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Category: Election 2024
November 4, 2024
Election 2024

California’s Conservative Exodus May Hand Trump Nevada.

Former Californians could significantly influence Nevada’s political landscape in the 2024 election. Many people have moved from California to Nevada, often due to dissatisfaction with California’s far-left policies. This internal migration appears to be shifting Nevada’s voter demographics toward the Republican Party.

Early voting data in Nevada shows a notable increase in Republican participation, with registered Republicans casting 405,602 ballots against 304,614 registered Democrats. This in-person turnout has surprised many, reversing the typical early voting advantage usually held by Democrats.

Nearly 20 percent of Nevada’s population now consists of former Californians, who have been moving there in significant numbers since 2020. This demographic shift coincides with a decrease in the Nevada Democratic Party’s lead in registered voters. The number of non-affiliated voters has also increased, leading to a more competitive political environment.

Jeff Stone, a former California legislator now serving in Nevada, notes Nevada’s appeal to those seeking an escape from California’s political climate, dominated by Governor Gavin Newsom and a Democratic supermajority.

Nevada’s six electoral votes could play a critical role in the 2024 presidential race. Winning Nevada might help President Donald J. Trump secure an Electoral College majority without needing Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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Former Californians could significantly influence Nevada's political landscape in the 2024 election. Many people have moved from California to Nevada, often due to dissatisfaction with California’s far-left policies. This internal migration appears to be shifting Nevada's voter demographics toward the Republican Party. show more
Migrant Crime
November 4, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024
Immigration

Top State Election Official Has Referred HUNDREDS of Noncitizen Voters for Prosecution.

Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) says he has referred hundreds of noncitizen voters for prosecution after they illegally cast ballots during elections in the state. The announcement comes in response to claims made by David Becker, a former senior attorney with the Department of Justice’s (DOJ) Civil Rights Division, during an interview with CBS News’s 60 Minutes.

During the interview, Becker was pressed by reporter Scott Pelley regarding what CBS News says are claims that illegal immigrants are voting by the millions. “That is one hundred percent false. Every single voter has to give a driver’s license number or social security number, which is matched against files, databases that are held to make sure the voter is who they say they are, and they’re eligible to vote,” Becker said in response. He continued: “And we also know that states who have gone looking for noncitizen voters have found shockingly few even potential noncitizen registrants.”

The former DOJ attorney, who worked in the Voting Section of the department’s Civil Rights Division, added: “Ohio just recently announced that in a period of time of over a decade, it had found six possible cases of noncitizens voting.”

Responding to Becker’s claim in a post on X (formerly Twitter), the Ohio Secretary of State called the assertion regarding noncitizen voters in the state “100% false.”

“Six noncitizens were only the latest to be indicted for illegal voting in Ohio. My office has referred HUNDREDS more for potential prosecution,” LaRose wrote, adding: “There could be many others, but the Biden-Harris admin is intentionally blocking access to citizenship records to keep states from finding them before the election. That’s why we’re suing.”

The National Pulse has previously reported that data shows a statistically significant number of noncitizens have voted in prior elections.

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Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose (R) says he has referred hundreds of noncitizen voters for prosecution after they illegally cast ballots during elections in the state. The announcement comes in response to claims made by David Becker, a former senior attorney with the Department of Justice's (DOJ) Civil Rights Division, during an interview with CBS News's 60 Minutes. show more
November 4, 2024
William Upton
Data
Election 2024

Nate Silver Accuses Pollsters of Bias.

Election data guru and statistician Nate Silver—the founder of FiveThirtyEight—is accusing major public pollsters of “herding” their survey results to keep President Donald J. Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris within a point or two of each other in the 2024 presidential race. According to Silver, it is statistically irregular for a single pollster to consistently show back-and-forth point leads between candidates, which suggests to him that the public polling firms are manipulating their results.

“I kind of trust pollsters less,” Silver says on the latest episode of his podcast. “They all, every time a pollster [says] ‘Oh, every state is just plus-one, every single state’s a tie,’ No! You’re f**king herding! You’re cheating!”

“Your numbers aren’t all going to come out at exactly one-point leads when you’re sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys,” Silver adds.

One pollster who especially drew Silver’s ire is Emerson College, which he suspects of herding most of their final run of polls. He vented, “You are lying! You’re putting your f**king finger on the scale!”

