Exit polls show that one of the Democrats’ strongest demographics over the last three presidential elections has been unmarried women. While Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, and Kamala Harris all carried women overall in 2016, 2020, and 2024, they did not carry all categories of women—married women broke for President-elect Donald J. Trump by five points in November, up from a four-point advantage in 2020 and a two-point deficit in 2016.
However, without the influence of a husband, women have broken decisively for Democratic candidates. Vice President Harris did not carry unmarried women as strongly as Clinton, at +31 points, or Biden, at +31 points, but her lead was still decisive, at +23 points, according to RealClearPolling.
Single status also seems to have a political impact on men, but it is less pronounced: bachelors were tied in the Trump-Harris election contest, breaking for Biden by seven points in 2020 and for Clinton by just two points in 2016. Meanwhile, married men broke for Trump by 22 points in 2024, 11 points in 2020, and 19 points in 2016.
Overall, men broke for Trump by 12 points, and women broke for Harris by eight points this past election, for a “gender gap” of 20 points.
CHILDLESS CAT LADIES.
In 2021, President-elect Trump’s future running mate, Senator J.D. Vance, warned of the impact of childless singletons on American politics, saying, “We’re effectively run in this country, via the Democrats, be it via our corporate oligarchs, by a bunch of childless cat ladies, who are miserable at their own lives and the choices that they’ve made, and so they want to make the rest of the country miserable, too… You look at Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, [Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez]—the entire future of the Democrats is controlled by people without children.”
Notably, Vice President Harris suggested in a sex-focused podcast in October that she did not have children of her own because she did not want to be “humble.”
Vance defended the comments on the 2024 campaign trail, telling Megyn Kelly: “The substance of what I said, Megyn. This is about criticizing the Democratic Party for becoming anti-family and anti-children. The simple point that I made is that having children, becoming a father, becoming a mother, I really do think it changes your perspective in a pretty profound way.”
The stark difference in the voting habits of married and unmarried women strongly suggests Vice President-elect Vance is correct.
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— RealClearPolitics (@RCPolitics) December 3, 2024