British general election polls might be overstating the Labour Party’s substantial lead over the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom. Conservative election expert Robert Hayward, a member of the House of Lords and former member of the House of Commons, believes his analysis of local election results indicates higher support for the governing party among undecided voters than current polls suggest.
“About 33 years on, I am yet again convinced that a statistical bias exists in the polls,” said Hayward, who identified the so-called ‘Shy Tory’ effect in 1992. The Conservatives (Tories) were behind Labour ahead of the 1992 election, but many people voted for them despite telling pollsters they would not, indicating some Conservative voters were reluctant to disclose their support.
Recent surveys have shown Labour leading by 14 to over 20 points. Constituency-level polling from YouGov forecasts a landslide Labour victory when the election is held on July 4, projecting that Labour could win more than 400 seats out of 650.
Hayward acknowledges Labour’s significant lead but believes the polls may not be entirely accurate, with undecided voters having the potential to shift toward the Conservatives.
Polling industry experts also noted the risks of methodological errors. One told the Guardian there are “lots of reasons to be concerned about a polling error this time around.”
“There are serious data quality issues across the industry, where it’s getting tougher to ensure the people taking part in surveys are real, taking the surveys seriously, and representative of the wider population,” they explained.
The Conservatives won a surprise majority in 2015 after pollsters predicted a hung parliament with no party in overall control. Pollsters also predicted Britons would not vote for Brexit in 2016.
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British general election polls might be overstating the Labour Party’s substantial lead over the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom. Conservative election expert Robert Hayward, a member of the House of Lords and former member of the House of Commons, believes his analysis of local election results indicates higher support for the governing party among undecided voters than current polls suggest.
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A group of 26 female nurses from a UK National Health Service (NHS) Trust have initiated legal action, claiming they were compelled to share a women’s changing room with a transgender colleague. According to the nurses, the transgender nurse showed a particular interest in female staff members while they were undressing.
The formal complaint includes allegations that the transgender nurse, who had recently admitted to attempting to conceive with a female partner and had ceased taking female hormones, was described as “sexually active.” The situation prompted significant concern among the female staff.
In response to their grievances, the nurses reported that a human resources manager at the hospital advised them to “be more inclusive,” “broaden their mindset,” and “be educated and attend training.”
This incident follows a recent proposal aimed at banning transgender women from being placed in single-sex female NHS wards. Under the proposed changes, individuals whose gender identity differs from their biological sex could be assigned to single rooms where appropriate. Additionally, patients would be entitled to request that intimate care be delivered by a person of the same biological sex.
A spokesperson for the NHS Trust, speaking to the Daily Mail, emphasized their commitment to fostering an inclusive and respectful work environment for all employees. They stated, “We recognize that this is a hugely sensitive issue, and we are working to adhere to legal requirements and best practices while respecting the rights and dignity of all individuals. As our internal processes continue, it would not be appropriate to comment in any further detail at this stage.”
One of the nurses told the Daily Mail, “We don’t feel safe because we strip down to our underwear and [the individual] doesn’t just stay by his locker. He walks around the changing room in his boxer shorts.”
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A group of 26 female nurses from a UK National Health Service (NHS) Trust have initiated legal action, claiming they were compelled to share a women's changing room with a transgender colleague. According to the nurses, the transgender nurse showed a particular interest in female staff members while they were undressing.
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Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has rejected rumors he plans to relocate to California following a likely election loss to Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party. The Conservative Party leader claims he is committed to remaining in Britain irrespective of the election results on July 4.
The rumors surfaced alongside speculation that Sunak had called an early election to facilitate his daughters’ schooling arrangements in the U.S. Responding to a query about his alleged relocation plans, Sunak claimed, “It’s simply not true. I mean, it’s just simply not true.”
“[T]his is my home. I mean, my football team just got promoted back in the Premiership, and I hope to be watching them for years to come in the Premier League,” he added.
However, Sunak previously lived and worked in California, where he met his Indian wife, and watching the Premier League overseas is possible.
Conservative leaders have broken promises about staying in British politics after losing at the ballot box before. David Cameron pledged to stay on if he lost the Brexit referendum in 2016, but ultimately quit not just the premiership but also his seat in Parliament.
