Wednesday, September 10, 2025

New Hampshire Primary: How Does it Work, and What Comes Next?

The New Hampshire Republican presidential primary is set to kick off today — but the first-in-the-nation state has a few features that make it unique. Polling suggests former President Donald Trump should win the primary comfortably. Still, the high number of independents expected to vote could complicate matters and give some hope to the Haley campaign.

The National Pulse has compiled a few quick facts to help explain what to expect as the people of New Hampshire head the polls.

Some Votes Were Already Cast At Midnight.

A handful of localities began voting at midnight. New Hampshire law stipulates polling places — at a minimum — must be open from 11 a.m. until 7 p.m. ET. However, some smaller localities open their polling places at midnight — and with only a handful of residents, they can often report results shortly after.

Dixville Notch is the most famous of these midnight-voting towns. From 1968 to 2012, the town’s handful of voters backed the candidate who would eventually win the nomination in every Republican presidential primary. However, in 2016, Dixville Notch voted 3 to 2 for John Kasich over Donald Trump — breaking the streak. This morning, it voted 100 percent for Nikki Haley, having voted 100 percent for Joe Biden in 2016.

What Is At Stake?

Despite only awarding 22 delegates — less than one percent of the total who choose the nominee at the Republican National Convention later this year — New Hampshire’s position as the second state to vote in the Republican primary makes it critical to candidate momentum. To that end, the state has seen $77.5 million spent on campaign advertising since the start of last year.

Former South Carolina Governor Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley’s campaign has dropped $30.9 million in the state. The Trump campaign has spent just shy of $16 million. Meanwhile, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’s SuperPAC spent $8 million before DeSantis dropped out of the race on Sunday and endorsed former President Donald Trump.

Where After New Hampshire?

Nevada’s primary and caucus both follow the New Hampshire primary. Democrats in control of the Nevada state legislature attempted to enact a state-run primary of Democrats and Republicans. However, the Nevada Republican Party opted for a party-run caucus instead.

The Nevada primary will be held on February 6th — though no convention delegates are awarded. The Republican party-administered caucus will be held on February 8th, with the convention delegates up for grabs. Nimrata ‘Nikki’ Haley is in the primary, while former President Trump is in the caucus.

While polling has been scant, some expect that “none of these candidates” may receive more votes than Haley in the primary. Trump is widely expected to win the caucus and most, if not all, of the state’s delegates.

After Nevada, South Carolina is next on February 24th. There is speculation that Haley will stay in the race through South Carolina — hoping to regain momentum in her home state. However, polling shows former President Donald Trump with a commanding lead in the state primary and is widely expected to win most of South Carolina’s convention delegates.

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The New Hampshire Republican presidential primary is set to kick off today — but the first-in-the-nation state has a few features that make it unique. Polling suggests former President Donald Trump should win the primary comfortably. Still, the high number of independents expected to vote could complicate matters and give some hope to the Haley campaign. show more

Rep. Clyburn Tries Turning Black Men Against Trump By Telling Them Stories About Omarosa.

Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC) has told POLITICO that he tries to dissuade black American men from voting for President Donald J. Trump by referring to a 2018 tweet that called black former staffer Omarosa Manigault a “dog.”

“Every time a black man says to me that he’s looking at Trump, I look him in the face and ask him, ‘Do you have a sister? I know you’ve got a mother. Would you vote for a person who looks in a TV camera and refers to a black woman as a dog? Would you do that?’” Clyburn confessed to West Wing Playbook.

The comments are in reference to former Apprentice contestant and White House staffer Omarosa Manigault being fired by General John Kelly, after which Trump tweeted: “When you give a crazed, crying lowlife a break, and give her a job at the White House, I guess it just didn’t work out. Good work by General Kelly for quickly firing that dog!”

Clyburn signaled he was concerned that “15 percent of them” (black men) were telling pollsters they’ll vote for Trump in November. He also strangely noted that he – on his quest to help Joe Biden get re-elected – expects “help from the media,” concluding, “My whole thing is, I think we’ve got to rely less on TV ads and more on validators. We’ve got to flood the zone because this is not going to be an ordinary election.”

