The legendary Harry’s Bar in Paris, France, is leaning toward a victory for President Donald J. Trump in a straw poll that has accurately predicted the winner of every presidential election, except for three, since 1924.
The National Pulse Editor-in-Chief Raheem Kassam reported on X that the bar, which invented several iconic cocktails like the French 75 and the Bloody Mary, is leaning toward a Trump victory.
Was sent this from the storied Harry’s New York Bar in Paris, birthplace of the French 75, the Bloody Mary, and famed for its celebrated customers like Ernest Hemingway, Coco Chanel, and Humphrey Bogart.
He posted a picture showing the bar’s straw poll, which has 383 votes for President Trump to 360 votes for Democrat Kamala Harris.
“The clientele are typically tourists and expats, and they hold a straw poll amongst those who can prove U.S. citizenship every election. Harry’s straw poll has only been wrong three times since 1924. This year, it’s trending Trump!” Kassam stated.
Several other informal polls have also predicted a Trump win, including a cookie poll at an Ohio bakery which predicted every election since 1984, except for the 2020 election. In Tampa, Florida, another cookie poll predicts a landslide victory for Trump.
The legendary Harry's Bar in Paris, France, is leaning toward a victory for President Donald J. Trump in a straw poll that has accurately predicted the winner of every presidential election, except for three, since 1924.
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Nearly 80 million Americans voted early in the 2024 presidential election. A total of 47 of the 50 states allow for early voting, with only Mississippi, Alabama, and New Hampshire barring the practice.
The early vote totals for this year’s election cycle are down significantly from the pandemic conditions of 2020, hitting only about 70 percent of the 110 Americans who voted in the prior presidential contest. While Democrats far outpaced Republicans during the 2020 early vote, that has not been the case in 2024.
As of Election Day, November 5, Democrats hold 41 percent of the early vote, with Republicans trailing by just two points at 39 percent. Meanwhile, independent voters comprise the remaining 20 percent of the early vote. As expected, the 2024 early vote skews heavily towards senior citizens, with 39 percent of early voters over 65. Those between 50 and 64 years of age made up the next largest contingent at 27 percent. Americans between 40 and 49 only accounted for 13 percent of the early vote. Millennials between the ages of 30 and 39 made up 11 percent, while those under 30 only made up 10 percent.
The early vote was skewed toward women voters—who made up 53 percent of the electorate before election day. Men comprised just 44 percent.
Republicans made a concerted effort to push their voters to cast ballots early in the 2024 election—hoping to build up sizable leads in several key swing states. The strategy appears to have worked, with healthy leads being held in Arizona and Nevada. Additionally, the Democratic advantage in Pennsylvania appears to be significantly lower than it was in 2020 or 2016.
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Nearly 80 million Americans voted early in the 2024 presidential election. A total of 47 of the 50 states allow for early voting, with only Mississippi, Alabama, and New Hampshire barring the practice.
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At least one voting machine in a Virginia county has been reported to have malfunctioned and shut down. The local elections board chairman confirmed that voters have been asked to switch to emergency paper ballots.
John Nunnall, Chairman of the Caroline County Elections Board, stated that the voting machine went down in the Fort Royal precinct and that the voting machine was being fixed for a second time.
Journalist Kyle Becker reports that Nunnally said he has a spare voting machine on standby and will be heading to Fort Royal to access and fix the issue.
While Virginia was a big win for President Joe Biden in 2020, polling suggests that the race between President Donald J. Trump and Kamala Harris could be much tighter in the state this year.
The report from Virginia follows multiple other reports of malfunctioning voting machines, particularly ballot-counting machines.
At least one voting machine in a Virginia county has been reported to have malfunctioned and shut down. The local elections board chairman confirmed that voters have been asked to switch to emergency paper ballots.
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In Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump each secured three votes in the town’s traditional midnight voting, marking the formal commencement of Election Day 2024. Dixville Notch is known for its role in launching Election Day with its early votes and has leaned Democratic in the past two presidential elections, awarding all votes to Joe Biden in 2020 and favoring Hillary Clinton in 2016.
The brief voting process, held at the Balsam Resort, drew more journalists than voters. The proceedings spanned approximately 10 minutes, beginning with the national anthem. Each voter took their turn entering the booth, followed by manual counting and a public announcement of the results. The totals were then recorded on a whiteboard.
The Dixville Notch midnight vote continues a nearly 60-year tradition, attracting national attention and serving as an early indicator of voter sentiment in the presidential race, albeit with a very small sample size.