Former Liberal Democrat leader Sir Nick Clegg, formerly Deputy Prime Minister in Cameron’s first government, moved to California after abandoning British politics. He now serves as Meta’s President of Global Affairs for Mark Zuckerberg and has been heavily involved in pushing censorship on social media.
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Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has rejected rumors he plans to relocate to California following a likely election loss to Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party. The Conservative Party leader claims he is committed to remaining in Britain irrespective of the election results on July 4.
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Former pop music and television star Holly Valance is hosting a mammoth fundraiser for Donald Trump alongside Donald Trump Jr. and his fiancée Kimberly Guilfoyle in London, England, on June 12. Valance is well-known to the British public for her role on Neighbours, an Australian soap opera also popular in Britain. She gained international fame for her 2002 album Footprints, and especially for her single Kiss Kiss.
“She’s glamorous. She doesn’t fit into the pigeonhole. She doesn’t fit into the woke agenda of Hollywood, and people don’t expect that,” a Valance admirer in Trump’s camp told the British press.
“It’s a Holly party, so you can guarantee it’s going to be enormous fun,” said Nigel Farage, the former Brexit Party leader and Trump ally.
Farage introduced Valance and her husband, billionaire property developer Nick Candy, to Trump at Mar-a-Lago in 2022.
“She kept quiet for many, many years,” Farage said of Valance’s conservative views, saying he had often warned her that “once you go public, there’s no way back.”
Valance, who describes Trump as “charming, polite, very quick-witted,” and “a great listener,” said in February that “Everyone starts as a leftie, and then wakes up and realizes all the ideas are crap.”
“It was a funny sliding doors moment because I didn’t think anything I said was particularly edgy or profound or revolutionary,” she said of her comments “coming out” as conservative.
“But maybe it was a good moment for someone in the entertainment industry to buck the trend of only contributing their latest project pitch or their pronouns.”
Tickets for the London fundraiser cost up to $100,000 (£78,500) for a couple.
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Former pop music and television star Holly Valance is hosting a mammoth fundraiser for Donald Trump alongside Donald Trump Jr. and his fiancée Kimberly Guilfoyle in London, England, on June 12. Valance is well-known to the British public for her role on Neighbours, an Australian soap opera also popular in Britain. She gained international fame for her 2002 album Footprints, and especially for her single Kiss Kiss.
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Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who has called a snap general election for July 4, has vowed to reintroduce National Service for young people if his party is returned to government. The scheme will involve one year of military service or community volunteering, mirroring a 2010 bid by then-Conservative leader David Cameron to introduce “National Citizen Service.” The scheme was a flop and has cost UK taxpayers hundreds of millions with little to show for it.
National Service, abolished in 1960, formerly involved 18 months of military service as the less-diminished United Kingdom, still boasting much of its Empire, faced the Soviet Union along the Iron Curtain. Sunak’s version would largely involve volunteering, for one weekend a month over 12 months, with the National Health Service (NHS), fire brigades, and other organizations.
The military component would be “selective,” with only 30,000 youths accepted annually. Nevertheless, there are significant misgivings about the scheme, with the Conservative leadership increasingly obsessed with escalating clashes with the Russian Federation.
In January, former Foreign Secretary and Conservative Party leader Lord William Hague said the restoration of National Service was needed to challenge Russia, lambasting young people as having “a lot of rights without any responsibility to protect them.”
However, Hague has never served himself. Nor has Sunak, his Defence Secretary Grant Shapps, his Foreign Secretary David Cameron, nor arch-war hawk Boris Johnson, who recently endorsed Ukraine’s Neo-Nazi Azov Brigade.
Restoring National Service was once a popular idea among grassroots conservatives, but support has collapsed as the military has been overtaken by Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) enthusiasts pushing leftist ideology and unlawfully discriminating against white people.
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Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who has called a snap general election for July 4, has vowed to reintroduce National Service for young people if his party is returned to government. The scheme will involve one year of military service or community volunteering, mirroring a 2010 bid by then-Conservative leader David Cameron to introduce "National Citizen Service." The scheme was a flop and has cost UK taxpayers hundreds of millions with little to show for it.