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Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC) has told POLITICO that he tries to dissuade black American men from voting for President Donald J. Trump by referring to a 2018 tweet that called black former staffer Omarosa Manigault a “dog.” show more

DATA: Trump Would Thump Biden Even if Convicted.

Former President Donald Trump would defeat Joe Biden, the Democrat incumbent, even if Trump were convicted in two of the three major law-fare prosecutions he faces, according to new polling data. The Biden government has pushed prosecutions against former President Trump in Florida, Georgia, and Washington, D.C., in the hope of undermining Trump’s popularity in the lead-up to the 2024 general election.

The two federal — and one state — prosecutions of former President Trump by the Biden regime appear to be doing little to boost the incumbent Democrat’s chances in November. Voters said they would back Trump over Biden by 53 to 47 percent, even if the former President were convicted of mishandling classified documents by a jury in Florida.

Former President Trump also maintains an electoral edge even if he were convinced in the Georgia state RICO case alleging he conspired to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election. With a conviction, Trump still defeats Biden with 51 percent to 49 percent of the vote. Accusations of misconduct surrounding Fani Willis and her affair with the man she appointed to prosecute the RICO case have thrown the entirety of the court proceedings into question.

The only case that favors Biden to win the 2024 general election is the Washington, D.C.-based prosecution alleging former President Trump incited the January 6th, 2021 riots. A conviction in this case gives Biden a slight electoral edge with 52 percent to Trump’s 48 percent.

However, Department of Justice special prosecutor Jack Smith’s Washington, D.C. prosecution has stalled pending hearings over former President Trump’s claims to ‘presidential immunity.’ The trial now appears unlikely to begin in early March, and each passing day makes it increasingly unlikely that it will happen before the November 5th, 2024 election at all.

 

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Former President Donald Trump would defeat Joe Biden, the Democrat incumbent, even if Trump were convicted in two of the three major law-fare prosecutions he faces, according to new polling data. The Biden government has pushed prosecutions against former President Trump in Florida, Georgia, and Washington, D.C., in the hope of undermining Trump's popularity in the lead-up to the 2024 general election. show more

Haley Keeps Saying ‘We Need an Accountant in the White House’… Because She Was One… For Her Parents’ Gift Shop… Which Went Broke.

Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley has repeatedly used the line, “it’s time for an accountant in the White House” during her GOP presidential primary campaign. The assertion functions as an attempt to criticize her rivals’ spending records. However, despite having a bachelor’s degree in accounting, Haley does not and has never held a certified public accountant license. Her bookkeeping experience is limited to her time as “chief financial officer” at her parents’ gift shop business, Exotica International, Inc.

Exotica’s financial record is poor. The company was hit with three liens for failure to pay taxes, resulting in thousands of dollars in penalties with interest. Records show Exotica also had a habit of filing taxes over a month late, well above the industry standard. It closed its doors in 2008.

The financial troubles followed her to the Trump administration. Bankers attempting to foreclose on her parents’ lake house in South Carolina tried to track her down at her United Nations workplace, and security had to turn them away.

Haley once listed her Exotica salary as $125,000, requesting the same amount when applying for a job at the Lexington Medical Center. Her tax returns, however, showed she never earned more than $47,000 a year from her parents’ company.

Haley has also been careless with her personal taxes and has had to pay thousands in late-payment penalties in the 2000s.

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Nimarata 'Nikki' Haley has repeatedly used the line, "it's time for an accountant in the White House" during her GOP presidential primary campaign. The assertion functions as an attempt to criticize her rivals' spending records. However, despite having a bachelor's degree in accounting, Haley does not and has never held a certified public accountant license. Her bookkeeping experience is limited to her time as "chief financial officer" at her parents' gift shop business, Exotica International, Inc. show more
nikki haley

Most New Hampshire DeSantis Voters Back Trump Over Haley.

