Thursday, September 18, 2025

DATA: Texas Would Flip Democrat If Haley Were Nominee.

A new poll shows former President Donald Trump continues to hold widespread support in Texas, running 11 points ahead of President Joe Biden. However, if former South Carolina Governor Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley were to overcome nearly insurmountable odds and win the Republican presidential nomination, she’d lose the state to Biden. A Democrat presidential nominee has not won Texas since 1976, when Jimmy Carter carried the state over President Gerald Ford.

Texas voters, by a wide margin, believe former President Donald Trump has the best chance of defeating President Joe Biden in November, according to the Redfield & Wilton Strategies survey — with 47 percent saying Trump to Haley’s 19 percent. Among 2020 Trump voters, 75 percent said he was the stronger candidate, compared to just 11 percent naming Haley.

Nearly 70 percent of Texas voters believe the border state is facing an illegal immigration crisis. Among former President Donald Trump’s political base in the state, the number rises to nearly 90 percent. Almost 60 percent of respondents said the Biden government does not have control over the U.S. border with Mexico.

The ongoing invasion of illegal immigrants at the southern border has contributed, in large part, to President Biden’s low approval ratings across the country. Biden’s ratings are underwater in Texas, with a -17 percent net approval. Meanwhile, Texas Governor Greg Abbott — who continues efforts to secure the border in defiance of the Biden government and U.S. Supreme Court — has a net 6 percent approval rating.

show less
A new poll shows former President Donald Trump continues to hold widespread support in Texas, running 11 points ahead of President Joe Biden. However, if former South Carolina Governor Nimarata 'Nikki' Haley were to overcome nearly insurmountable odds and win the Republican presidential nomination, she'd lose the state to Biden. A Democrat presidential nominee has not won Texas since 1976, when Jimmy Carter carried the state over President Gerald Ford. show more
jeff roe

Speaker Johnson Dumps DeSantis PAC Consultant Jeff Roe.

House Speaker Mike Johnson’s (R-LA) re-election campaign quietly cut ties in late October with its fundraising consulting firm, Fundraising, Inc. The Republican-aligned fundraising company is a subsidiary of Jeff Roe’s Axiom Strategies. Shortly after winning the Speakership, Johnson was told by several House Republican colleagues — at the urging of Trump campaign aides Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles — that it would be prudent to end his campaign’s use of Roe-affiliated companies.

The departure of Johnson as a client of a Jeff Roe-controlled campaign firm is a significant blow to the high-profile Republican political consultant and Axiom Strategies. Meanwhile, some in former President Donald Trump’s inner circle are ramping up efforts to encourage Republican candidates to drop Roe, who had run the Ron DeSantis campaign-aligned SuperPAC Never Back Down. Roe resigned from his role with the SuperPAC in mid-December after infighting between Roe and DeSantis confidant Scott Wagner became public — effectively sidelining the massive pro-DeSantis operation just before the Iowa Caucus. DeSantis dropped out of the Republican presidential primary just one month later.

Roe, known for his bravado, has increasingly rubbed some in Republican Party political circles the wrong way. Critics allege Roe cares more about money than winning his client’s campaigns. They point to his penchant for bragging to potential business investors that Axiom’s network of companies can capture most of a candidate’s campaign spending.

While Roe and his Axiom team ran Never Back Down, nearly half of the SuperPAC’s spending flowed through Roe’s companies. Campaign finance data suggests the pro-DeSantis operation squandered millions in donor dollars paying political consultants — dangerously bloating the SuperPAC’s operating costs. Only a fraction of the budget was spent on tangible campaign efforts.

show less
House Speaker Mike Johnson's (R-LA) re-election campaign quietly cut ties in late October with its fundraising consulting firm, Fundraising, Inc. The Republican-aligned fundraising company is a subsidiary of Jeff Roe's Axiom Strategies. Shortly after winning the Speakership, Johnson was told by several House Republican colleagues — at the urging of Trump campaign aides Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles — that it would be prudent to end his campaign's use of Roe-affiliated companies. show more
trump biden

DATA: Trump Leads Biden by 10 Points Amongst Independents.

A new poll by SurveyUSA shows former President Donald Trump leading Joe Biden by 10 points amongst independent voters, 48 percent to 38 percent.

The survey of over 1,000 general election voters also shows Trump with an overall lead of 5 points against Biden, 49 percent to 44 percent. Although both candidates were found to have a net negative favorability rating, Trump remains far more popular than Biden, with a net favorability of -6 percent to Biden’s -16 percent.

