Democratic senators fear polls are underestimating former President Donald J. Trump’s level of support. RealClearPolitics gave Vice President Kamala Harris a lead of 2.2 points nationally as of Monday, September 23—a narrower margin than Joe Biden’s seven-point lead and Hillary Clinton’s three-point lead over Trump at similar times in the 2020 and 2016 election campaigns. On election night, Biden’s lead over Trump nationally was significantly lower, at four points. Clinton‘s was also lower, at 2.1 points—and she lost the Electoral College.
One Democratic senator, speaking anonymously, called the numbers “ominous,” adding: “There’s no question that [they are] concerning… My sense is there’s not a lot more you can do than we’re already doing.”
Another anonymous senator lamented, “I don’t think any poll right now means much of anything,” complaining that voters are looking back on the Trump economy as “being so good” compared to the Biden-Harris economy.
Democratic pollster Celinda Lake told the media, “I, too, share the concern that there are going to be some surprises” on election day.
“What accentuates my concern is when you poll people who have not voted in ’20 but are planning to vote today, they are disproportionately Trump voters,” she added.
A poll earlier this month also shows Trump gaining major ground among independents and Latino voters, leading over Harris in both groups.
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