A recent CNN/University of New Hampshire poll indicates that most likely, New Hampshire Republican voters who supported Florida Governor Ron DeSantis now favor former President Donald Trump. Of the DeSantis supporters surveyed, 62 percent affirmed they would switch their support to Trump. In contrast, a smaller proportion, 30 percent, named former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley as their next preferred candidate. The poll involved 2,348 likely Republican voters, canvassed from January 16-19, a few days before DeSantis suspended his campaign.

Governor DeSantis called off his presidential run on January 21, before the New Hampshire primary. He announced his support for Trump while taking a jibe at Haley, referring to her as an echo of the “old Republican guard.” The decision came only two days before the New Hampshire primary, adding further uncertainty to the voting landscape.

In response to DeSantis’ withdrawal, Haley addressed a gathering of her supporters with “may the best woman win.” The once-crowded Republican field navigating the New Hampshire primary has seen an unexpected turn with the Florida Governor’s exit, leaving his supporters to choose between the two remaining high-profile candidates.

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A recent CNN/University of New Hampshire poll indicates that most likely, New Hampshire Republican voters who supported Florida Governor Ron DeSantis now favor former President Donald Trump. Of the DeSantis supporters surveyed, 62 percent affirmed they would switch their support to Trump. In contrast, a smaller proportion, 30 percent, named former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley as their next preferred candidate. The poll involved 2,348 likely Republican voters, canvassed from January 16-19, a few days before DeSantis suspended his campaign. show more

POLITICAL OBITUARY: DeSantis Has Backed Down From the GOP Primary. What Went wRONg?

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has dropped out of the Republican presidential primary, backing down after almost a year-long misadventure that began before President Trump’s announcement speech at Mar-A-Lago in November 2022.

DeSantis issued an X (formerly Twitter) statement on Sunday, endorsing Donald Trump and stating that he was proud of his campaign.

NEVER BACK DOWN.

DeSantis’s presidential aspirations were known to staff and those close to him for years before his glitched Twitter/X announcement speech with Elon Musk on May 24th, 2023. Indeed, what seemed to the uninformed like an unprovoked attack from Trump in November 2022 was in reality the culmination of both DeSantis staff and donors indicating to the press that as soon as the Florida Governor could persuade his state’s legislature to change the law so he could run while remaining Governor, he would enter the race. In one interview with Fox News, DeSantis and his wife Jill ‘Casey’ admitted to deciding to primary Trump as far back as November 2020.

Meanwhile, Ron embarked on a ludicrous “book tour” for a publication that scarcely sold any copies. He claimed to be advertising “the Florida model,” even tripping overseas, where he was labeled boring and uncharismatic. During that time, he left Jeanette Nunez – a woman who once described Donald Trump as the “KKK” – in charge of the Sunshine State.

In the early days, Trump’s barbs against DeSantis were condemned by most “conservative” talking heads, as well as many who professed to still be in the Trump camp, though later it would emerge they were playing both sides. The likes of Steve Cortes, John Cardillo, Matthew Tyrmand, Pedro Gonzales, Clay Travis, Tomi Lahren, and others would secretly back DeSantis. At the same time, the Florida Governor hired the axis of incompetence: Jeff Roe, Adam Laxalt, and Christina Pushaw to attack MAGA Republicans and the former President.

DeSantis’s disingenuous strategy was spotted early by this outlet, The National Pulse, which endorsed Trump as far back as November 2022 and shone a spotlight on those who were being dishonest about their choices early on. The duplicity would extend to how DeSantis ran his entire campaign, allowing his Super PAC, ‘Never Back Down,’ to effectively run most of the logistics, a move that was both legally sketchy and politically retarded.

‘JUST WAIT UNTIL…’

Following his botched launch, DeSantis’s online operation – which the candidate himself held at arm’s length – would undertake a campaign to try to “out-meme” MAGA Republicans on the internet, running head first into the buzzsaw of the “Dilley Meme Team” and others, who ritualistically humiliated DeSantis and his surrogates online. The embarrassment bled into the campaign’s day-to-day operations, which led Team Ron to hurriedly deploy an army of bot accounts to stem the bleeding. It didn’t work.