“Herding” is when a pollster uses their own and others’ prior polls to model or inform their current surveys—artificially creating a tighter contest than what the reality may be.

Currently, Silver’s own model has Trump at just over a 55 percent chance of winning the 2024 presidential election. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris is at 44.2 percent odds of victory.

Additionally, Silver appears to believe there is an increasing chance of a split in the so-called ‘Blue Wall’ for Democrats—which includes Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. If Pennsylvania falls to Trump and the Republican nominee sweeps the Sun Belt states, it is almost certain he will win the election.

Image by Gary He.

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Election data guru and statistician Nate Silver—the founder of FiveThirtyEight—is accusing major public pollsters of "herding" their survey results to keep President Donald J. Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris within a point or two of each other in the 2024 presidential race. According to Silver, it is statistically irregular for a single pollster to consistently show back-and-forth point leads between candidates, which suggests to him that the public polling firms are manipulating their results. show more
November 4, 2024
Election 2024
News
Politics

NBC Grants Trump Campaign Airtime During NASCAR, NFL After Harris SNL Spot.

Broadcaster NBC has granted the campaign of President Donald J. Trump a 90-second ad spot amig allegations the surprise appearance of Kamala Harris on Saturday Night Live (SNL) violated FCC rules. Harris’s brief appearance on SNL was for one minute and 30 seconds, allowing other presidential campaigns to request equal airtime—about 90 seconds—per FCC regulations.

Harris’s SNL sketch, featuring Maya Rudolph, concluded with both discussing the vice president’s campaign. The sketch, however, was criticized by FCC commissioner Brendan Carr, who stated before the show aired, “This is a clear and blatant effort to evade the FCC’s Equal Time rule.”

Carr also noted that SNL creator Lorne Michaels had previously stated in an interview last month that the show would not feature Harris or Trump because of the equal time rules.

Trump’s ad, meanwhile, appeared during Sunday’s NASCAR playoff broadcast. In it, Trump wore a red “Make America Great Again” cap and warned that electing Harris could lead to a “depression.” The ad urges viewers to vote.

Additionally, Trump received 60 extra seconds of airtime during NBC’s Sunday Night Football post-game coverage. The same ad from the NASCAR event aired after the game, closely following a paid campaign advertisement.

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Broadcaster NBC has granted the campaign of President Donald J. Trump a 90-second ad spot amig allegations the surprise appearance of Kamala Harris on Saturday Night Live (SNL) violated FCC rules. Harris's brief appearance on SNL was for one minute and 30 seconds, allowing other presidential campaigns to request equal airtime—about 90 seconds—per FCC regulations. show more
November 4, 2024
Election 2024
Immigration

Tlaib Snubs Harris at Michigan Rally.

Democratic Representative Rashida Tlaib withheld her endorsement from Vice President Kamala Harris during a critical rally in Detroit, Michigan, a decision with potential electoral consequences for the Democratic candidate. The state is crucial to the so-called “blue wall” that Democrats need to secure in the 2024 presidential election. It is home to a sizeable Muslim population, typically inclined towards the Democrats—but the Biden-Harris government’s stance on Israel has soured many on the Vice President.

Tlaib, a prominent member of the progressive “Squad” in the House of Representatives, avoided Harris and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz at the United Auto Workers union rally. Tlaib has expressed discontent with the Biden-Harris government’s support for Israel, which she cites as a reason for her reluctance to endorse the ticket.

On November 1, she stated on social media, “The reality is that the Biden admin’s unconditional support for genocide is what got us here. This should be a wake-up call for those who continue to support genocide,” adding: “This election didn’t have to be close.”

Recent polling from Cygnal indicates that a majority of American Muslims sympathize with Hamas’s position in the Gaza war.

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Democratic Representative Rashida Tlaib withheld her endorsement from Vice President Kamala Harris during a critical rally in Detroit, Michigan, a decision with potential electoral consequences for the Democratic candidate. The state is crucial to the so-called "blue wall" that Democrats need to secure in the 2024 presidential election. It is home to a sizeable Muslim population, typically inclined towards the Democrats—but the Biden-Harris government's stance on Israel has soured many on the Vice President. show more
November 4, 2024
Jack Montgomery
Data
Election 2024

Final Emerson Poll Hands Trump Six of Seven Swing States — By Razor-Thin Margins.

