Another poll has put Reform UK in the lead in Britain, with the two main establishment parties, the governing Labour Party and the Conservatives, showing dips in support.
| PULSE POINTS |
❓ WHAT HAPPENED: Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party has topped another poll, despite the so-called “Burnham Bounce” following the replacement of Sir Keir Starmer with Andy Burnham as Prime Minister. 📺 DETAIL: The poll was conducted by Survation, a British polling company, between 10 and 13 August, recording changes with July 26, the end of new Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s first week in office. The poll put Reform UK on top with 26 percent, an increase of two percent. Reform UK had a narrow lead over the governing Labour Party, which secured 25 percent, a drop of one percent. Kemi Badenoch’s nominal Conservative Party secured 19 percent, down two percent, and the Liberal Democrats, a progressive liberal party that supports mass migration and re-joining the European Union (EU), secured 11 percent, up one percentage point. Meanwhile, Zack Polanski’s far-left Green Party has fallen into single digits after dropping to nine percent, down one percent. Left-wing separatist parties, such as the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru, the former seeking Scottish separation from the United Kingdom, the latter seeking Welsh separation, secured three percent and two percent, respectively. Restore Britain, led by former Reform UK Member of Parliament (MP) Rupert Lowe, secured only two percent support, marking no change from late July. 💬 KEY QUOTE: “New Survation poll puts Reform BACK in the lead, up 2 points. Labour down one, and Reform 7 points clear of the deadbeat Tories who are down 2. Must be that “Kemi bounce” the whole right wing press keep telling us is real?” — Zia Yusuf, Reform UK’s Shadow Home Secretary on X (formerly Twitter). 🎯 IMPACT: This poll follows findings from YouGov, another British polling firm, showing a Reform UK polling lead. Earlier this month, it was reported that Farage’s party was polling at 23 percent, one percentage point ahead of Prime Minister Burnham’s Labour Party. This story suggests that the so-called “Burnham Bounce,” the increase in popularity experienced by Labour at the start of Prime Minister Burnham’s tenure, similar to other boosts given to other Prime Ministers at the start of their time in office, has waned within just a few weeks. This is likely to raise concerns within the Labour Party, especially if the party’s figures continue to drop further. Meanwhile, the dip in support for Badenoch’s Conservatives (Tories) casts further doubt on the so-called “Kemi Bounce,” a similar alleged increase in support for the Tory leader. The collapse of the far-left Green Party is also apparent, due to the party constantly being mired in scandals, from leader Polanski’s criticism of the police during a terror attack earlier this year to sharing a post calling for the execution of Farage. |
🚨New Survation poll puts Reform BACK in the lead, up 2 points.
Labour down one, and Reform 7 points clear of the deadbeat Tories who are down 2.
Must be that “Kemi bounce” the whole right wing press keep telling us is real? 😂 pic.twitter.com/CtVWtoOVmW
— Zia Yusuf (@ZiaYusufUK) August 14, 2026
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