Instead, pro-DeSantis operatives attempted to kick the can down the road. “Just wait until he announces,” it began. Then, “just wait until he debates,” and finally, “just wait until Iowa.” Then Iowa came, and DeSantis was once again humbled by President Trump and his team, who maintained a remarkable discipline through 2023 in the face of many political indictments.

WHAT WENT WRONG.

There are far more nuances to DeSantis’s failure than a simple political campaign obituary can explore. But a few include:

Mind you, we did tell you it would be a car crash. Or rather, an “historic clusterfuck.”

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Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has dropped out of the Republican presidential primary, backing down after almost a year-long misadventure that began before President Trump's announcement speech at Mar-A-Lago in November 2022. show more

DeSantis Consults Donors ‘When, How’ to Drop Out, May Happen as Early as 5pm Sunday.

Bloomberg is reporting Sunday afternoon:

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and his top aides are having internal discussions about when and how he should drop out of the 2024 presidential race, according to people briefed on the campaign’s conversations.

The discussions are fluid, with the governor and his wife, Casey, as the final decision-makers, but one possibility is to leave the race before voting starts in New Hampshire on Tuesday, January 23 to avoid an embarrassing third-place finish.

New polling from CNN and the University of New Hampshire shows DeSantis earning just 6% of the state’s Republican vote, whereas Trump has 50% and Haley has 39%.

The National Review adds:

In recent days people close to the governor have begun making calls to top donors laying out what the campaign sees as their options at this point, which include possibly dropping out of the race in the coming days…  the bundler page on the campaign’s finance website is no longer working, and that when credentialed individuals try to enter login information on the site, an error message appears.

NBC claims:

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, once seen as the most formidable opponent to Donald Trump in the Republican presidential primary, is planning to suspend his race Sunday, three sources confirmed to NBC News.

The move comes two days before the New Hampshire primary and is expected to come before the 5 p.m. event he had scheduled here in Manchester.

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Bloomberg is reporting Sunday afternoon: show more

PHEW!!! 😮‍💨 Trump Rules Out Haley as VP.

Former President Donald Trump disqualified Nimrata ‘Nikki’ Haley as a potential running mate for the 2024 election during a campaign rally in Concord, New Hampshire on Friday night. Trump stated that Haley, who he previously appointed as UN Ambassador during his administration, was “not of the timber” for vice presidency. His comments came a few hours after Haley publicly stated that being Trump’s running mate was “off the table.”

Trump said of Haley, “Nikki is somebody that puts America last. She is not presidential timber.” He further explained his statement by clarifying his sentiment, “when you say certain things, it sort of takes them out of play, right? I can’t say, ‘She’s not of the timber to be a vice…’ and then say, ‘Ladies and gentlemen, I’m proud to announce that I’ve picked…’ Do you understand?”

Before his Friday campaign rally, Trump had not completely discounted the possibility of Haley as his 2024 running mate, despite resistance from close allies and supporters, such as Donald Trump Jr., Roger Stone, and former Fox News anchor, Tucker Carlson, who claimed Haley “would be reason to oppose the ticket.” Earlier this month, former White House chief strategist, Steve Bannon, anticipated a “big fight” to determine the direction of the Trump campaign and the potential selection of Haley as Trump’s running mate.

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Former President Donald Trump disqualified Nimrata 'Nikki' Haley as a potential running mate for the 2024 election during a campaign rally in Concord, New Hampshire on Friday night. Trump stated that Haley, who he previously appointed as UN Ambassador during his administration, was "not of the timber" for vice presidency. His comments came a few hours after Haley publicly stated that being Trump's running mate was "off the table." show more

REPORT: More Journos Than Voters at Haley Events.

A report published Friday suggests more corporate news staffers than voters are attending Nimrata ‘Nikki’ Haley’s events in New Hampshire, just three days before the Granite State’s primary.