The poll suggests that Trump is maintaining his substantial lead over Biden with independents despite the efforts of the regime to portray Trump as a threat to democracy and Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley’s ongoing spoiler campaign.

In addition to his unpopularity with independent voters, Biden also continues to hemorrhage support amongst blacks and Hispanics.

A Gallup poll released Wednesday found that Biden’s lead among black voters is the lowest it has been since 1999, while Hispanic support for the Democrat is the lowest for a Democratic presidential candidate since 2011.

show less
A new poll by SurveyUSA shows former President Donald Trump leading Joe Biden by 10 points amongst independent voters, 48 percent to 38 percent. show more

Biden Admits Defeat to Trump on ‘Border’ Bill Which Prioritizes Ukraine And Encourages MORE Migration.

In remarks delivered at the White House on Tuesday, President Joe Biden acknowledged his efforts to pressure the Senate to pass the Ukraine aid and U.S. border security supplemental funding bill have likely failed. Biden credited former President Donald Trump for rallying Senate Republicans to oppose the legislation, which Congressional Democrats largely backed.

“All indications are this bill won’t even move forward to the Senate floor,” President Biden said before continuing: “Why? A simple reason: Donald Trump.” Biden repeatedly tried to spin his defeat by claiming Trump scuttled the deal to keep the border crisis in play as a 2024 presidential campaign issue.  

“Because Donald Trump thinks it’s bad for him politically, therefore … even if it helps the country, he’s not for it, he’d rather weaponize this issue than actually solve it,” the 81-year-old Democrat said, continuing: “So for the last 24 hours, he’s done nothing, I’m told, than reach out to Republicans in the House and the Senate and threaten them and try to intimidate them to vote against this proposal. It looks like they’re caving. Frankly, they owe it to the American people to show some spine and do what they know to be right.”

House and Senate Republican opponents of the Biden-backed legislation have argued the President already has the statutory authority to restrict the flow of immigrants at the southern border. They have also sharply criticized it for prioritizing Democrat proposals to expand guest worker programs and empower Biden government bureaucrats to make asylum decisions instead of immigration courts. Additionally, as The National Pulse reported last week, a provision that Democrats claim would allow Biden to close the border would actually limit the executive authority to do so.

show less
In remarks delivered at the White House on Tuesday, President Joe Biden acknowledged his efforts to pressure the Senate to pass the Ukraine aid and U.S. border security supplemental funding bill have likely failed. Biden credited former President Donald Trump for rallying Senate Republicans to oppose the legislation, which Congressional Democrats largely backed. show more
nikki haley

DATA: Trump’s ‘MAGA Inc’ PAC Spent More Efficiently *AND* Effectively Than All Its Opponents.

Campaign finance data shows that Make America Great Again Inc. (MAGA Inc.) was far more efficient in its fundraising efforts and deployment of resources than both the pro-DeSantis Never Back Down Super PAC and the pro-Haley SFA Fund in the second half of 2023. The MAGA Inc. Super PAC, which is supporting former President Donald Trump’s bid to retake the White House, spent less than a quarter of what Never Back Down did on fundraising efforts while simultaneously raising over three times more in donations.

Likewise, the pro-Trump Super PAC spent nearly $20 million less on independent expenditures than Haley’s SFA Fund. Despite the SFA Fund’s large pro-Haley ad buys in Iowa and New Hampshire, Trump won both Republican primary contests by historic numbers, with Haley finishing in a distant third and second place, respectively.

The data also confirms claims that DeSantis’s Never Back Down operation squandered millions of donor dollars on consultants and operational costs — with only a fraction of its massive budget spent on actual campaign efforts. Despite boasting a $130 million budget in the spring of 2023, Never Back Down spent $81.1 million on operating expenditures while only raising an additional $14.5 million in the second half of 2023. The Super PAC’s chief strategist, Jeff Roe, and his consulting firm, Axiom Strategies, were amongst the primary beneficiaries of the high operational spending.

While Super PACs are not legally allowed to coordinate with a candidate’s campaign committee, they can fund independent expenditures in support of their preferred candidate. This support has traditionally come in the form of television and radio ads, campaign mailers, and phone banks. Haley’s SFA Fund spent $61 million on independent expenditures in 2023, while MAGA Inc. and Never Back Down spent $43.8 million and $36.8 million, respectively.

MAGA Inc. finished 2023 with $23.2 million in cash on hand — nearly $10 million more than Never Back Down and $20 million more than the pro-Haley SFA Fund.

show less
Campaign finance data shows that Make America Great Again Inc. (MAGA Inc.) was far more efficient in its fundraising efforts and deployment of resources than both the pro-DeSantis Never Back Down Super PAC and the pro-Haley SFA Fund in the second half of 2023. The MAGA Inc. Super PAC, which is supporting former President Donald Trump's bid to retake the White House, spent less than a quarter of what Never Back Down did on fundraising efforts while simultaneously raising over three times more in donations. show more

Nikki Haley Wants Secret Service Protection.