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King Charles III has discussed the possibility of stripping Prince Harry and Meghan Markle of their royal titles. The conversation reportedly involves lengthy discussions with Prince William, who is said to share concerns about potential backlash.
The titles of the Duke and Duchess of Sussex became a point of contention following their departure from official royal duties and subsequent move to the United States. This development led to widespread calls for the couple to be stripped of their titles. Sources indicate that King Charles has recently revisited this issue with Prince William, though the decision remains unresolved.
King Charles and Prince William “have had lengthy discussions about stripping Meghan and Harry of their royal titles, but they are terrified this would backfire and make the situation worse,” said Royal author and expert Tom Quinn.
During their recent tour of Nigeria, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle prominently used their titles, with seating labeled “Duke” and “Duchess,” which has reignited the controversy.
“The last thing they want is to give the renegade royals something else to complain about,” Quinn said. He noted that even if their titles were revoked, Meghan and Harry would likely continue their activities, retaining a significant public following worldwide.
After stepping back from senior royal duties in 2020, the couple ceased to be referred to as “His Royal Highness” and “Her Royal Highness” but retained their Duke and Duchess titles. This year, they strengthened their association with the Royal Family by relaunching their website, Sussex.com, which features their titles and a coat of arms.
The couple’s barely concealed distaste for the Royal Family and pursuit of profit led a Conservative Member of Parliament to introduce a bill last year to strip them of their royal titles.
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King Charles III has discussed the possibility of stripping Prince Harry and Meghan Markle of their royal titles. The conversation reportedly involves lengthy discussions with Prince William, who is said to share concerns about potential backlash.
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Video uncovered by the Active Measures investigative journalism project shows Boris Johnson, the former British prime minister, praising the Neo-Nazi Azov Brigade at a meeting of leading politicians and uniformed soldiers in London, England. The incident, believed to have occurred on May 22, 2024, appears to have taken place at a swanky, private members club, with Johnson stating: “My message to you is very simple: Thank you to the heroes from the Azov Brigade who honor us with their presence tonight.”
EXCLUSIVE: Active Measures has obtained footage of former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson praising Ukraine’s neo-Nazi Azov Battalion.
Johnson additionally calls for the Ukrainian government to be authorized to use Western weapons inside Russian territory. pic.twitter.com/CuK5SQjX0R
The footage is especially stunning given Johnson’s propensity to invoke the legacy of Sir Winston Churchill, the most avowedly anti-Nazi leader the Western world has ever seen, as part of his political tradition.
“Give the Ukrainians what they need. Give them the weapons, give them the authorization to use those weapons outside their own borders,” Johnson said in his speech, calling it “ludicrous” that Ukraine’s Western backers have asked them not to strike targets inside Russia proper with Western missiles.
“It’s the single best investment that we could make in the defense of the whole Euro-Atlantic area, is supporting Ukrainian heroes… We rely wholly on heroes such as the people who are here tonight with us, from the Azov Brigade,” he insisted.
NOT THE ONLY ‘CONSERVATIVE’ BACKING ACTUAL NAZIS.
Johnson also posed for pictures with uniformed soldiers holding an Azov banner featuring a symbol known as the wolfsangel, or wolf’s hook, used during World War II by Waffen-SS Division Das Reich and other units loyal to Adolf Hitler, whose personal nickname was ‘Wolf.’
The wolf’s hook was supposedly dropped by Azov in 2022 in favor of less obvious Neo-Nazi iconography but was clearly visible on the patches worn by the soldiers attending the Johnson meeting.
Also in attendance were Ben Wallace, the former Defence Secretary, Sir Iain Duncan Smith, a former Conservative Party leader, and other politicians.
Johnson was Prime Minister at the time of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 and personally scuppered an early peace deal, according to both Russian leader Vladimir Putin and the then-Prime Minister of Israel, Naftali Bennett, who helped to broker it.
