❓WHAT HAPPENED: U.S. GDP grew at an annual rate of 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, short of an expected 0.7 percent.
👤WHO WAS INVOLVED: The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) produced the estimate.
📍WHEN & WHERE: Released on April 9, 2026, regarding the fourth quarter of 2025.
💬KEY QUOTE: “Real GDP was revised down 0.2 percentage point from the second estimate, primarily reflecting a downward revision to investment,” said the BEA.
🎯IMPACT: The U.S. Dollar Index showed no immediate reaction, remaining near the previous closing level.
The U.S. economy grew more slowly than previously estimated in the final quarter of 2025. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised its figure for real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to an annual rate of 0.5 percent, down from the earlier estimate of 0.7 percent.
The downward revision was driven mainly by weaker investment numbers. According to the BEA, consumer spending and investment remained the primary supports for GDP growth during the quarter, though they were partly offset by declines in government spending and exports. A drop in imports, which subtracts from GDP, also played a role.
On the industry side, private services-producing industries recorded a 2.3 percent increase in real value added, helping to lift overall output. In contrast, government activities fell by 7.8 percent, and private goods-producing industries declined by 1.8 percent.
The strongest contributions to growth came from wholesale trade, information, and health care and social assistance. Real final sales to private domestic purchasers—which combines consumer spending and gross private fixed investment—rose 1.8 percent, slightly below earlier estimates.
Real gross domestic income (GDI) increased by 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter, slowing from a 3.5 percent gain in the third quarter. The average of real GDP and real GDI grew by 1.5 percent, down from four percent in the previous quarter.
BREAKING
GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
Act.: 0.5%, Est.: 0.7%, Prev.: 4.4%— REX Shares (@REXShares) April 9, 2026
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