Wednesday, April 23, 2025

DATA: Voters Like JD Vance More Than Tim Walz.

Republican vice presidential hopeful Senator J.D. Vance (R-OH) is viewed more favorably by likely voters than Democratic rival Governor Tim Walz (D-MN). Polling by Rasmussen Reports finds 33 percent view Vance very favorably and 17 percent view him somewhat favorably, while Walz is viewed very favorably or somewhat favorably by 28 percent and 14 percent, respectively. This puts the Ohio Republican’s overall favorability at 50 percent, eight points clear of the Minnesota Democrat.

Walz is also viewed unfavorably by slightly more likely voters than Vance, at 44 versus 42 percent. Introduced to the national electorate as a Midwestern dad and longtime National Guard veteran, details of the fraud and mismanagement in Walz’s state, his lies about his military service, and his LGBT activism in schools, among other revelations, have tarnished a once relatively inoffensive image.

Corporate media at home and abroad conceded following the vice presidential debate between Vance and Walz that the Republican won handily, with the Nebraska-born Democrat appearing nervous, stumbling over his words, and failing to fend off pointed questions about the lies he has told about, for instance, his many trips to China and when they took place.

Vance’s standing among women voters, in particular, quickly rose following a “polished” debate performance that punctured the narrative—initially created by Walz—that he is “weird.”

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Republican vice presidential hopeful Senator J.D. Vance (R-OH) is viewed more favorably by likely voters than Democratic rival Governor Tim Walz (D-MN). Polling by Rasmussen Reports finds 33 percent view Vance very favorably and 17 percent view him somewhat favorably, while Walz is viewed very favorably or somewhat favorably by 28 percent and 14 percent, respectively. This puts the Ohio Republican's overall favorability at 50 percent, eight points clear of the Minnesota Democrat. show more

A Top Harris-Walz Advisor Was Booted from An Atlanta Restaurant.

Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, an advisor for Vice President Kamala Harris‘s 2024 presidential campaign, claims she was refused service at an Atlanta restaurant. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Bottoms—considered a potential running mate for Joe Biden in 2020—alleges a hostess at the unnamed establishment declined to seat her because she was wearing yoga pants. Bottoms declined to name the restaurant where the incident occurred.

“I was AGAIN told by a hostess that I could not be seated in an Atlanta area restaurant (not the same one as last time) because I had on ‘yoga’ pants, which was supposedly against their ‘strictly enforced’ business casual policy,” the Harris-Walz campaign advisor wrote. “After I pointed out that there were patrons, none of whom looked like me, who had on shorts, baseball caps, and flip flops in the restaurant, the manager offered to seat us, in the not so full restaurant, in an hour.”

Bottoms expressed her belief that she was not alone in facing this issue and indicated her intent to address it with the restaurant owner. She clarified she would not disclose the name of the location due to a previous incident in 2022, where she was denied service for wearing leggings, and her public disclosure led to threats against the staff. Bottoms added that she was interested to hear if others had similar experiences.

While the incident ostensibly stems from Bottoms’s choice of clothing, the Harris-Walz advisor appears to subtly insinuate she was denied service because of racism. Responding to her post, other X users detailed similar incidents, most claiming they were discriminated against because of their race or ethnicity.

Image by Senate Democrats.

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Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, an advisor for Vice President Kamala Harris's 2024 presidential campaign, claims she was refused service at an Atlanta restaurant. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Bottoms—considered a potential running mate for Joe Biden in 2020—alleges a hostess at the unnamed establishment declined to seat her because she was wearing yoga pants. Bottoms declined to name the restaurant where the incident occurred. show more

Kamala’s Campaign Hits $1 Billion Raised.

Vice President Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign has surpassed $1 billion in fundraising since its inception despite seemingly losing ground to President Donald J. Trump in several key swing states.

Fundraising began with a surge of donations following President Joe Biden’s announcement on July 21 that he was exiting the race. Harris’s campaign collected $81 million within a day, climbing to over $100 million by July 22.

In August, the campaign reported raising $361 million, escalating its fundraising total to over $615 million. September’s figures are yet to be disclosed. Official records of recent fundraising efforts are expected in mid-October.

In Pennsylvania, a pivotal state for both parties, Republican factions have invested approximately $222.5 million in presidential race advertisements.

Meanwhile, Democratic factions have spent slightly more, at $275.1 million. The Harris campaign intends to allocate further resources toward advertising and operational efforts, particularly in battleground states, over the approaching weeks.