In the gubernatorial race, Republican Kelly Ayotte captured five votes.
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In Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump each secured three votes in the town's traditional midnight voting, marking the formal commencement of Election Day 2024. Dixville Notch is known for its role in launching Election Day with its early votes and has leaned Democratic in the past two presidential elections, awarding all votes to Joe Biden in 2020 and favoring Hillary Clinton in 2016.
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Fairfax County Public Schools in Northern Virginia has discreetly removed the bookQueer: A Graphic History by Meg-John Barker from their libraries following criticism from parents over its sexually explicit content. Parental outcry centered on the book’s graphic depiction of, in some cases, extreme sex acts, prompting questions regarding its suitability for young students.
Stacy Langton, a parent at Fairfax High School, expressed surprise at the quiet removal of the book. She noted that the action may influence upcoming elections, referencing President Donald J. Trump only narrowing trailing Vice President Kamala Harris in the state.
Virginia has been a focal point in discussions about parental influence in educational content since the 2021 gubernatorial race. Republican Glenn Youngkin‘s victory over former Governor Terry McAuliffe (D-VA) was partly attributed to debates over parental rights, with McAuliffe’s remarks about parental involvement in school decisions stirring controversy.
Langton, who has been vocal in school board meetings, criticized Queer: A Graphic History for its depiction of sexual practices deemed inappropriate for school libraries. She also raised concerns about another book, Gender Queer: A Memoir by Maia Kobabe, for similar reasons.
According to Noël Klimenko from the school district’s Instructional Services Department, the decision to remove Barker’s book was due to outdated terminology rather than a formal challenge. FCPS libraries opted for resources offering more current perspectives on LGBTQ+ history.
Previously, FCPS temporarily removed Gender Queer and Lawn Boy by Jonathan Evison but reinstated them after committee reviews. Despite the committees’ conclusions that these books did not constitute pornography, Langton plans to renew her challenge to Gender Queer.
The school district has not publicly commented on these developments. Langton insists that materials containing explicit content should not be in schools, citing federal obscenity laws.
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Fairfax County Public Schools in Northern Virginia has discreetly removed the book Queer: A Graphic History by Meg-John Barker from their libraries following criticism from parents over its sexually explicit content. Parental outcry centered on the book's graphic depiction of, in some cases, extreme sex acts, prompting questions regarding its suitability for young students.
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Mount Pleasant, Pennsylvania, recently held a Halloween parade featuring a controversial float depicting President Donald J. Trump leading Kamala Harris in chains. The float included a person wearing a Trump mask riding in a golf cart with a fake sniper rifle attached, leading another individual dressed as Harris, with wrists bound by chains or ropes, trailing behind.
The Democrat mayor of Mount Pleasant, Diane Bailey, expressed her dismay at the display—despite her own city’s fire department approving the float. Additionally, the Pittsburgh chapter of the NAACP condemned the float, with President Daylon Davis stating that the portrayal was a harmful symbol reflecting a painful history. However, like Bailey, Davis avoided acknowledging it was a city entity in the Democrat-run locality that approved float.
The Mount Pleasant Volunteer Fire Department, which organized the parade, issued a formal apology for the float. “We, the members of the Mount Pleasant Volunteer Fire Department, want to take a moment to sincerely apologize for allowing the offensive participants to take part in the Mount Pleasant Annual Halloween Parade last evening,” the fire department said in a statement, continuing: “We do not share in the values represented by those participants, and we understand how it may have hurt or offended members of our community.”
Come on MOUNT PLEASANT, Pa, how did the city approve this?
Mount Pleasant, Pennsylvania, recently held a Halloween parade featuring a controversial float depicting President Donald J. Trump leading Kamala Harris in chains. The float included a person wearing a Trump mask riding in a golf cart with a fake sniper rifle attached, leading another individual dressed as Harris, with wrists bound by chains or ropes, trailing behind.
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Renowned cardiologist Dr. Peter McCullough has raised concerns over the potential for renewed pandemic measures, such as mandatory vaccinations and lockdowns, in the event of a Kamala Harris victory on November 5. During an interview, McCullough criticized what he refers to as the “biopharmaceutical complex,” a network of vaccine-related entities he claims lean politically left.
The discussion covered scenarios involving both a potential Donald Trump or Harris presidency amid a possible bird flu pandemic. Recent reports have highlighted cases of H5N1 avian influenza among U.S. poultry and dairy workers, with 27 cases but no fatalities. The risk to the general U.S. population remains low, according to public health officials.
