Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party remains the most popular in Britain following a crunch parliamentary by-election (special election) won by Labour’s Andy Burnham, who is expected to replace Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister in the coming weeks.
| PULSE POINTS |
❓ WHAT HAPPENED: Reform UK remains Britain’s most popular party in the latest YouGov voting intention poll, conducted 21-22 June, with 25 percent support, ahead of the Conservatives on 20 percent, Labour on 18 percent, the Greens on 15 percent, and the Liberal Democrats on 14 percent. While Labour’s Andy Burnham won a crunch parliamentary by-election (special election) on June 18 by a wide margin, Reform has gained a point of support since the vote nationally, while Labour has lost a point. 📰 DETAIL: The poll comes just after Prime Minister and Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer announced his resignation, following mounting pressure from within his party after a series of poor electoral performances against Reform, particularly in local elections in May. Starmer’s departure paves the way for Andy Burnham to succeed him, with senior Labor figures rallying behind the Greater Manchester politician in an effort to halt their party’s decline. However, the latest survey suggests that Nigel Farage’s assessment that Burnham won the June 18 by-election in a large party because voters believed returning Burnham to Parliament would “get Starmer out,” with YouGov recording no increase in Labour’s national support. 📈 DATA: Reform UK increased its support by one percent from the previous YouGov voting intention poll. The formerly governing Conservatives also saw a one percent rise, while Labour experienced a one percent decline. The Elon Musk-backed Restore Britain, an anti-Trump splinter faction of Reform led by former Reform lawmaker Rupert Lowe, has dropped one point to just three percent support. 🎯 IMPACT: The polling suggests that, so far, Labour has not seen a boost from the election of Andy Burnham to Parliament and his expected takeover of the government, or from the resignation of Sir Keir Starmer. |

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