Filing for the Spectator, the anonymized ‘Cockburn’ claims:

Cockburn found a strange scene as he pulled up at Robie’s Country Store in Hooksett Thursday: sure enough, there Haley was, stood outside giving a TV interview alongside her biggest endorser, Governor Chris Sununu, ten minutes ahead of the scheduled start time. After finding parking, Cockburn attempted to enter the store, as Haley and Sununu had just done. But the entrance was blocked by people trying get in: was demand on the ground for Haley in the Granite State really so high? Should we expect an upset that will change the Republican race?

Those questions were answered as soon as Cockburn managed to sidle into the store: it was full alright… of reporters and cameramen, with bulky equipment. There were a smattering of voters in attendance, sitting down or pressed against the walls — but to Cockburn’s eye, it was the media occupying most of the space.

Haley spent all of ten minutes in the store — the schedule said she’d be there an hour — before heading out. “Are you scared of Donald Trump?” a reporter asked her on the way out. “Are you kidding me?” she slyly responded.

Sununu stayed around for a little longer than his candidate of choice, shaking hands with his state’s constituents. He was wearing a “Ski NH” quarterzip — so Cockburn asked him whether any of the presidential hopefuls had hit the slopes in his state. Sununu said that he wasn’t aware that any had — “I don’t know if I could see Donald Trump on a snowboard although I’d love to give him a good push…”

It was a similar story in Amherst this morning at Mary Ann’s Diner, where Cockburn arrived twenty minutes early. The raised area overlooking the front of the restaurant was crammed full of TV cameras; News Nation’s Leland Vittert, CNN’s David Chalian and Newsmax’s Mark Halperin were loitering.

“There are empty tables and I have her just about to arrive,” a Haley staffer said, as other acolytes worked to move diners from the back of the restaurant to the front, to compose a fuller shot for the cameras. Haley breezed in and did the rounds, taking time to speak to every diner, fielding questions on foreign policy, January 6 and her VP pick. She was escorted around by a female aide dressed almost exactly like her, who’d brought in coffee from a more upmarket café in Manchester.

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A report published Friday suggests more corporate news staffers than voters are attending Nimrata 'Nikki' Haley's events in New Hampshire, just three days before the Granite State's primary. show more

DeSantis Backer Josh Hammer Warns: There’s ‘No Dignity’ in Ron, Already Weakened in Florida, Continuing Primary.

Newsweek senior editor-at-large Josh Hammer has become the latest Ron DeSantis backer to warn the Florida Governor that “it is time to face reality” and drop out of the GOP race before “multiple distant third-place finishes” cause irreparable damage to his standing in the Sunshine State.

An early and dogged supporter of DeSantis, Hammer recognizes “there is no viable path to victory” for the Governor after suffering “a 30-point blowout in Iowa after betting it all on a highly touted grassroots mobilization effort” — led by the now-fired Jeff Roe.

“There is no shame in losing a primary to a former president who remains highly popular within his party,” Hammer wrote – before warning, “there is also no dignity in needlessly prolonging the inevitable” for DeSantis.

“It is time for Ron to come home. Doing so swiftly is not merely in the best interest of the Republican Party… it is also in the best interest of Ron DeSantis himself,” Hammer continued, emphasizing that the Governor’s bruising contest with Trump has “already weakened [his] standing” in his home state when he might otherwise lead a “dynamic legislative session” this year.

Hammer went on to compare DeSantis to “a washed-up ex-all-star” baseball player in danger of “hang[ing] up the spikes too late,” but suggested he “may yet be president one day” if he moves to course correct quickly.

He also stressed the importance of seeing Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley and her “brand of uninspiring, corporatist Republicanism” decisively crushed in the primary, not least because “the leading second choice pick for those who would ideally like DeSantis, this columnist very much included, is not Haley — it is Trump.”

DeSantis also lost the support of spokesman Steve Cortes this month. Cortes said he was “wrong” to turn away from Trump in the first place.

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Newsweek senior editor-at-large Josh Hammer has become the latest Ron DeSantis backer to warn the Florida Governor that "it is time to face reality" and drop out of the GOP race before "multiple distant third-place finishes" cause irreparable damage to his standing in the Sunshine State. show more