The cardiologist, along with his associates Nicolas Hulscher and John Leake, produced a video on the McCullough Foundation’s website aimed at debunking sensationalism surrounding the bird flu. McCullough noted that although the current bird flu strain, which he believes originated from a USDA laboratory in Georgia, is milder, its spread has stirred public concern.
McCullough also speculated on the political implications of another health crisis. He suggested such outbreaks could be exploited by political factions, particularly under Harris, for control or as a strategy to undermine a Republican presidency. He voiced concerns about vaccine mandates, using Harris’ campaign’s current COVID-19 vaccination policy for staff as a point of reference.
In anticipation of possible resistance, McCullough hopes a potential Trump administration would have advisors advocating for less panic-driven approaches to health crises. He criticized what he sees as excessive vaccination regimes, referring to a recent CDC recommendation for multiple boosters for the immunocompromised as excessive compared to historical vaccine practices.
Renowned cardiologist Dr. Peter McCullough has raised concerns over the potential for renewed pandemic measures, such as mandatory vaccinations and lockdowns, in the event of a Kamala Harris victory on November 5. During an interview, McCullough criticized what he refers to as the "biopharmaceutical complex," a network of vaccine-related entities he claims lean politically left.
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President Donald J. Trump‘s 2024 presidential campaign says Democrats are facing a significant turnout problem hearing into Election Day on November 5. A memo issued by the campaign’s chief data consultant, Tim Saler, argues that “Republicans are outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast” while “Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout…”
“Democrats are spinning themselves and reporters by claiming that their voters will turn out on Election Day when polls show otherwise and, most importantly, that’s asking Democrat voters to do something they have absolutely no history of doing,” Saler writes. He adds: “If Democrats, who historically vote ahead of Election Day, haven’t been motivated to show up for Kamala yet, why do we expect them to show up tomorrow?”
DEMOCRAT SPIN.
Throughout October, Vice President Kamala Harris and Democrat campaign surrogates aggressively pushed their voters to cast ballots during the early voting period. During a rally in Erie, Pennsylvania, in mid-October, Harris told her supporters: “In Erie County, you can vote early in person. Now is the time to make your plan to vote, and if you have already received your ballot in the mail, please do not wait.”
The corporate media parroted the early vote messaging from top Democrats, with The Hill stating last month that the “Harris campaign and Democratic groups are working hard to push their supporters to vote early in this year’s election” and that the campaign “wants to maximize its early advantage.”
EARLY VOTE COLLAPSE.
However, Saler’s memo notes that data shows Democratic voters appear to have largely ignored the Harris campaign’s effort. Citing TargetSmart, the Trump campaign states urban turnout in Arizona is down 385,285 voters compared to the same point in 2020. Likewise, the female vote is down by 170,011 in the state.
In Georgia, urban turnout is down by 153,846 votes, while female voter turnout is down by 46,732. North Carolina has seen a decrease of 175,470 in its rural turnout and 154,459 drop among women. Similarly, Nevada’s urban vote is down 191,199, while women are down 126,112 voters.
Among the so-called “blue wall” states, Michigan has seen a catastrophic collapse in urban turnout, down 321,523 from this point in 2020. Female turnout is down over 200,000 votes. The Michigan numbers are mirrored closely by Pennsylvania, which saw a decline of 381,519 urban voters and a staggering 450,802 female voters. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has seen 100,733 fewer urban and 238,452 female voters during the early vote period.
Trump camp memo argues Dems have an early vote turnout problem because urban early voting is down & rural is up compared to 2020
(Dem response: more of their voters plan to vote on Election Day when compared to how they voted 4 years ago) pic.twitter.com/3ysXUgxt3w
President Donald J. Trump's 2024 presidential campaign says Democrats are facing a significant turnout problem hearing into Election Day on November 5. A memo issued by the campaign's chief data consultant, Tim Saler, argues that "Republicans are outperforming elections past in absentee ballots and early votes cast" while "Democrats are facing a precipitous decline in urban turnout..."
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Governor Kathy Hochul (D-NY) says she believes voters who support Republican candidates oppose American values. The New York Democrat made the claim during an interview over the weekend on MSNBC‘s PoliticsNation, hosted by Al Sharpton.
Seizing on a joke a comedian made about Puerto Rico during President Donald J. Trump‘s recent rally at Madison Square Garden, Hochul explained that she’s used the incident to target vulnerable Republican lawmakers in her state. “You do not think in this great country that we should have leaders who either say this themselves or will tolerate it at one of their rallies,” the New York Governor said. “I think this rally backfired on him,” she added.
