A recent survey by the Arab American Institute indicates a shift in Arab-American voter preferences, with a slight majority planning to support former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris in the upcoming presidential election. The poll reveals that 42 percent of Arab-American voters are inclined to vote for Trump, compared to 41 percent favoring Harris. Trump’s lead increases among those who say they’re “very likely to vote,” with 46 percent supporting him versus 42 percent for Harris.
Vice President Harris has gained some popularity among Arab Americans compared to Joe Biden post-October 7; however, her support is still 18 points below what Biden secured in 2020. The survey also shows that 46 percent of Arab Americans prefer the Republican Party to maintain control of the House, as opposed to 43 percent favoring the Democratic Party.
Enthusiasm among Arab-American Democrats stands at 67 percent, whereas 80 percent of Republican counterparts express similar enthusiasm. A majority of 55 percent of Arab-American voters aged 18 to 29 report a lack of enthusiasm about the election.
ISRAEL.
The Biden-Harris government’s policies regarding Israel and Gaza are a crucial factor in diminishing Democratic support. Of those surveyed, 81 percent consider the Gaza crisis significant in their voting decision, rising to 95 percent among Arab-American Muslims.
Following the debate between Trump and Harris, Reem Abuelhaj of the No Ceasefire No Vote organization warned that Harris being “pretty clear… that she will continue Biden’s policy of unconditional military and financial support for Israel’s war on Gaza” will leave many Muslim voters feeling “unable to cast their ballot for a candidate who is actively supporting genocide.”
The Uncommitted National Movement that tried to pressure Biden into taking a more anti-Israel stance during the Democrat primaries is refusing to endorse Harris. Meanwhile, Amer Ghalib, the mayor of Muslim-majority Hamtramck, Michigan, is endorsing Trump.