The rapid pace of fundraising has given Harris’s campaign a financial edge over the Trump campaign, particularly evident in August, when Harris’s campaign raised $230 million more. As of now, the campaign holds over a $100 million advantage. The Trump campaign reported a September fundraising total of $160 million.

Despite the large amount of cash, the Harris campaign has been unable to move poll numbers substantially and meaningfully, and in recent days, Trump has been improving in many polls.

Betting markets, such as Betfair, Polymarket, and Bwin, now all put Trump ahead of Harris, with the betting average giving Trump a 52 percent chance of winning next month to 46.4 percent for Harris.

Swing state polling suggests that Trump could win at least 280 electoral college votes, more than enough to meet the 270 required to win the presidency.

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Vice President Kamala Harris's presidential campaign has surpassed $1 billion in fundraising since its inception despite seemingly losing ground to President Donald J. Trump in several key swing states. show more

Trump Media Shares Bounce Back.

Shares of Trump Media experienced a sharp increase of up to 19 percent on Thursday morning, continuing a rally that has helped recoup some of the losses from a recent extended downturn. Following the market’s opening, DJT stock was trading approximately at $24 per share, more than doubling from an intra-day low of $11.75, recorded just over two weeks prior.

The rise in share price aligned with recent presidential election polls and indicators perceived favorably by supporters of former President Donald J. Trump, who holds the majority stake in the company. The uptick occurred during an active trading session, with volume already surpassing Trump Media’s 30-day average of about 15.1 million shares in under an hour, per FactSet. By 11:30 AM ET, over 27 million shares had been exchanged.

This boost sets Trump Media on track for its fifth gain in six sessions, and its strongest week since late March. The company went public via a merger with a blank-check firm, and this momentum has somewhat reversed a prolonged decline that diminished over 80 percent of its value from its peak post-merger.

Analysts have often labeled Trump Media as a “meme stock” influenced by investors who support Trump politically and see investing in the company as a means of backing his presidential bid.

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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Shares of Trump Media experienced a sharp increase of up to 19 percent on Thursday morning, continuing a rally that has helped recoup some of the losses from a recent extended downturn. Following the market's opening, DJT stock was trading approximately at $24 per share, more than doubling from an intra-day low of $11.75, recorded just over two weeks prior. show more

REPORT: AZ Senate Candidate’s Drug Trafficking Father Arrested for Punching Landlady.

Representative Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), the 2024 Democratic Party nominee for U.S. Senate in Arizona, is facing increasing scrutiny over his Mexican father’s criminal behavior, both past and present. Jose Angel Marinelarena was arrested on March 3, 2024, for battery after assaulting his landlady in Chicago, Illinois. Additionally, Gallego admitted last week that his father is a “convicted drug dealer.”

According to an arrest report obtained by investigative journalist Laura Loomer, Jose Angel Marinelarena punched Edyta Jagas twice in the face this past Spring after the woman confronted him over unpaid rent. Additionally, the 69-year-old Marinelarena, a Mexican immigrant, has a prior conviction for drug trafficking with alleged ties to the violent Juarez cartel in Mexico. Gallego claims that he has no relationship with his father.

Gallego’s Republican opponent, Kari Lake, has repeatedly blasted the Democratic Congressman for his support for the Biden-Harris government’s open borders policies. In addition, Lake has raised Marinelarena’s ties to the Mexican drug cartels, suggesting Gallego and his father’s relationship might not be as distant as the Congressman suggests.

“We need to be calling out what [Gallego] is about. I want to confront the cartels… I want to end the cartels,” Lake said at a news conference last Saturday. “He will never confront the cartels; he is controlled by them. He has close family members who are drug traffickers.”

Polling in the Arizona Senate election shows a tight race. The latest survey has Gallego narrowly leading with 50 percent of the vote to Lake’s 46 percent. Meanwhile, President Donald J. Trump has consistently led Vice President Kamala Harris in the state—raising concerns among Democrats that Trump’s coattails could be enough to secure a win for Lake as well.

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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Representative Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), the 2024 Democratic Party nominee for U.S. Senate in Arizona, is facing increasing scrutiny over his Mexican father's criminal behavior, both past and present. Jose Angel Marinelarena was arrested on March 3, 2024, for battery after assaulting his landlady in Chicago, Illinois. Additionally, Gallego admitted last week that his father is a "convicted drug dealer." show more

The RCP Polling Average Gives Trump a Landslide Win.

With less than 30 days until the 2024 presidential election, one major polling average suggests former President Donald J. Trump is on pace for an Electoral College landslide victory over Vice President Kamala Harris. According to the polling aggregates compiled by RealClearPolitics (RCP), Trump holds the edge in five of the seven critical battleground states.

