forced to abandon his first attempt to derail trade talks, the imposition of an electricity tariff on the U.S., in less than 24 hours as well.
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