In the face of former President Trump’s rising popularity with black voters, Joe Biden is seeking to strengthen his connection with the key Democrat demographic with a series of engagements ahead of his commencement speech at the historically black Morehouse College this Sunday. The agenda includes meeting Georgia citizens and engaging with small-business owners in Detroit. The President will also give a speech at the NAACP event on the same night.
“This campaign will not take a single voter for granted,” wrote senior campaign advisor Trey Baker in a memo. “We are not, and will not, parachute into these communities at the last minute, expecting their vote.”
Current polling data shows a slight drop in support from young Black voters (18-49), registering at 58 percent. However, support from older Black voters remains substantially high at 88 percent. Biden took 87 percent of the overall black vote in 2020. Even a small shift in voting patterns in the pivotal battleground states could tip the scale in the forthcoming elections.
While Biden is experiencing a notable drop in support from black and other minority voters, Trump’s popularity with black voters, especially younger black males, is rising.
According to a recent NBC News poll, Trump has around 25 percent support from young black voters and the support of 6 percent of older black voters. Other recent polls have shown black voters doubling their support of Trump doubling over 2016’s numbers, suggesting Trump could take anywhere from 17 percent to 23 percent of the black vote in 2024. No Republican candidate has received more than 13 percent of the black vote since 1964.