Former President Donald J. Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in six of seven swing states when leaners are included in Emerson College Polling Center’s final poll. However, the margins are razor-thin, with five of Trump’s six leads under one percent.

Trump’s strongest lead is in Arizona, where he is up by 2.1 points. This falls to 0.7 in Pennsylvania, 0.5 in Georgia, 0.4 in North Carolina, 0.3 in Wisconsin, and a minuscule 0.1 in Nevada. Harris leads in Michigan by 1.6 points.

Results without leaners are also very mixed: Trump leads by two points in Arizona, and by one point in Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. The race is a dead heat in Nevada and Wisconsin, and in Michigan, Harris holds a two-point lead.

Emerson’s results suggest a battle of the sexes may decide the presidential contest, with men breaking for Trump and women breaking for Harris in all seven states. Men break more strongly for the America First leader than women break for the Democratic candidate in every case—but women have outpaced men in early voting turnout so far, at 54 percent to 43.6 percent.

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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Former President Donald J. Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris in six of seven swing states when leaners are included in Emerson College Polling Center's final poll. However, the margins are razor-thin, with five of Trump's six leads under one percent. show more
November 4, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024
Election Integrity

Missouri Sues Biden-Harris DOJ Over Election Interference.

Missouri’s Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft and Attorney General Andrew Bailey are suing the Biden-Harris Department of Justice (DOJ) over allegations that the federal government is interfering in the state’s election process. The lawsuit claims the DOJ is dispatching unauthorized monitors to polling locations in St. Louis in contravention of several federal statutes and the Supreme Court’s Shelby County v. Holder decision.

“To secure elections, Missouri exercised that traditional authority by enacting a law that strictly limits who, besides voters, can be present in a polling location,” the court filing states, adding: “Poll monitors employed by DOJ are not on that list. Yet without specifically citing any federal authority authorizing its actions, DOJ announced on Friday November 1 its intent to displace Missouri law and place unauthorized poll monitors in polling locations in the City of St. Louis.”

Ashcroft and Bailey note in the filing that the Biden-Harris DOJ attempted a similar move during the 2022 midterm elections. However, the DOJ reversed its decision after Ashcroft argued in a letter that they lacked statutory authority.

“No one is above the law,” the Missouri Secretary of State said in a statement on Monday. He added: “The law clearly and specifically limits who may be in polling places and this action by the DOJ is not allowed. Once again the federal government is attempting to illegally interfere in Missouri’s elections.”

“Two years ago, we met with the DOJ. We showed them the law and explained that they have no jurisdiction to interfere in Missouri elections. Now they are doing the same thing; trying to go through the back door by contacting local election officials and making false jurisdictional claims for access rather than contacting my office directly,” Ashcroft continued before concluding: “It would be highly inappropriate for federal agents to violate the law by intimidating Missouri voters and harassing poll workers.”

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Missouri's Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft and Attorney General Andrew Bailey are suing the Biden-Harris Department of Justice (DOJ) over allegations that the federal government is interfering in the state's election process. The lawsuit claims the DOJ is dispatching unauthorized monitors to polling locations in St. Louis in contravention of several federal statutes and the Supreme Court's Shelby County v. Holder decision. show more
November 4, 2024
Jack Montgomery
Crime
Election 2024

NY Man Attacked for Pro-Trump Hat.

A man in Bath, New York, was taken into custody on Friday after an alleged altercation with a man wearing a ‘Trump 2024’ hat at a local supermarket. The Bath Police Department has charged Robert Yott, 60, with felony second-degree assault and misdemeanor fourth-degree criminal mischief.

Authorities responded to a disturbance report at Tops Friendly Markets on West Morris Street at approximately 10 AM. Upon arrival, they found that Yott allegedly attacked a stranger for wearing a ‘Trump 2024’ cap.

Investigators revealed that Yott confronted the individual. In the ensuing altercation, he allegedly struck the victim multiple times, causing visible injuries, including broken teeth. The two men reportedly had no prior acquaintance. Yott is now in custody at the Steuben County Jail, awaiting arraignment.

Democrats and their media allies have consistently demonized former President Donald J. Trump and his supporters in recent months, with the Democratic nominee calling the former a “fascist” and President Joe Biden calling the latter “garbage.”

Trump has been subjected to two assassination attempts over the course of the campaign, with the first in Butler, Pennsylvania, resulting in him and three supporters being shot, one fatally. The America First leader blames the Democrats’ “highly inflammatory” rhetoric for inspiring “dangerous fools” to try to end his life.