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Video uncovered by the Active Measures investigative journalism project shows Boris Johnson, the former British prime minister, praising the Neo-Nazi Azov Brigade at a meeting of leading politicians and uniformed soldiers in London, England. The incident, believed to have occurred on May 22, 2024, appears to have taken place at a swanky, private members club, with Johnson stating: "My message to you is very simple: Thank you to the heroes from the Azov Brigade who honor us with their presence tonight."
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On the first full day of his election campaign, British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak appears to have shelved the Tory policy proposal to send a small number of asylum seekers to Rwanda. Several members of Sunak’s government indicated the Prime Minister had confirmed he would not rush through an approval of the Rwanda plan ahead of the July 4 parliamentary elections. Following a meeting with Sunak, one Tory cabinet minister declared, “The Rwanda plan is now dead.”
The proposal’s failure is the latest — and perhaps most significant —blow against Sunak, who is struggling to shore up support for his government ahead of the election. A recent poll showed the Tories only registered 19 percent among the British electorate compared to the Labour Party’s 45 percent. The populist Reform UK came in third at 14 percent, with the Liberal Democrats and Green Party training at 12 percent and five percent, respectively. Sunak insisted the £500 million Rwanda plan would proceed if he were re-elected.
Sunak’s party is facing increasing internal strife, particularly from right-wing Tories dismayed by the Prime Minister’s admission that asylum seekers crossing the Channel in small boats will not be flown to Rwanda before July 4. Meanwhile, Keir Starmer, the leader of Labour, declared the Tory government’s legislative agenda to be “in tatters.” Starmer accused Sunak of lacking confidence in his Rwanda plan and called for an end to what he described as “Tory chaos.”
The National Pulse reported in December that the Tory proposal to send asylum seekers to the African nation had been significantly pared back in scope after the UK Supreme Court unanimously ruled the government’s original agreement with Rwanda to relocate migrants was unlawful.
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On the first full day of his election campaign, British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak appears to have shelved the Tory policy proposal to send a small number of asylum seekers to Rwanda. Several members of Sunak's government indicated the Prime Minister had confirmed he would not rush through an approval of the Rwanda plan ahead of the July 4 parliamentary elections. Following a meeting with Sunak, one Tory cabinet minister declared, "The Rwanda plan is now dead."
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National Pulse Editor-in-Chief Raheem Kassam explained Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s surprise decision to call a British general election for July 4 on Stephen K. Bannon’s War Room, citing Britain’s infamously dire weather alongside the governing Conservative Party’s equally dire record in office.
While the Conservatives could have postponed the election until as late as January 2025, Kassam noted “a lot more rot” could set in by then, setting the stage for an even more devastating loss. He cited sky-high immigration — the record-breaking net influx for 2022 was revised upwards by almost 20,000 to 764,000 just this morning — as well as inflation, coronavirus-era lockdowns, “lots of LGBTQ stuff,” and “lots of hate speech stuff,” which has alienated the party’s core voters.
“I think they realize politically things can only get worse for them, not necessarily better,” Kassam said, adding that a later election would also detract from their ground game, which increasingly depends on elderly activists who suffer in poor weather.
NO TV, NO RADIO.
“Remember, British elections do not have television advertising; there’s no radio advertising. They really rely on the foot soldiers, knocking on doors, delivering leaflets, speaking to voters face to face, and when you are a predominantly older… political party, you really don’t want to send people out there in the cold, and the wet, and the wind,” Kassam explained.
“It sounds parochial. It is parochial. [But] that is a major decision when it comes to when and how you hold an election in the United Kingdom.”
Even in May, the rain was drenching Sunak as he was announcing the snap election, with Kassam observing he “looked washed out and washed up” — and would likely look similar on July 5.
WATCH:
How the British weather (and a terrible record in office) shaped Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's decision to call an election on Independence Day, explained to Americans by @RaheemKassam on Steve Bannon's War Room. pic.twitter.com/YGXiGfGk1B
Bannon questioned Kassam on the state of populism in the United Kingdom, which appeared to be in the ascendant following the Brexit referendum. Kassam said Sunak had likely called an early election in part to stop Reform, formerly the Brexit Party led by Nigel Farage, from organizing and “tear[ing] chunks out of the Conservative vote.”