The data, comprised of an average of publically available presidential race polling in each state, shows Trump leading Harris in Georgia by 1.5 percent, Arizona by 1.4 percent, North Carolina by 0.6 percent, Michigan by 0.5 percent, and Pennsylvania by 0.2 percent. Harris, meanwhile, leads Trump in Nevada and Wisconsin by 1.1 percent and 0.6 percent, respectively.

While the RCP average suggests Trump is on pace to win just shy of 300 electoral votes, the razor-thin margins in all seven states indicate the race remains statistically a toss-up between the two candidates. Despite an early surge in support following her entry into the 2024 race after President Biden was pressured out of seeking re-election, Harris’s polling numbers have plateaued in recent weeks.

The Vice President has struggled to consolidate support among both young and working-class voters. According to recent data released by the Teamsters Union, its members are breaking for Trump over Harris by a two-to-one ratio. In Pennsylvania, almost 50 percent of the state’s male population has just a high school diploma or less—often indicative of a working-class background.

Another deciding factor in the 2024 presidential election is likely to be the Hispanic vote. Trump is making significant gains among this critical demographic, especially among Hispanic men. The 2020 census indicates that Hispanics make up about 30 percent of the population in both Arizona and Nevada.

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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With less than 30 days until the 2024 presidential election, one major polling average suggests former President Donald J. Trump is on pace for an Electoral College landslide victory over Vice President Kamala Harris. According to the polling aggregates compiled by RealClearPolitics (RCP), Trump holds the edge in five of the seven critical battleground states. show more

Top Dem Strategist Says He’s ‘Scared to Death’ Over Kamala’s Failing Campaign.

Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville is raising serious concerns regarding Vice President Kamala Harris‘s election prospects. During a recent appearance on MSNBC, Carville, known for his role in Bill Clinton’s 1992 presidential campaign, stated he is “scared to death” as the November 5 election date approaches.

Carville highlighted that the Harris campaign should not be complacent, pointing out that they have less time than they may believe. “She doesn’t have a month left,” he said, emphasizing the urgency by noting that time is limited. He calculated that the campaign effectively has under 20 days to make a significant impact. The Democratic Party strategist added: “I think she and the whole campaign need to be much more aggressive and much less passive than they are.”


Carville’s concerns are not unwarranted. Recent polling data suggests the Harris campaign is struggling to win over young men, especially minorities, in the critical battleground states of Arizona, Nevada, and Michigan. In Arizona and Nevada, specifically, Harris is facing surging support for her opponent, President Donald J. Trump, among Latino men under the age of 50. Trump’s margin among young Latinos is in the double digits in both states.

Also concerning for Harris are mounting worries over turnout among young black men in Michigan. Low turnout in Detroit could doom Harris. When turnout in the city is above 50 percent, Democrats are—historically—a lock to win the state.

“I am worried about turnout in Detroit. I think it’s real,” said Jamal Simmons in a recent interview with POLITICO. The Detroit native and former communications director for Harris asked: “Do they have the machine to turn people out? There are concerns and they’re not insignificant.”

Image by Gage Skidmore.

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Veteran Democratic strategist James Carville is raising serious concerns regarding Vice President Kamala Harris's election prospects. During a recent appearance on MSNBC, Carville, known for his role in Bill Clinton’s 1992 presidential campaign, stated he is "scared to death" as the November 5 election date approaches. show more

Kamala Leans on John Fetterman to Bring in Blue-Collar Voters.

Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) is emerging as a key campaign surrogate for Vice President Kamala Harris in the closing days of the 2024 presidential election. She hopes to head off President Donald J. Trump’s surging support among blue-collar voters in Pennsylvania, and her campaign believes deploying Fetterman to rally voters in rural Pennsylvania counties will push the Democratic Vice President’s margins higher than President Joe Biden’s during the 2020 election.

Trump’s strong showing in the critical swing state looms large in the mind of the Harris campaign. Despite losing Pennsylvania to Biden in 2020, Trump saw a significant increase in his margins in the state’s more rural counties compared to his 2016 numbers. In rural Somerset County—about an hour outside Pittsburgh in western Pennsylvania—Trump carried the vote by 55 points in 2016. He defeated Biden by an even greater margin in the county during the 2020 election.

Hoping to narrow the margin in places like Somerset, the Harris campaign has dispatched Fetterman, the state’s junior Democratic Senator who has sometimes bucked the national party and has populist appeal. Over the final weeks before Election Day, Fetterman will host over a half dozen events across rural Pennsylvania, with an appeal to union voters and legacy Democrats being the primary focus.

