President Donald J. Trump is building strong support among working-class and union voters, potentially outperforming any Republican nominee in recent memory. According to CNN data guru Harry Enten, recent polling suggests the former president is making significant gains among union families, trade school graduates, and minority voters without college degrees.
Current data suggests that Kamala Harris only leads among union households by nine points, a stark decline from Bill Clinton’s margin in 1992, which sat at 30 points. Concerningly for Harris, her predecessor—81-year-old Joe Biden—won union households by 19 points over Trump in 2020. Meanwhile, Harris—the current Democratic Party presidential nominee—is far closer to Hillary Clinton‘s 12-point margin in 2016.
Despite left-wing political dominance among working-class voters for several decades, Trump has broken through and made considerable headway in traditional Democratic Party strongholds.
“More so perhaps than any other bloc, the folks who go to trade school, vocational school, that has moved from being a core Democratic group to now being a core group of Donald Trump’s massive amount of support among the working class,” Enten says.
Among trade school graduates, Trump is ahead of Harris by 31 points. This marks a significant shift from 1992, when Bill Clinton won this group by seven points, representing a 38-point swing towards the Republican Party over the past three decades.
Enten also noted Trump’s gains among working-class minority voters. Harris leads this group by 28 points, down from the 45-point margin of the Biden-Harris ticket in 2020. Trump’s surge in support is primarily among racial and ethnic minorities without college degrees, reflecting a broader trend of increased GOP appeal to working-class voters.
WATCH:
🚨 CNN: Kamala Harris is on track for “the worst Democrat performance in a generation” with union voters. pic.twitter.com/xCl0O5ENSr
— Trump War Room (@TrumpWarRoom) September 30, 2024