Frank Cannon is president of the American Principles Project and a respected conservative political strategist with over 30 years of experience.
The average of polls is one percent, so ahead, tied — I think it’s virtually tied. What I think is much more important is what we learned about the path to 270 delegates. Trump is not winning traditionally Republican states by as wide a margin as other Republican candidates did in the past. But Hillary is winning Democratic states, like California and New York, by the traditional margins.
This has two effects. When Hillary is up by six or seven points, the media — which at the time saw this — said Hillary can win in a blowout, because there are Republican states like Georgia, Texas, and South Carolina that are in play. But the converse of this is actually the more important and interesting point. Because as Trump regained those seven points, there are states that no Republican in the past — and probably no Republican from this campaign — could have won, and they include states like Wisconsin, Colorado, Rhode Island, Maine, New Jersey. And it puts Trump on a path that actually gives him many more options with the race being close of getting to the 270 than Hillary has. It’s an amazing turnaround.[…]