“It gave me a chance to tie the Republicans running in these seats, the incumbents, closer to Donald Trump,” Hochul told Sharpton, claiming the joke gave her the opportunity to “…remind everybody, if you’re voting for these Republicans in New York, you are voting for someone who supports Donald Trump and you’re anti-woman, you’re anti-abortion, and basically you’re anti-American.”
Vice President Kamala Harris and other leaders in the Democratic Party have smeared Trump and his supporters in the closing days of the 2024 election as “fascists” and “Nazis.” President Joe Biden, referencing the Puerto Rico joke, went so far as to call Americans who are voting for Trump “garbage” during a recent Harris campaign event.
Responding to Hochul, former Congressman Lee Zeldin (R-NY) slammed the governor’s comments in a post on X (formerly Twitter). “Quite the closing message from the so called campaign of joy: If you don’t vote Democrat, you are Nazi, Hitler loving, anti-American garbage,” he wrote.
Quite the closing message from the so called campaign of joy: If you don’t vote Democrat, you are Nazi, Hitler loving, anti-American garbage. pic.twitter.com/pbz47BSOwO
Governor Kathy Hochul (D-NY) says she believes voters who support Republican candidates oppose American values. The New York Democrat made the claim during an interview over the weekend on MSNBC's PoliticsNation, hosted by Al Sharpton.
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Raheem Kassam, Editor-in-Chief of The National Pulse, appeared on The Dinesh D’Souza podcast on Monday to discuss the state of the 2024 presidential race on the eve of Election Day. According to Kassam, the corporate media and political establishment are overlooking Kamala Harris‘s inconsistent and confusing campaign messaging in the closing weeks of the election, which has left many independent and Democratic Party voters unsure of where she actually stands on key issues.
“It comes down to consistency—as a theme, as a topic—and is something you want in a campaign. Unfortunately for [Harris], she’s not even been consistently the Democratic candidate, let alone had a consistent message throughout her very short campaign,” Kassam told D’Souza. He continued: “And I think that is particularly where she is hurting right now. A lot of the people who might even have sensibilities that lean toward her are still not sure if they’ll go out and actually tick the box on the day just because they’re not quite sure which Kamala Harris they might get in the event that she wins.”
The Harris campaign and leading Democrats have swung between attempting to run a positive message campaign to recklessly engaging in hyper-vitriolic attacks on her Republican opponent, President Donald J. Trump in the final few weeks of the 2024 election cycle. “Are they going to get the joyful Kamala? Are they going to get the prosecutor Kamala? Are they going to get the person who calls everybody Nazis, Kamala? Are they getting the black Kamala or the Asian Kamala?” The National Pulse’s Editor-in-Chief posits that these are the questions likely weighing on voters’ minds.
HARRIS’ EARLY VOTE PROBLEM.
Early vote data across several critical swing states suggests Democratic Party turnout prior to election day has been significantly lower than what was seen during the 2020 election. Meanwhile, Republicans have seen a significant boost in the number of early ballots cast, especially among low-propensity voters.
Kassam goes on to describe Harris’s closing argument as a “concatenation of abortion and hatred… of vitriol towards the other side and playing into just the kind of the base tendencies of her most likely, highest-propensity voters.” These voters, according to Kassam, are predominantly suburban women who have—for the most part—been shielded from the Biden-Harris government’s failures in addressing inflation and the illegal immigration crisis.
THE CONSISTENT TRUMP.
Conversely, Kassam notes that President Trump’s campaign has maintained a consistent message throughout the election cycle. He notes that Trump has been especially consistent “on some of these big topics like trade and tariffs for the last forty years.”
“So America knows who he is, they know what they’re getting,” Kassam contends, adding that the left and establishment Republican attacks on Project 2025 were an attempt to “inject a sense of inconsistency, a sense of this secret plan behind the scenes and Donald Trump isn’t the Donald Trump you’ve known for forty years after all.”
It is Trump’s consistency on major political issues like immigration, trade, and foreign policy that has likely blunted Harris and the Democrats’ attempt to brand him and Republicans as fascists and Nazis.
WATCH:
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Raheem Kassam, Editor-in-Chief of The National Pulse, appeared on The Dinesh D'Souza podcast on Monday to discuss the state of the 2024 presidential race on the eve of Election Day. According to Kassam, the corporate media and political establishment are overlooking Kamala Harris's inconsistent and confusing campaign messaging in the closing weeks of the election, which has left many independent and Democratic Party voters unsure of where she actually stands on key issues.
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