A major global poll involving 28,000 people across 24 countries has revealed that the majority believe President-elect Donald J. Trump’s presidency will be good for America, the world, and world peace. The polling was carried out by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) and highlighted by its director, Mark Leonard, who noted that up to three in five people in India, China, and Russia believe in Trump’s promise to end the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Around half of respondents also believe that Trump will achieve peace in the Middle East. Trump already announced a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas on January 15, which will include all remaining October 7 hostages being released by Hamas.
However, many of those polled, particularly in Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Indonesia, and South Africa, believe that China will overtake the United States as the most powerful country in the world in the next two decades.
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The survey contrasts the attitudes of emerging powers and economies with those in Europe, where many are allegedly fearful that America will no longer be an “upholder of global order.”
However, Europe is seeing a surge of support for its own populist parties, with around one in five German voters looking to vote for the Alternative for Germany (AfD) ahead of February’s election. In France, the National Rally remains popular, with leader Marine Le Pen topping polls for the 2027 presidential election.
In Austria, where the populist Freedom Party won last year’s election, establishment parties attempted to form a government without them. After the talks failed, the FPOe looks ready to lead the government in Austria for the first time in the party’s history.