With fewer than two months until Election Day in the United States, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are entering the final phase of their campaigns. Polling data shows an inconclusive split between the two candidates. Despite Harris’s media-boosted surge when she announced her candidacy in late July, recent polls indicate a shift back toward Trump.
The latest New York Times/Siena College poll conducted from September 3 to 6 shows Trump leading Harris by just one percentage point, at 48 percent to Harris’s 47 percent. The poll’s three-point margin of error suggests that the race remains close. Both 2016 and 2020 polls showed Trump way behind his competitors at this stage in the race.
The results are significant as they come just two days before the first head-to-head debate between the candidates, scheduled for September 10 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, and hosted by ABC News.
In swing states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, the race remains highly competitive. Trump and Harris appear tied in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and North Carolina at 48 percent each. Harris slightly leads in Pennsylvania by one point and holds a two-point advantage in Michigan and Wisconsin.
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