Former Governor of South Carolina Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley has officially requested that the federal government provide Secret Service protection as she continues her campaign for the Republican presidential nomination. Haley said she made the request after her campaign received an uptick in threats against her.

“We’ve had multiple issues,” Haley told The Wall Street Journal on Monday, adding: “It’s not going to stop me from doing what I need to do.” Neither Haley nor her provided any specific details regarding the threats she received.

Secret Service protection is often extended to presidential and vice-presidential candidates when it is determined necessary by the Department of Homeland Security. While protection for candidates is usually granted within 120 days of the presidential election, exceptions are made — usually by order of the President of the United States.

While former President Donald Trump is seen as the presumptive Republican presidential nominee — having won Iowa and New Hampshire in landslides last month — Haley has said she will continue her primary challenge through at least Super Tuesday on March 5th.

At a campaign event last week in South Carolina, Haley’s private security detail tackled a woman who attempted to rush the stage where the candidate was speaking. Haley was also the victim of a swatting incident where local police were falsely called to her home by an unidentified individual. Additionally, her outspoken support for Israel has drawn pro-Hamas protests at campaign events.

“When you do something like this, you get threats,” Haley said at a recent news conference when asked about the threats. “It’s just the reality.”

show less
Former Governor of South Carolina Nimarata 'Nikki' Haley has officially requested that the federal government provide Secret Service protection as she continues her campaign for the Republican presidential nomination. Haley said she made the request after her campaign received an uptick in threats against her. show more
trump biden

The Telling Reason Biden Is Using a Third Party Group to Spend $40M Attacking Trump Over His Legal Cases.

The United the Country SuperPAC plans to spend some $40 million on digital and television adverts smearing Donald Trump over the legal cases he is facing. The Joe Biden campaign is apparently afraid to do so directly, as it would reinforce the view the Democrat has weaponized the Justice Department against his leading rival.

Unite the Country, founded in 2019 to support Biden’s first presidential campaign, intends to target so-called “no-nos,” who view both Biden and Trump unfavorably. Trump won a 17-point lead among a similar segment of the electorate in 2016. However, Unite the Country believes Biden has the edge, based on polling in swing states Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

“We feel like this section of the electorate is critical, if not the critical, swing vote,” said super PAC director Steve Schale. “They were plus-17 Trump in the past, and the only thing keeping them where they are right now is the belief that a vote for Trump is a vote to end democracy,” he added.

While Schale said Unite the Country would be “leaning in early and often” on the January 6th cases against Trump, especially, the Biden campaign is reluctant to do so itself.

“The President has said from the beginning that he wanted an independent Justice Department, and we have to do just that,” suggested campaign co-chairman Cedric Richmond, a former White House aide to Biden, last year. “So we’re not going to comment. We’re not going to focus on Donald Trump’s legal problems.”

Trump currently leads Biden in all seven swing states and enjoys a commanding lead among independents.

show less
The United the Country SuperPAC plans to spend some $40 million on digital and television adverts smearing Donald Trump over the legal cases he is facing. The Joe Biden campaign is apparently afraid to do so directly, as it would reinforce the view the Democrat has weaponized the Justice Department against his leading rival. show more

Trump’s Economic Lead Over Biden Is Widest in History.

The lead Donald Trump holds over Joe Biden in terms of who would handle the economy better is the biggest of any candidate in the history of NBC polling.

The network, which began asking voters which candidate for the presidency would handle the economy better in 1992, found that 55 percent of voters believed that Trump would do the better job, compared to just 33 percent who put their faith in Biden.

Forty-eight percent also rated Trump as more likely to be competent and effective, against just 37 percent for Biden. In 2020, Biden led Trump on this measure by nine points, but his advantage has evaporated now voters have seen him in action in the White House.

The 81-year-old Democrat’s approval rating currently sits at 37 percent, lower than at any point in either his presidency or his predecessor’s.

Trump now leads Biden in all seven swing states, by margins as high as ten percent in North Carolina and eight percent in Nevada and Georgia — both officially won by Biden in 2020.

show less
The lead Donald Trump holds over Joe Biden in terms of who would handle the economy better is the biggest of any candidate in the history of NBC polling. show more

Editor’s Notes

Behind-the-scenes political intrigue exclusively for Pulse+ subscribers.

