On Tuesday, Israelis went to the polls in the first general election since the October 7 attack, a revitalized Israel-Hamas War, and the outbreak of the Iran war.
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Context.
Israel held its 2026 elections for the Knesset, the country’s unicameral legislature, against the backdrop of three years of war following the Hamas attack of October 7, 2023. As such, the election was widely seen as a referendum on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s handling of October 7 and the ensuing war.
In addition to Netanyahu’s record in government, the longstanding dispute over military service exemptions for ultra-orthodox Jews also became a particularly important dividing line, given manpower shortages and repeated reserve mobilizations. Netanyahu has defended the religious exemption system, while opposition leader and former Israel Defense Forces (IDF) chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot has promised broader conscription.
Netanyahu’s controversial judicial reforms, which involved subordinating the country’s supreme court to the Knesset, also remained a key issue, having triggered mass protests in 2023.
The election coincides with Netanyahu’s ongoing corruption trial, in which the premier denies any wrongdoing.
The Candidates.
The two main contenders for Prime Minister are the incumbent Netanyahu, leader of the Likud party, and Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party.
The major third parties include former Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s Together party and Joint List, a left-wing Arab interests party led by academic Yousef Jabareen.
Other parties included the center-left Democrats led by Yair Golan, a reserve IDF Major General, and Ra’am, an Arab party led by Mansour Abbas.
Itamar Ben-Gvir, who serves as national security minister in Netanyahu’s coalition government, led his right-wing Otzma Yehudit party into the election. In the 2022 election, he ran a joint ticket with Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s finance minister and leader of the Religious Zionist Party (RZP). However, in this election, Smotrich instead ran a joint ticket with Zehut (RZP-Zehut), led by Moshe Feiglin.
Various smaller parties representing the interests of specific groups within Israeli society also contested the election, such as Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu, a right-wing party representing Russian speakers, United Torah Judaism, a party representing Haredi Jewish interests led by Ya’akov Asher, and Aryeh Deri’s Shas party, which represents Sephardic and Mizrahi background Jews.
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The Results.
Netanyahu’s Likud is estimated to have secured 26 seats and 20.5 percent of the vote, making it the largest party. However, the party lost ten seats compared to the last election.
Eisenkot’s newly-created Yashar came a close second with 21 seats and 16.1 percent of the vote, gaining the most of any party during the election.
Bennett’s Together party won 12 seats and 9.2 percent, down 12 seats from the last election, while Jabareen’s Joint List also secured 12 seats on roughly nine percent of the vote, up seven seats.
Meanwhile, Golan’s Democrats secured eight seats and 6.5 percent of the vote, up four seats. Just behind, Ra’am won seven seats and six percent of the vote, as did Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu, which gained two seats and one seat, respectively.
Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit secured seven seats on roughly 5.6 percent, as did Asher’s United Torah Judaism. Both parties neither gained nor lost seats. Deri’s Shas party also won seven seats. securing 5.3 percent of the vote, down four seats.
The Smotrich-led RZP-Zehut alliance won six seats with five percent of the vote, down one seat from last time.
Overall, Likud and Together were the biggest losers of the night, while Yashar, the Democrats, and Israel’s “Arab Bloc” (the Joint List and Ra’am) stand out as the biggest winners.
Consequences.
Due to the nature of the Israeli electoral system, parties must form coalitions in order to govern. As a result, parties organize into blocs based on policy and ideological overlap. The leader of the largest party serves as the bloc’s figurehead and, if the bloc wins an election, typically becomes Prime Minister.
Netanyahu’s bloc includes his Likud party, Otzma Yehudit, United Torah Judaism, Shas, and RZP-Zehut, while Eisenkot’s bloc includes his Yashar party, Together, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beiteinu. Neither major bloc supports recognizing a Palestinian state, and both support the country’s security consensus, which includes sustaining Israel’s regional military campaigns, eliminating Hamas governance in the Gaza Strip, and neutralizing Iran.
As such, Netanyahu’s bloc has 53 seats, while Eisenkot’s bloc has 48, meaning both fall short of the 61 seats required to form a majority in the Knesset.
While the Arab bloc has a combined total of 19 seats, both Netanyahu and Eisenkot, along with leaders within their respective blocs, have ruled out working with the Arab parties. However, some figures within Eisenkot’s bloc, such as Yair Golan, have voiced support for working with the Arab parties, exposing the Eisenkot bloc’s internal divisions.
Since the results, Netanyahu has accused the Arab bloc of committing electoral fraud and Qatar of interfering on behalf of the opposition. Both claims have been denied and challenged by the Arab parties, Eisenkot’s bloc, and the Qatari government.
If a governing agreement is not reached, another election will be held early next year. In the meantime, Netanyahu remains Prime Minister, albeit as leader of a caretaker government.
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