Data released by the Teamsters Union in September suggests Trump is winning union households by a two-to-one margin over Harris. The labor union, with over one million members, has declined to endorse a presidential candidate for the first time in 28 years.

Image by Gov. Tom Wolf.

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Senator John Fetterman (D-PA) is emerging as a key campaign surrogate for Vice President Kamala Harris in the closing days of the 2024 presidential election. She hopes to head off President Donald J. Trump's surging support among blue-collar voters in Pennsylvania, and her campaign believes deploying Fetterman to rally voters in rural Pennsylvania counties will push the Democratic Vice President's margins higher than President Joe Biden's during the 2020 election. show more

The Last Inflation/Jobs Numbers Before The Election Just Came Out.

Wall Street futures continued to slide Thursday after U.S. inflation data for September came in higher than expected, underlining issues with the Biden-Harris government’s handling of the economy. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2 percent month-over-month and 2.4 percent annually, exceeding economists’ estimates and putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue adjusting interest rates.

The core inflation rate—which excludes food and energy prices—increased 3.3 percent year-on-year, surpassing predictions of 2.3 percent. Sustained inflation, particularly in the core figure, highlights the Biden-Harris government’s failure to bring prices under control despite promises to ease the financial burdens on American families.

President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris have exacerbated inflation through excessive government spending and poor economic policies. Harris, having replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential nominee, has been trying to distance herself from the government’s economic record. However, the 81-year-old President has been clear she was involved in all aspects of his maladministration.

Wall Street reacted negatively to the inflation data, with Dow E-minis falling 112 points (0.26 percent), S&P 500 E-minis down 21.5 points (0.37 percent), and Nasdaq 100 E-minis dropping 106.25 points (0.52 percent). Traders expect the Federal Reserve to ease interest rates by 25 basis points at its next meeting. Still, the ongoing inflationary pressure casts doubt on how effective such measures will be.

Furthermore, weekly jobless claims rose to 258,000, higher than the forecasted 230,000, suggesting labor market weaknesses. Previous data indicates that almost all jobs created under Biden-Harris have gone to migrants.

The uncertain economic outlook also weighs heavily on key sectors, with airline stocks like Delta, United, and American Airlines all posting losses.

Former President Donald J. Trump consistently outpolls Biden and Harris regarding inflation and the economy.

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Wall Street futures continued to slide Thursday after U.S. inflation data for September came in higher than expected, underlining issues with the Biden-Harris government's handling of the economy. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2 percent month-over-month and 2.4 percent annually, exceeding economists' estimates and putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue adjusting interest rates. show more

Trump Makes Rare Statement on Scottish Independence – ‘I Hope The UK Stays Together.’

Former President Donald J. Trump has said he hopes the United Kingdom will not break up, recalling how Scotland came close to leaving the Union in 2014. He made the comments during a conversation with Andrew Schulz, a comedian and podcaster who, like the former president, has a Scottish mother.

“I tell you what, England fought them for a thousand years trying to get ’em under tow—they couldn’t do it,” Trump said, saying his mother, Mary, from Scotland’s Western Isles, exemplified this national toughness.

Praising Mel Gibson‘s performance as Scottish independence leader Sir William Wallace in Braveheart, Trump recalled how even the Romans built walls—Hadrian’s Wall and the Antonine Wall—because they were “afraid” of the Scots, saying, “The Scottish people, they’re tough people, they’re good people, actually they’re very great people, [and] they’re good fighters.”

He noted his mother was a great admirer of the late Queen Elizabeth II and that terminating the United Kingdom would be “a hard breakup.”

“You know they tried to break up Scotland from the rest of the Empire, so to speak,” he said of the 2014 referendum on Scottish independence. “I hope it stays together; I hope it always stays together,” he added.

Despite being bigger by size and population, Trump noted that England could never subdue Scotland by force and that the two kingdoms eventually “married.”

James VI, King of Scots, became James I of England as well on the death of Elizabeth I in 1603—the Union of the Crowns. King James played a prominent role in the early settlement of the Americas, and the Scottish and English kingdoms—including Wales and Ireland as de facto dependencies of the English crown—agreed to a full political union in 1707, forming the Kingdom of Great Britain.

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Former President Donald J. Trump has said he hopes the United Kingdom will not break up, recalling how Scotland came close to leaving the Union in 2014. He made the comments during a conversation with Andrew Schulz, a comedian and podcaster who, like the former president, has a Scottish mother. show more