RAHEEM J. KASSAM Editor-in-Chief
The good news is above
The good news is above show more
for exclusive members-only insights

Federal Appeals Court Rules Trump NOT Immune in Elections Cases.

A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has ruled that presidential immunity does not bar former President Donald Trump from prosecution over allegations he interfered in an official government proceeding on January 6th, 2021. The three-judge panel, which last month heard arguments as to whether the former President’s efforts to prevent the certification of the 2020 election were covered under ‘Official Acts,’ rejected the claim and ordered the prosecution to proceed.

“We have balanced former President Trump’s asserted interests in executive immunity against the vital public interests that favor allowing this prosecution to proceed. We conclude that ‘[c]oncerns of public policy, especially as illuminated by our history and the structure of our government’ compel the rejection of his claim of immunity in this case,” the judges wrote in their opinion, adding: “We also have considered his contention that he is entitled to categorical immunity from criminal liability for any assertedly “official” action that he took as President — a contention that is unsupported by precedent, history or the text and structure of the Constitution.”

In response to the ruling, the Trump presidential campaign released a statement warning of the repercussions should presidential immunity be eroded. “If immunity is not granted to a President, every future President who leaves office will be immediately indicted by the opposing party. Without complete immunity, a President of the United States would not be able to properly function,” Trump spokesman Steven Cheung said before continuing: “Deranged Jack Smith’s prosecution of President Trump for his Presidential, official acts is unconstitutional under the doctrine of Presidential Immunity and the Separation of Powers.”

He added, “President Trump respectfully disagrees with the D.C. Circuit’s decision and will appeal it to safeguard the Presidency and the Constitution. ”

Biden Department of Justice special prosecutor Jack Smith’s Washington, D.C. case against Trump had been placed on hold while the court considered the immunity claim. Trump has until February 12th to either appeal the decision to the United States Supreme Court or ask the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit to grant his claim an en banc rehearing before the full D.C. Circuit.

show less
A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has ruled that presidential immunity does not bar former President Donald Trump from prosecution over allegations he interfered in an official government proceeding on January 6th, 2021. The three-judge panel, which last month heard arguments as to whether the former President’s efforts to prevent the certification of the 2020 election were covered under ‘Official Acts,’ rejected the claim and ordered the prosecution to proceed. show more

Haley Trashes Nevada, Calls Caucus ‘Rigged for Trump.’

Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley’s campaign is working to downplay the fact they cannot win a single delegate in the Nevada Republican presidential nomination contest. Haley opted last year to appear on the state-run primary ballot, which the Nevada Republican Party does not recognize. On the other hand, former President Donald Trump will compete in the Republican Party-run Nevada Caucus, which will allocate delegates for this summer’s Republican National Convention.

“We have not spent a dime nor an ounce of energy on Nevada,” said Haley campaign manager Betsy Ankney earlier today, adding:  “We made the decision early on that we were not going to pay $55,000 to a Trump entity to participate in a process that was rigged for Trump.” Despite the Haley campaign spin, the Trump campaign was not the reason why the Nevada Republican Party moved the nomination contest to a caucus instead of participating in the state-run primary.

In 2021, Democrat lawmakers in the Nevada state legislature codified a state-run primary into law. However, they did not require state parties to allocate convention delegates based on the primary results. Nevada Republicans, concerned about election integrity following the 2020 election, moved to hold a separate caucus to determine who would be awarded the state’s 26 Republican convention delegates. Unlike the state government-run primary, the Nevada Republican Caucus requires paper ballots, same-day voting, and Voter ID.

While all indications point to former President Donald Trump handily winning the caucus, Haley may face stiff competition from the “none of these candidates” option, which will appear on the state-run primary ballot.

show less
Nimarata 'Nikki' Haley's campaign is working to downplay the fact they cannot win a single delegate in the Nevada Republican presidential nomination contest. Haley opted last year to appear on the state-run primary ballot, which the Nevada Republican Party does not recognize. On the other hand, former President Donald Trump will compete in the Republican Party-run Nevada Caucus, which will allocate delegates for this summer's Republican National Convention. show more

Editor’s Notes

Behind-the-scenes political intrigue exclusively for Pulse+ subscribers.

RAHEEM J. KASSAM Editor-in-Chief
In case you made it past all the links I’ve scattered throughout Will’s excellent article above, you should know that I have written a far more detailed explanation of this situation here in our analysis section! Enjoy!
In case you made it past all the links I’ve scattered throughout Will’s excellent article above, you should know that I have written a far more detailed explanation of this situation here in our analysis section! Enjoy! show more
for exclusive members-only insights