New data shows former President Donald J. Trump handily defeated Governor Gavin Newsom (D-CA) in a hypothetical 2024 presidential contest. Newsom has repeatedly been floated as a potential candidate should the 81-year-old Democratic incumbent Joe Biden need to be replaced as the Democratic presidential nominee.
According to the survey by Rasmussen Reports, Trump leads a national contest with 50 percent of the vote compared to Newsom‘s 38 percent. Additionally, the California governor only registers a 35 percent approval rating—with 45 percent of respondents saying they hold an unfavorable view of Newsom. Former President Trump leads the California Democrat across several key voter demographics, capturing 44 percent of female voters to Newsom’s 43 percent. Additionally, Trump leads with 56 percent of male voters, with Newsom at just 33 percent. Among Hispanics, Trump leads with 53 percent of the vote to Newsom’s 30 percent.
The National Pulse reported last week that there is a potential plot to replace Biden should he falter during the first presidential debate on Thursday. Biden’s cognitive and physical health has increasingly become a concern among voters and Democratic Party insiders, as the octogenarian has been frequently caught on camera appearing disoriented and confused during public events.
While Gov. Newsom has positioned himself as an influential figure in the national Democratic Party, his path to the 2024 presidential nomination is not just contingent on party leaders turning on Biden. To capture the nomination, Newsom must outmaneuver his fellow Californian, Vice President Kamala Harris.
Harris holds sway over a critical block of Democrat voters, including white and black women. Some Democratic Party insiders fear pushing Harris aside—despite her deep unpopularity—could fatally wound the campaign of any other Biden replacement.