Farage has already said he will not stand in the election, preferring to focus on helping Donald Trump reclaim the White House. Kassam, speaking to Bannon before Farage made the announcement, had advised him to take this course of action, believing he has a better chance of becoming Prime Minister once Labour returns to government and quickly disillusions the public.
“I was sitting on the balcony of County Hall in London behind [former Conservative leader and Prime Minister] David Cameron… when he announced the Conservative manifesto for the year 2010,” Kassam recalled.
“You can see me in the background … [T]he time for change after 13 years of Labour governance had truly come, and we really genuinely believed that something different was around the corner… Something different wasn’t around the corner,” he said.
The “neoliberal oligarchy” soon reasserted itself post-Labour, with the Conservatives “govern[ing] to the left” in coalition with the Liberal Democrats.
He lamented how this neoliberal oligarchy has presided over “abject poverty,” particularly “outside of London,” with neighborhoods “completely dilapidated” while the likes of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, “a representative of the one percent of the one percent,” claims the economy is “going gangbusters.”
Kassam had harsh words for Conservative premiers since 2010, including Sunak, Liz Truss, Boris Johnson, and David Cameron, saying he “wouldn’t spit on them if they were on fire, quite frankly.” However, he predicts a restored Labour government — Sir Keir Starmer’s leftist party is projected to win on July 4 by a landslide — will be even worse, as while the Conservatives constantly offer sops to the left, Labour will be “throwing sops to the far left ”
Kassam said Americans should familiarize themselves with Labour shadow government members who are currently obscure but may soon be in office opposing a restored Donald Trump administration, such as Labour deputy leader Angela Raynors and shadow foreign minister David Lammy.
WATCH:
British decline, Tory betrayal, and the future of populism in the United Kingdom explained to Americans by @RaheemKassam on Steve Bannon's War Room. pic.twitter.com/rYnnmniuO9
National Pulse Editor-in-Chief Raheem Kassam explained Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's surprise decision to call a British general election for July 4 on Stephen K. Bannon's War Room, citing Britain's infamously dire weather alongside the governing Conservative Party's equally dire record in office.
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Nigel Farage, former leader of the Brexit Party, now rebranded Reform UK, has confirmed he will not run in the British general election called for July 4. The GB News host will instead focus on helping Donald Trump and the America First movement reclaim power in the United States.
“I have thought long and hard as to whether I should stand in the upcoming general election,” Farage wrote in a statement posted on social media.
“As honorary president of Reform UK, I am fully supportive of Richard Tice’s leadership and urge voters to put their trust in him and Lee Anderson,” he added, referring to Reform’s party leader and its only Member of Parliament (MP), the former deputy chairman of the governing Conservative (Tory) party.
“I will do my bit to help in the campaign, but it is not the right time for me to go any further than that,” he confirmed.
Farage explained that while the British general election is “important,” the American general election in November “has huge global significance.”
AMERICA FIRST.
“A strong America as a close ally is vital for our peace and security. I intend to help with the grassroots campaign in the USA in any way I can,” he wrote.
He concluded by branding both the Conservatives and the opposition Labour party, the latter expected to oust the former in a landslide, “uninspiring.” He added that “only Reform have the radical agenda that is needed to end decline in [the United Kingdom]” – but the right-populist party is currently projected to win zero seats, thanks to a third-past-the-post system that stacks the deck against new parties.
Farage was the first major political figure from overseas to be received by then-President-elect Trump in 2016, meeting him at Trump Tower alongside National Pulse editor-in-chief Raheem Kassam and figures from the Leave.EU campaign.
Farage had campaigned for Trump against Hillary Clinton, arguing the America First movement was an extension of the broader anti-globalism movement in the West that he had championed during his successful campaign against the European Union earlier in 2016.
Nigel Farage, former leader of the Brexit Party, now rebranded Reform UK, has confirmed he will not run in the British general election called for July 4. The GB News host will instead focus on helping Donald Trump and the America First movement reclaim power in the United States.
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Editor’s Notes
Behind-the-scenes political intrigue exclusively for Pulse+ subscribers.
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