PULSE POINTS:
❓What Happened: U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May showed a modest increase, with headline and core inflation both below expectations.
👥 Who’s Involved: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, President Donald J. Trump, and market analysts.
📍 Where & When: United States, May 2025.
💬 Key Quote: “CPI JUST OUT. GREAT NUMBERS! FED SHOULD LOWER ONE FULL POINT. WOULD PAY MUCH LESS INTEREST ON DEBT COMING DUE. SO IMPORTANT!!!” President Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social.
⚠️ Impact: Despite corporate media and Wall Street fearmongering that President Trump’s tariffs would reignite inflation, prices have held steady with no evidence of a spike in inflationary pressure.
IN FULL:
The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for May 2025 revealed a modest 0.1 percent month-over-month increase, falling short of analysts’ expectations of 0.2 percent. Year-over-year, headline CPI rose to 2.4 percent, up slightly from April’s 2.3 percent, according to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also rose 0.1 percent month-over-month, maintaining a 2.8 percent annual increase—its lowest since March 2021. Predictions from Wall Street and corporate media pundits warning of significant inflationary pressures tied to tariffs have failed to materialize, as energy prices notably declined by 1.0 percent in May, driven by falling gasoline costs.
“CPI JUST OUT. GREAT NUMBERS! FED SHOULD LOWER ONE FULL POINT,” President Donald J. Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social on Wednesday. “WOULD PAY MUCH LESS INTEREST ON DEBT COMING DUE. SO IMPORTANT!!!”
The America First leader has repeatedly pushed Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell to lower interest rates, though the overly cautious central bank chief has been reluctant to do so. Concerningly, the Federal Reserve’s inaction regarding rates could result in the U.S. economy moving into a deflationary cycle, which would have significant negative impacts. Notably, the data shows deflationary signals when shelter costs are removed from the May CPI report.
Shelter costs, a significant component of the CPI, increased 0.3 percent in May, contributing to the overall rise. The index for rent rose by 0.2 percent, while owners’ equivalent rent also climbed 0.3 percent. However, the lodging away from home index fell slightly, by 0.1 percent.
Food prices rose by 0.3 percent over the month, impacting both the food at home and food away from home categories. Meanwhile, other categories such as medical care, motor vehicle insurance, and personal care saw modest increases. In contrast, airline fares dropped by 2.7 percent, continuing a decline from the previous month, and used car prices fell by 0.5 percent.