New polling data from the firm with the best record during the 2024 U.S. Presidential election has revealed that Nigel Farage, leader of Reform UK, is preferred as prime minister to the governing Sir Keir Starmer in a majority of UK constituencies.
According to findings by JL Partners for the Adam Smith Institute, Farage leads over Starmer in 335 seats, while Starmer is favored in just 291. The survey reveals that Labour might lose twice as many seats to Reform UK compared to the Conservatives in upcoming elections.
Despite the unprecedented, nationwide success, Farage finds himself the subject of yet another leadership coup effort, this time by Member of Parliament Rupert Lowe, who was recently suspended by the party after a series of bust-ups with colleagues.
The poll also highlights that one-fifth of Labour’s 2024 voters are considering a shift to Reform UK under Farage, who is currently the preferred candidate for prime minister in areas where Labour and Reform UK are direct competitors.
In an interview with The Times Magazine, Farage expressed confidence in his prospects, estimating his chances of becoming prime minister at between 35 and 45 percent.
Additionally, the study found that more than half of respondents perceive Labour as anti-fun and restrictive concerning personal freedoms. This sentiment emerges as the government considers legislation to prohibit smoking and disposable vapes. Tum Lubbock, co-founder of JL Partners, commented on the situation, stating that Starmer is in a popularity contest with Farage, who presently holds the advantage in most constituencies.
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