Image by Steuben County Sheriff’s Office.

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A man in Bath, New York, was taken into custody on Friday after an alleged altercation with a man wearing a 'Trump 2024' hat at a local supermarket. The Bath Police Department has charged Robert Yott, 60, with felony second-degree assault and misdemeanor fourth-degree criminal mischief. show more
November 4, 2024
Christopher Tomlinson
Election 2024
Politics

Republican Early Voting Surges in Pennsylvania Ballot Returns.

Returned ballots in Pennsylvania suggest that Republican voters are casting far more early votes than in 2022 and are leading Democrats in 40 counties, compared to just two in 2022. Over 587,000 registered Republicans have voted early in the crucial swing state, an increase of over 323,000 compared to 2022. Democrats, who are more likely to vote early, have seen a smaller increase since 2022 of just over 140,000 votes, for a total of 997,450 overall.

When looking at 2020 numbers, Republicans have 30,692 fewer ballots returned, but Democrats have a massive 721,276 fewer returned ballots. At the county level, the GOP led the Democrats in just eight counties in 2020, a number which fell to just two counties in 2022. This year, the GOP leads the Democrats in 40 counties going into tomorrow’s election.

Prior data indicates that newly registered women dominate the early voting in Pennsylvania, with many voting Democrat. As of October 30, the state had seen at least 100,000 new voters cast their ballots early in the election.

Polling puts Trump only slightly ahead of Harris in the state. The final Emerson College Polling poll released Monday, November 4, gave President Donald J. Trump 49 percent and Vice President Kamala Harris 48 percent, well within the margin of error.

Over the weekend, the Harris campaign implied it would force key counties in battleground states like Pennsylvania to keep counting votes until Harris wins.

The Trump campaign also won an important victory in the state after Democrats and police shut down lines of voters requesting absentee ballots, as a court allowed the absentee process to be opened for several days ahead of tomorrow’s election.

Image by formulanone.

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Returned ballots in Pennsylvania suggest that Republican voters are casting far more early votes than in 2022 and are leading Democrats in 40 counties, compared to just two in 2022. Over 587,000 registered Republicans have voted early in the crucial swing state, an increase of over 323,000 compared to 2022. Democrats, who are more likely to vote early, have seen a smaller increase since 2022 of just over 140,000 votes, for a total of 997,450 overall. show more
November 4, 2024
William Upton
Election 2024
News

Leftist Commentator Threatens to Kill Herself On Air if Trump Wins.

Progressive “comedian” and podcaster Francesca Fiorentini is illustrating just how extreme the leftist meltdown may be if President Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 election. During a recent appearance on The Sun‘s ‘Never Mind the Ballots’ with host Harry Cole, Fiorentini darkly joked she’d “drink cyanide on air and just podcast into the night” if Trump bests Vice President Kamala Harris.

When Cole pressed what the progressive left will actually do in reaction to a Trump victory, Fiorentini stressed they’d keep fighting—though she demurred when pressed if she would accept Trump as the legitimate president. The leftist comedian argued that resisting Trump and his judicial nominees is the paramount cause for progressives, suggesting Republican abortion laws are killing women.

“Women are dying right now from preventable infections related to miscarriages. Mothers, two women we know this week, died in Texas because they were suffering miscarriages. They had an infection, and they needed treatment immediately,” she claimed, alleging: “They were turned away from emergency rooms in Texas because there was a fetal heartbeat and so no doctor could attend to them until there was no more fetal heartbeat. Those women lost their life.”

“We’re voting for our human rights. Because women all around this country, their lives are in peril,” Fiorentini continued, claiming that women have been reduced to being second-class citizens.

Democrats have sought to turn abortion access into a wedge issue in the 2024 election, coordinating with activists and nonprofits to place abortion rights on several state ballots across the country. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign sought to turn a Georgia woman’s death into an attack line against Trump—even though the woman died from the abortion procedure itself.

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Progressive "comedian" and podcaster Francesca Fiorentini is illustrating just how extreme the leftist meltdown may be if President Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 election. During a recent appearance on The Sun's 'Never Mind the Ballots' with host Harry Cole, Fiorentini darkly joked she'd "drink cyanide on air and just podcast into the night" if Trump bests Vice President Kamala Harris. show more